Premier League · 2023

Liverpool 4–2 Newcastle United · Premier League

4–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Liverpool won 4–2.

Shots
345
Shots on target
153
Expected goals
7.110.6
Possession
62%38%

Full time

What the match recorded

Liverpool beat Newcastle United 4–2. Recorded in this match (Liverpool – Newcastle United): shots 34–5, shots on target 15–3, expected goals 7.11–0.6, possession 62%–38%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Newcastle United's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Newcastle United's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.95 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.95 goals/match1.49 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Liverpool have a visible home split

moderate

Liverpool's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

23.6 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season19 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots23.6 shots/match19 shots/match13.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Liverpool show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Liverpool's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

19 shots/match ▲ShotsLiverpool · Newcastle United14.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLiverpoolNewcastle UnitedBaseline
Shots19 shots/match14.1 shots/match13.5 shots/match
Shots against11.3 shots/match13.9 shots/match13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots34 shots5 shotsLiverpool 34 shots, Newcastle United 5 shots
  • Shots on target15 shots3 shotsLiverpool 15 shots, Newcastle United 3 shots
  • Expected goals7.11 xG0.6 xGLiverpool 7.11 xG, Newcastle United 0.6 xG
  • Possession62%38%Liverpool 62%, Newcastle United 38%
  • Corners7 corners3 cornersLiverpool 7 corners, Newcastle United 3 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls15 foulsLiverpool 16 fouls, Newcastle United 15 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Trent Alexander-Arnold · Liverpool · 39′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedDarwin Núñez · Liverpool · 17′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDominik Szoboszlai · Liverpool · 30′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDarwin Núñez · Liverpool · 53′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Salah · Liverpool · 65′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAnthony Gordon · Newcastle United · 70′ · 0.02 xG · on targetWataru Endo · Liverpool · 12′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedCurtis Jones · Liverpool · 24′ · 0.03 xG · on targetRyan Gravenberch · Liverpool · 69′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Salah · Liverpool · 88′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedTrent Alexander-Arnold · Liverpool · 2′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDominik Szoboszlai · Liverpool · 42′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedIbrahima Konaté · Liverpool · 26′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedWataru Endo · Liverpool · 29′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLewis Miley · Newcastle United · 8′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedCurtis Jones · Liverpool · 26′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedVirgil van Dijk · Liverpool · 26′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedDarwin Núñez · Liverpool · 36′ · 0.07 xG · on targetMiguel Almirón · Newcastle United · 76′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedDarwin Núñez · Liverpool · 52′ · 0.08 xG · on targetDarwin Núñez · Liverpool · 64′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedDominik Szoboszlai · Liverpool · 1′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedLuis Díaz · Liverpool · 62′ · 0.09 xG · on targetDiogo Jota · Liverpool · 90′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedCurtis Jones · Liverpool · 12′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedCurtis Jones · Liverpool · 65′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedSven Botman · Newcastle United · 81′ · 0.18 xG · goalMohamed Salah · Liverpool · 90′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedCody Gakpo · Liverpool · 69′ · 0.20 xG · on targetAlexander Isak · Newcastle United · 54′ · 0.26 xG · goalTrent Alexander-Arnold · Liverpool · 23′ · 0.28 xG · off target or blockedDarwin Núñez · Liverpool · 52′ · 0.42 xG · on targetDarwin Núñez · Liverpool · 12′ · 0.49 xG · on targetDarwin Núñez · Liverpool · 36′ · 0.51 xG · on targetCody Gakpo · Liverpool · 78′ · 0.53 xG · goalMohamed Salah · Liverpool · 22′ · 0.82 xG · on targetMohamed Salah · Liverpool · 86′ · 0.82 xG · goalMohamed Salah · Liverpool · 49′ · 0.93 xG · goalCurtis Jones · Liverpool · 74′ · 1.00 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Liverpool: 34 shots, 14 on target, 7.51 xG. Newcastle United: 5 shots, 3 on target, 0.60 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0480′HT90′Mohamed Salah · Liverpool · 49′Curtis Jones · Liverpool · 74′Cody Gakpo · Liverpool · 78′Mohamed Salah · Liverpool · 86′Alexander Isak · Newcastle United · 54′Sven Botman · Newcastle United · 81′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Liverpool 7.51 xG · Newcastle United 0.60 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

5Liverpool
0Draws
0Newcastle United
Newcastle United — Liverpool · Premier League1–2
Newcastle United — Liverpool · Premier League0–2
Liverpool — Newcastle United · Premier League2–1
Newcastle United — Liverpool · Premier League0–1
Liverpool — Newcastle United · Premier League3–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Liverpool favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · Newcastle United in 0 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Liverpool20 matchesNewcastle United20 matches
2.15 goals/match ▲Goals scored20/201.95 goals/match
0.9 goals/match ▲Goals allowed20/201.45 goals/match
2.25 xG/match ▲Expected goals20/201.99 xG/match
19 shots/match ▲Shots20/2014.1 shots/match
6.55 shots/match ▲Shots on target20/205.4 shots/match
60.5% ●Possession20/2054.7%
6.65 corners/match ●Corners20/204.8 corners/match
12 fouls/matchFouls20/2010.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples20 / 20home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 2 Jan 2024, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

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