PitchMath
Premier League · 2023

Brighton & Hove Albion 4–2 Tottenham Hotspur · Premier League

4–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Brighton & Hove Albion won 4–2.

Shots
1519
Shots on target
93
Expected goals
3.582.35
Possession
45%55%

Full time

What the match recorded

Brighton & Hove Albion beat Tottenham Hotspur 4–2. Recorded in this match (Brighton & Hove Albion – Tottenham Hotspur): shots 15–19, shots on target 9–3, expected goals 3.58–2.35, possession 45%–55%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Brighton & Hove Albion have a visible home split

moderate

Brighton & Hove Albion's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

18.5 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season15.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots18.5 shots/match15.1 shots/match13.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Brighton & Hove Albion's recent record differs from the season

weak

Brighton & Hove Albion's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match2 goals/match1.46 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots19 shotsBrighton & Hove Albion 15 shots, Tottenham Hotspur 19 shots
  • Shots on target9 shots3 shotsBrighton & Hove Albion 9 shots, Tottenham Hotspur 3 shots
  • Expected goals3.58 xG2.35 xGBrighton & Hove Albion 3.58 xG, Tottenham Hotspur 2.35 xG
  • Possession45%55%Brighton & Hove Albion 45%, Tottenham Hotspur 55%
  • Corners7 corners6 cornersBrighton & Hove Albion 7 corners, Tottenham Hotspur 6 corners
  • Fouls18 fouls6 foulsBrighton & Hove Albion 18 fouls, Tottenham Hotspur 6 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Facundo Buonanotte · Brighton & Hove Albion · 45′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedSon Heung-min · Tottenham Hotspur · 27′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPervis Estupiñán · Brighton & Hove Albion · 63′ · 0.03 xG · goalPierre-Emile Højbjerg · Tottenham Hotspur · 71′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDejan Kulusevski · Tottenham Hotspur · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPedro Porro · Tottenham Hotspur · 4′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJoão Pedro · Brighton & Hove Albion · 17′ · 0.04 xG · on targetBryan Gil · Tottenham Hotspur · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSon Heung-min · Tottenham Hotspur · 45′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLewis Dunk · Brighton & Hove Albion · 58′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedPierre-Emile Højbjerg · Tottenham Hotspur · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedSon Heung-min · Tottenham Hotspur · 90′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedPedro Porro · Tottenham Hotspur · 90′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedDanny Welbeck · Brighton & Hove Albion · 5′ · 0.08 xG · on targetJames Milner · Brighton & Hove Albion · 32′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedSon Heung-min · Tottenham Hotspur · 90′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAlejo Véliz · Tottenham Hotspur · 81′ · 0.10 xG · goalBrennan Johnson · Tottenham Hotspur · 33′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedRicharlison · Tottenham Hotspur · 45′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedBen Davies · Tottenham Hotspur · 45′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedAlejo Véliz · Tottenham Hotspur · 90′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedFacundo Buonanotte · Brighton & Hove Albion · 6′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedSon Heung-min · Tottenham Hotspur · 39′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedLewis Dunk · Brighton & Hove Albion · 20′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedRicharlison · Tottenham Hotspur · 53′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedJan Paul van Hecke · Brighton & Hove Albion · 20′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedLewis Dunk · Brighton & Hove Albion · 49′ · 0.23 xG · on targetDestiny Udogie · Tottenham Hotspur · 55′ · 0.26 xG · on targetDanny Welbeck · Brighton & Hove Albion · 6′ · 0.32 xG · on targetJack Hinshelwood · Brighton & Hove Albion · 11′ · 0.34 xG · goalJoão Pedro · Brighton & Hove Albion · 45′ · 0.34 xG · on targetBen Davies · Tottenham Hotspur · 86′ · 0.63 xG · goalJoão Pedro · Brighton & Hove Albion · 24′ · 0.82 xG · goalJoão Pedro · Brighton & Hove Albion · 76′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Brighton & Hove Albion: 15 shots, 9 on target, 3.74 xG. Tottenham Hotspur: 19 shots, 3 on target, 2.39 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0240′HT90′Jack Hinshelwood · Brighton & Hove Albion · 11′João Pedro · Brighton & Hove Albion · 24′Pervis Estupiñán · Brighton & Hove Albion · 63′João Pedro · Brighton & Hove Albion · 76′Alejo Véliz · Tottenham Hotspur · 81′Ben Davies · Tottenham Hotspur · 86′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Brighton & Hove Albion 3.74 xG · Tottenham Hotspur 2.39 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Brighton & Hove Albion
0Draws
3Tottenham Hotspur
Tottenham Hotspur — Brighton & Hove Albion · Premier League2–1
Brighton & Hove Albion — Tottenham Hotspur · Premier League0–1
Tottenham Hotspur — Brighton & Hove Albion · Premier League0–1
Brighton & Hove Albion — Tottenham Hotspur · Premier League0–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Brighton & Hove Albion favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Tottenham Hotspur in 4 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Brighton & Hove Albion19 matchesTottenham Hotspur19 matches
2 goals/matchGoals scored19/192.05 goals/match
1.74 goals/matchGoals allowed19/19▲ 1.47 goals/match
1.75 xG/matchExpected goals19/191.75 xG/match
15.1 shots/matchShots19/19▲ 16.2 shots/match
6.32 shots/matchShots on target19/196.05 shots/match
61% ●Possession19/1960.1%
5.37 corners/matchCorners19/19● 5.42 corners/match
11.2 fouls/matchFouls19/1911 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples19 / 19home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 28 Dec 2023, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBrighton & Hove AlbionTottenham Hotspur
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2023/24
Head-to-headBrighton & Hove Albion — Tottenham Hotspur
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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