PitchMath
Premier League · 2023

Tottenham Hotspur 2–1 Everton · Premier League

2–1Historical match

Everton

LWWWW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Tottenham Hotspur won 2–1.

Shots
1318
Shots on target
68
Expected goals
1.481.78
Possession
61%39%

Full time

What the match recorded

Tottenham Hotspur beat Everton 2–1. Recorded in this match (Tottenham Hotspur – Everton): shots 13–18, shots on target 6–8, expected goals 1.48–1.78, possession 61%–39%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Everton's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Everton's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.28 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.28 goals/match1.43 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Tottenham Hotspur have recorded the higher season possession share.

60.4% ●PossessionTottenham Hotspur · Everton39.5%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 20.9 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricTottenham HotspurEvertonBaseline
Possession60.4%39.5%49.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Everton have a visible away split

moderate

Everton's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11.8 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season14.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.8 shots/match14.4 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots18 shotsTottenham Hotspur 13 shots, Everton 18 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots8 shotsTottenham Hotspur 6 shots, Everton 8 shots
  • Expected goals1.48 xG1.78 xGTottenham Hotspur 1.48 xG, Everton 1.78 xG
  • Possession61%39%Tottenham Hotspur 61%, Everton 39%
  • Corners3 corners8 cornersTottenham Hotspur 3 corners, Everton 8 corners
  • Fouls6 fouls18 foulsTottenham Hotspur 6 fouls, Everton 18 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Pedro Porro · Tottenham Hotspur · 58′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJames Garner · Everton · 35′ · 0.02 xG · on targetBrennan Johnson · Tottenham Hotspur · 62′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAndré Gomes · Everton · 82′ · 0.02 xG · goalDwight McNeil · Everton · 15′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBrennan Johnson · Tottenham Hotspur · 18′ · 0.03 xG · on targetJarrad Branthwaite · Everton · 86′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPape Matar Sarr · Tottenham Hotspur · 1′ · 0.05 xG · on targetVitaliy Mykolenko · Everton · 4′ · 0.05 xG · on targetVitaliy Mykolenko · Everton · 67′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAndré Gomes · Everton · 77′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAmadou Onana · Everton · 40′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedDejan Kulusevski · Tottenham Hotspur · 75′ · 0.06 xG · on targetArnaut Danjuma · Everton · 81′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedPape Matar Sarr · Tottenham Hotspur · 65′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedPedro Porro · Tottenham Hotspur · 55′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedArnaut Danjuma · Everton · 84′ · 0.09 xG · on targetJames Garner · Everton · 62′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedSon Heung-min · Tottenham Hotspur · 89′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedDominic Calvert-Lewin · Everton · 7′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedPape Matar Sarr · Tottenham Hotspur · 56′ · 0.11 xG · on targetBrennan Johnson · Tottenham Hotspur · 60′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedJames Garner · Everton · 42′ · 0.12 xG · on targetSon Heung-min · Tottenham Hotspur · 18′ · 0.14 xG · goalArnaut Danjuma · Everton · 90′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedDominic Calvert-Lewin · Everton · 16′ · 0.17 xG · on targetArnaut Danjuma · Everton · 90′ · 0.17 xG · on targetJack Harrison · Everton · 45′ · 0.20 xG · on targetDominic Calvert-Lewin · Everton · 39′ · 0.29 xG · off target or blockedRicharlison · Tottenham Hotspur · 9′ · 0.35 xG · goalBrennan Johnson · Tottenham Hotspur · 12′ · 0.39 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Tottenham Hotspur: 13 shots, 6 on target, 1.52 xG. Everton: 18 shots, 8 on target, 1.76 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Richarlison · Tottenham Hotspur · 9′Son Heung-min · Tottenham Hotspur · 18′André Gomes · Everton · 82′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Tottenham Hotspur 1.52 xG · Everton 1.76 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Tottenham Hotspur
2Draws
0Everton
Everton — Tottenham Hotspur · Premier League1–1
Tottenham Hotspur — Everton · Premier League2–0
Tottenham Hotspur — Everton · Premier League5–0
Everton — Tottenham Hotspur · Premier League0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Tottenham Hotspur favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Everton in 6

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Tottenham Hotspur18 matchesEverton18 matches
2.06 goals/match ▲Goals scored18/181.28 goals/match
1.33 goals/matchGoals allowed18/18▲ 1.22 goals/match
1.71 xG/match ▲Expected goals18/181.62 xG/match
16.1 shots/match ▲Shots18/1814.4 shots/match
6.22 shots/match ▲Shots on target18/185.06 shots/match
60.4% ●Possession18/1839.5%
5.39 corners/match ●Corners18/184.94 corners/match
11.3 fouls/matchFouls18/1812.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples18 / 18home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 23 Dec 2023, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsTottenham HotspurEverton
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2023/24
Head-to-headTottenham Hotspur — Everton
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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