Premier League · 2023Tue, 2 Jan 2024, 19:30 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

West Ham United

WLWWW

0–0Full-time recap

Brighton & Hove Albion

WDLDW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	West Ham United	Brighton & Hove Albion
Shots	6 shots/match	22 shots/match▲
Shots on target	2 shots/match	8 shots/match▲
Expected goals	0.68 xG/match	2.38 xG/match▲
Possession	31%	69%●
Corners	2 corners/match●	0 corners/match
Fouls	4 fouls/match	6 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

West Ham United: 6 shots, 2 on target, 0.69 xG. Brighton & Hove Albion: 22 shots, 8 on target, 2.43 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: West Ham United 0.69 xG · Brighton & Hove Albion 2.43 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Brighton & Hove Albion's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Brighton & Hove Albion have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Brighton & Hove Albion's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Brighton & Hove Albion's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.9 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.2 goals/match	1.9 goals/match	1.49 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Brighton & Hove Albion have recorded the higher season possession share.

40.1%PossessionWest Ham United · Brighton & Hove Albion●61.4%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 21.3 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	West Ham United	Brighton & Hove Albion	Baseline
Possession	40.1%	61.4%	49.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Brighton & Hove Albion have a visible away split

moderate

Brighton & Hove Albion's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

12.3 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season15.4 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

Metric	Away only	Season	Baseline
Shots	12.3 shots/match	15.4 shots/match	13.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1West Ham United

1Draws

3Brighton & Hove Albion

26 Aug 2023Brighton & Hove Albion — West Ham United · Premier League1–3

4 Mar 2023Brighton & Hove Albion — West Ham United · Premier League4–0

21 Aug 2022West Ham United — Brighton & Hove Albion · Premier League0–2

22 May 2022Brighton & Hove Albion — West Ham United · Premier League3–1

1 Dec 2021West Ham United — Brighton & Hove Albion · Premier League1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

West Ham United favored in 2 of 13 directional metrics · Brighton & Hove Albion in 9 · 2 too close

1.65 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 20/20▲1.9 goals/match

1.5 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 20/201.65 goals/match

1.4 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 20/20▲1.79 xG/match

1.8 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 20/20▲1.51 xG/match

11.1 shots/matchShotsseason · 20/20▲15.4 shots/match

16.7 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 20/20▲12.3 shots/match

4.1 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 20/20▲6.4 shots/match

5.55 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 20/20▲4.3 shots/match

40.1%Possessionseason · 20/20●61.4%

4.55 corners/matchCornersseason · 20/20●5.1 corners/match

6.25 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 20/20▲4 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

10.7 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 20/2011 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

25%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 20/205%

85%Scoring frequencyseason · 20/20▲90%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

West Ham United22.5

Brighton & Hove Albion92.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

West Ham United35

Brighton & Hove Albion79.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

West Ham United27.5

Brighton & Hove Albion60

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

West Ham United67.5

Brighton & Hove Albion27.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

West Ham United22.5

Brighton & Hove Albion50

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

West Ham United22.5

Brighton & Hove Albion52.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

West Ham United23.1

Brighton & Hove Albion66.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

West Ham United20 matchesBrighton & Hove Albion20 matches

1.65 goals/matchGoals scored20/20▲1.9 goals/match

1.5 goals/match▲Goals allowed20/201.65 goals/match

1.4 xG/matchExpected goals20/20▲1.79 xG/match

11.1 shots/matchShots20/20▲15.4 shots/match

4.1 shots/matchShots on target20/20▲6.4 shots/match

40.1%Possession20/20●61.4%

4.55 corners/matchCorners20/20●5.1 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

10.7 fouls/matchFouls20/2011 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

West Ham United10 matchesBrighton & Hove Albion10 matches

1.7 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101.6 goals/match

1 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.9 goals/match

1.27 xG/matchExpected goals10/10▲1.39 xG/match

11.1 shots/matchShots10/10▲12.3 shots/match

4.3 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲5.3 shots/match

42.6%Possession10/10●60.4%

4.5 corners/match●Corners10/102.6 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

9.8 fouls/matchFouls10/1010.2 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

4.97 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/15 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples20 / 20home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Tue, 2 Jan 2024, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4