Premier League · 2023Sat, 23 Dec 2023, 12:30 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

West Ham United

WDWLW

2–0Full-time recap

Manchester United

WLWLD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	West Ham United	Manchester United
Shots	12 shots/match▲	11 shots/match
Shots on target	5 shots/match▲	3 shots/match
Expected goals	1.25 xG/match▲	1.03 xG/match
Possession	35%	65%●
Corners	4 corners/match	4 corners/match
Fouls	13 fouls/match	15 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

West Ham United: 12 shots, 5 on target, 1.37 xG. Manchester United: 11 shots, 3 on target, 1.05 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: West Ham United 1.37 xG · Manchester United 1.05 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Manchester United's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Manchester United's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Manchester United's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Manchester United's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	0.4 goals/match	1 goals/match	1.43 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Manchester United have a visible away split

moderate

Manchester United's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11.4 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season14.4 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

Metric	Away only	Season	Baseline
Shots	11.4 shots/match	14.4 shots/match	13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Manchester United show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Manchester United's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.7 shots/match▲ShotsWest Ham United · Manchester United14.4 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	West Ham United	Manchester United	Baseline
Shots	11.7 shots/match	14.4 shots/match	13.7 shots/match
Shots against	15.7 shots/match	15.7 shots/match	13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1West Ham United

0Draws

3Manchester United

7 May 2023West Ham United — Manchester United · Premier League1–0

30 Oct 2022Manchester United — West Ham United · Premier League1–0

22 Jan 2022Manchester United — West Ham United · Premier League1–0

19 Sept 2021West Ham United — Manchester United · Premier League1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

West Ham United favored in 2 of 13 directional metrics · Manchester United in 4 · 7 too close

1.72 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 18/181 goals/match

1.67 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 18/18▲1.28 goals/match

1.44 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 18/18▲1.52 xG/match

1.71 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 18/181.7 xG/match

11.7 shots/matchShotsseason · 18/18▲14.4 shots/match

15.7 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 18/1815.7 shots/match

4.28 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 18/184.33 shots/match

5.28 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 18/185.06 shots/match

41.4%Possessionseason · 18/18●52.9%

4.78 corners/matchCornersseason · 18/18●6.56 corners/match

6.39 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 18/186.22 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

11.2 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 18/1810.6 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

17%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 18/18▲33%

89%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 18/1861%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

West Ham United22.5

Manchester United57.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

West Ham United44.2

Manchester United40

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

West Ham United30.8

Manchester United39.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

West Ham United72.5

Manchester United57.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

West Ham United42.5

Manchester United22.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

West Ham United32.5

Manchester United87.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

West Ham United36.2

Manchester United54.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

West Ham United18 matchesManchester United18 matches

1.72 goals/match▲Goals scored18/181 goals/match

1.67 goals/matchGoals allowed18/18▲1.28 goals/match

1.44 xG/matchExpected goals18/18▲1.52 xG/match

11.7 shots/matchShots18/18▲14.4 shots/match

4.28 shots/matchShots on target18/184.33 shots/match

41.4%Possession18/18●52.9%

4.78 corners/matchCorners18/18●6.56 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.2 fouls/matchFouls18/1810.6 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

West Ham United9 matchesManchester United9 matches

1.89 goals/match▲Goals scored9/90.89 goals/match

1.11 goals/matchGoals allowed9/9▲1 goals/match

1.33 xG/match▲Expected goals9/91.14 xG/match

11.7 shots/matchShots9/911.4 shots/match

4.56 shots/match▲Shots on target9/93.44 shots/match

43.9%Possession9/9●48%

4.78 corners/match●Corners9/93.78 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

10.4 fouls/matchFouls9/910.8 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

5.94 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/15.83 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples18 / 18home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 23 Dec 2023, 16:30 UTC · analysis-v4