PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2024

Holstein Kiel 0–2 1. FC Union Berlin · Bundesliga

0–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

1. FC Union Berlin won 0–2.

Shots
1214
Shots on target
54
Expected goals
1.371.13
Possession
48%52%

Full time

What the match recorded

1. FC Union Berlin beat Holstein Kiel 2–0. Recorded in this match (Holstein Kiel – 1. FC Union Berlin): shots 12–14, shots on target 5–4, expected goals 1.37–1.13, possession 48%–52%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Holstein Kiel show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Holstein Kiel's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11.3 shots/match ▲ShotsHolstein Kiel · 1. FC Union Berlin12.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricHolstein Kiel1. FC Union BerlinBaseline
Shots11.3 shots/match12.1 shots/match12.8 shots/match
Shots against18.3 shots/match10.3 shots/match13.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

weak

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

11.6 fouls/matchFoulsHolstein Kiel · 1. FC Union Berlin14.1 fouls/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricHolstein Kiel1. FC Union BerlinBaseline
Fouls11.6 fouls/match14.1 fouls/match10.5 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots14 shotsHolstein Kiel 12 shots, 1. FC Union Berlin 14 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots4 shotsHolstein Kiel 5 shots, 1. FC Union Berlin 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.37 xG1.13 xGHolstein Kiel 1.37 xG, 1. FC Union Berlin 1.13 xG
  • Possession48%52%Holstein Kiel 48%, 1. FC Union Berlin 52%
  • Corners7 corners3 cornersHolstein Kiel 7 corners, 1. FC Union Berlin 3 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls11 foulsHolstein Kiel 8 fouls, 1. FC Union Berlin 11 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Nicolai Remberg · Holstein Kiel · 46′ · 0.02 xG · on targetTymoteusz Puchacz · Holstein Kiel · 79′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedChristopher Trimmel · 1. FC Union Berlin · 34′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedTom Alexander Rothe · 1. FC Union Berlin · 43′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedChristopher Trimmel · 1. FC Union Berlin · 45′ · 0.03 xG · on targetFinn Porath · Holstein Kiel · 53′ · 0.03 xG · on targetDiogo Leite · 1. FC Union Berlin · 70′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFiete Arp · Holstein Kiel · 85′ · 0.03 xG · on targetShuto Machino · Holstein Kiel · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedChristopher Trimmel · 1. FC Union Berlin · 73′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedTimo Becker · Holstein Kiel · 57′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLászló Bénes · 1. FC Union Berlin · 84′ · 0.05 xG · on targetDanilho Doekhi · 1. FC Union Berlin · 88′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedTom Alexander Rothe · 1. FC Union Berlin · 89′ · 0.05 xG · goalNicolai Remberg · Holstein Kiel · 9′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedWoo-Yeong Jeong · 1. FC Union Berlin · 43′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedRani Khedira · 1. FC Union Berlin · 84′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedArmin Gigović · Holstein Kiel · 21′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedDanilho Doekhi · 1. FC Union Berlin · 88′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedBenedict Hollerbach · 1. FC Union Berlin · 1′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedYorbe Vertessen · 1. FC Union Berlin · 52′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedBenedikt Pichler · Holstein Kiel · 61′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedShuto Machino · Holstein Kiel · 90′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedNicolai Remberg · Holstein Kiel · 30′ · 0.24 xG · on targetAljoscha Kemlein · 1. FC Union Berlin · 18′ · 0.36 xG · goalSteven Skrzybski · Holstein Kiel · 90′ · 0.50 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Holstein Kiel: 12 shots, 5 on target, 1.37 xG. 1. FC Union Berlin: 14 shots, 4 on target, 1.17 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Aljoscha Kemlein · 1. FC Union Berlin · 18′Tom Alexander Rothe · 1. FC Union Berlin · 89′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Holstein Kiel 1.37 xG · 1. FC Union Berlin 1.17 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Holstein Kiel favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · 1. FC Union Berlin in 7 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Holstein Kiel7 matches1. FC Union Berlin7 matches
1.29 goals/match ▲Goals scored7/71.14 goals/match
3 goals/matchGoals allowed7/7▲ 0.57 goals/match
1.32 xG/match ▲Expected goals7/70.97 xG/match
11.3 shots/matchShots7/7▲ 12.1 shots/match
4.29 shots/match ▲Shots on target7/73.71 shots/match
43.7% ●Possession7/741.4%
4 corners/matchCorners7/7● 4.86 corners/match
11.6 fouls/matchFouls7/714.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 20 Oct 2024, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsHolstein Kiel1. FC Union Berlin
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2024/25
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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