Premier League · 2023Sun, 31 Dec 2023, 14:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Tottenham Hotspur

LWWWL

3–1Full-time recap

Bournemouth

DWWWW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Tottenham Hotspur	Bournemouth
Shots	12 shots/match	24 shots/match▲
Shots on target	6 shots/match▲	4 shots/match
Expected goals	2.32 xG/match▲	1.68 xG/match
Possession	51%●	49%
Corners	4 corners/match	13 corners/match●
Fouls	9 fouls/match	18 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Tottenham Hotspur: 12 shots, 6 on target, 2.37 xG. Bournemouth: 24 shots, 4 on target, 1.69 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Tottenham Hotspur 2.37 xG · Bournemouth 1.69 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Bournemouth's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Tottenham Hotspur. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Bournemouth's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Bournemouth's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.4 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.47 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	2.4 goals/match	1.47 goals/match	1.49 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Tottenham Hotspur.

2.77 days▲Rest daysTottenham Hotspur · Bournemouth4.96 days

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

Metric	Tottenham Hotspur	Bournemouth	Baseline
Rest days	2.77 days	4.96 days	—
Matches last 14 days	2 matches	2 matches	—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Tottenham Hotspur show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Tottenham Hotspur's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

16 shots/match▲ShotsTottenham Hotspur · Bournemouth13.4 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Tottenham Hotspur	Bournemouth	Baseline
Shots	16 shots/match	13.4 shots/match	13.5 shots/match
Shots against	14.3 shots/match	15.3 shots/match	13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

2Tottenham Hotspur

0Draws

1Bournemouth

26 Aug 2023Bournemouth — Tottenham Hotspur · Premier League0–2

15 Apr 2023Tottenham Hotspur — Bournemouth · Premier League2–3

29 Oct 2022Bournemouth — Tottenham Hotspur · Premier League2–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Tottenham Hotspur favored in 8 of 13 directional metrics · Bournemouth in 3 · 2 too close

2.1 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 20/191.47 goals/match

1.45 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 20/191.84 goals/match

1.77 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 20/191.44 xG/match

1.78 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 20/19▲1.66 xG/match

16 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 20/1913.4 shots/match

14.3 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 20/1915.3 shots/match

6.05 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 20/194.89 shots/match

4.65 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 20/195.26 shots/match

59.7%●Possessionseason · 20/1943.7%

5.35 corners/matchCornersseason · 20/19●5.79 corners/match

6.75 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 20/19▲6.26 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

10.9 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 20/1912.8 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

25%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 20/19▲26%

100%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 20/1979%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Tottenham Hotspur77.5

Bournemouth32.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Tottenham Hotspur84.2

Bournemouth49.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Tottenham Hotspur48.3

Bournemouth20.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Tottenham Hotspur52.5

Bournemouth92.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Tottenham Hotspur37.5

Bournemouth92.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Tottenham Hotspur57.5

Bournemouth72.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Tottenham Hotspur65

Bournemouth66.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Tottenham Hotspur20 matchesBournemouth19 matches

2.1 goals/match▲Goals scored20/191.47 goals/match

1.45 goals/match▲Goals allowed20/191.84 goals/match

1.77 xG/match▲Expected goals20/191.44 xG/match

16 shots/match▲Shots20/1913.4 shots/match

6.05 shots/match▲Shots on target20/194.89 shots/match

59.7%●Possession20/1943.7%

5.35 corners/matchCorners20/19●5.79 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

10.9 fouls/matchFouls20/1912.8 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Tottenham Hotspur10 matchesBournemouth10 matches

2 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101.7 goals/match

1.3 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/102.3 goals/match

2.03 xG/match▲Expected goals10/101.57 xG/match

18.1 shots/match▲Shots10/1013.9 shots/match

7.3 shots/match▲Shots on target10/104.9 shots/match

59.1%●Possession10/1044.2%

6.2 corners/match●Corners10/105.5 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

10.2 fouls/matchFouls10/1013 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

2.77 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/14.96 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples20 / 19home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 31 Dec 2023, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4