PitchMath
Premier League · 2023

West Ham United 2–0 Manchester United · Premier League

2–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

West Ham United won 2–0.

Shots
1211
Shots on target
53
Expected goals
1.251.03
Possession
35%65%

Full time

What the match recorded

West Ham United beat Manchester United 2–0. Recorded in this match (West Ham United – Manchester United): shots 12–11, shots on target 5–3, expected goals 1.25–1.03, possession 35%–65%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Manchester United's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Manchester United's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match1 goal/match1.43 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Manchester United have a visible away split

moderate

Manchester United's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11.4 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season14.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.4 shots/match14.4 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Manchester United show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Manchester United's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.7 shots/match ▲ShotsWest Ham United · Manchester United14.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricWest Ham UnitedManchester UnitedBaseline
Shots11.7 shots/match14.4 shots/match13.7 shots/match
Shots against15.7 shots/match15.7 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots11 shotsWest Ham United 12 shots, Manchester United 11 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots3 shotsWest Ham United 5 shots, Manchester United 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.25 xG1.03 xGWest Ham United 1.25 xG, Manchester United 1.03 xG
  • Possession35%65%West Ham United 35%, Manchester United 65%
  • Corners4 corners4 cornersWest Ham United 4 corners, Manchester United 4 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls15 foulsWest Ham United 13 fouls, Manchester United 15 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Lucas Paquetá · West Ham United · 5′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAntony · Manchester United · 33′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAlejandro Garnacho · Manchester United · 40′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKobbie Mainoo · Manchester United · 40′ · 0.02 xG · on targetBruno Fernandes · Manchester United · 66′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedEmerson Palmieri · West Ham United · 77′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMarcus Rashford · Manchester United · 81′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJames Ward-Prowse · West Ham United · 5′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedEmerson Palmieri · West Ham United · 5′ · 0.04 xG · on targetLucas Paquetá · West Ham United · 48′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMohammed Kudus · West Ham United · 56′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedTomáš Souček · West Ham United · 45′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedBruno Fernandes · Manchester United · 48′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAlejandro Garnacho · Manchester United · 44′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJarrod Bowen · West Ham United · 17′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAlejandro Garnacho · Manchester United · 40′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedScott McTominay · Manchester United · 90′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedJarrod Bowen · West Ham United · 56′ · 0.09 xG · on targetFacundo Pellistri · Manchester United · 90′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedMohammed Kudus · West Ham United · 78′ · 0.16 xG · goalJarrod Bowen · West Ham United · 72′ · 0.21 xG · on targetAlejandro Garnacho · Manchester United · 35′ · 0.55 xG · on targetJarrod Bowen · West Ham United · 72′ · 0.59 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

West Ham United: 12 shots, 5 on target, 1.37 xG. Manchester United: 11 shots, 3 on target, 1.05 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Jarrod Bowen · West Ham United · 72′Mohammed Kudus · West Ham United · 78′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: West Ham United 1.37 xG · Manchester United 1.05 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1West Ham United
0Draws
3Manchester United
West Ham United — Manchester United · Premier League1–0
Manchester United — West Ham United · Premier League1–0
Manchester United — West Ham United · Premier League1–0
West Ham United — Manchester United · Premier League1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: West Ham United favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Manchester United in 4 · 5 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

West Ham United18 matchesManchester United18 matches
1.72 goals/match ▲Goals scored18/181 goal/match
1.67 goals/matchGoals allowed18/18▲ 1.28 goals/match
1.44 xG/matchExpected goals18/18▲ 1.52 xG/match
11.7 shots/matchShots18/18▲ 14.4 shots/match
4.28 shots/matchShots on target18/184.33 shots/match
41.4%Possession18/18● 52.9%
4.78 corners/matchCorners18/18● 6.56 corners/match
11.2 fouls/matchFouls18/1810.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples18 / 18home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 23 Dec 2023, 16:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsWest Ham UnitedManchester United
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2023/24
Head-to-headWest Ham United — Manchester United
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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