Premier League · 2023

Wolverhampton 3–4 Manchester United · Premier League

3–4Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Manchester United won 3–4.

Shots
1621
Shots on target
78
Expected goals
2.23.34
Possession
53%47%

Full time

What the match recorded

Manchester United beat Wolverhampton 4–3. Recorded in this match (Wolverhampton – Manchester United): shots 16–21, shots on target 7–8, expected goals 2.2–3.34, possession 53%–47%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Wolverhampton's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Wolverhampton's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.5 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.4 goals/match1.5 goals/match1.49 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots21 shotsWolverhampton 16 shots, Manchester United 21 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots8 shotsWolverhampton 7 shots, Manchester United 8 shots
  • Expected goals2.2 xG3.34 xGWolverhampton 2.2 xG, Manchester United 3.34 xG
  • Possession53%47%Wolverhampton 53%, Manchester United 47%
  • Corners4 corners5 cornersWolverhampton 4 corners, Manchester United 5 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls10 foulsWolverhampton 10 fouls, Manchester United 10 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Casemiro · Manchester United · 16′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedCasemiro · Manchester United · 11′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRaphaël Varane · Manchester United · 34′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDiogo Dalot · Manchester United · 67′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNélson Semedo · Wolverhampton · 82′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAntony · Manchester United · 83′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNélson Semedo · Wolverhampton · 21′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMatheus Cunha · Wolverhampton · 21′ · 0.03 xG · on targetBruno Fernandes · Manchester United · 74′ · 0.03 xG · on targetKobbie Mainoo · Manchester United · 74′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBruno Fernandes · Manchester United · 80′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAlejandro Garnacho · Manchester United · 34′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMatheus Cunha · Wolverhampton · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMario Lemina · Wolverhampton · 37′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedTommy Doyle · Wolverhampton · 63′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedPedro Neto · Wolverhampton · 73′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedPedro Neto · Wolverhampton · 85′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedTommy Doyle · Wolverhampton · 28′ · 0.06 xG · on targetMatheus Cunha · Wolverhampton · 59′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedCraig Dawson · Wolverhampton · 85′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAntony · Manchester United · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedCasemiro · Manchester United · 55′ · 0.07 xG · on targetBruno Fernandes · Manchester United · 32′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedKobbie Mainoo · Manchester United · 90′ · 0.08 xG · goalPedro Neto · Wolverhampton · 90′ · 0.08 xG · goalMarcus Rashford · Manchester United · 5′ · 0.10 xG · goalMax Kilman · Wolverhampton · 49′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedBruno Fernandes · Manchester United · 90′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedCraig Dawson · Wolverhampton · 58′ · 0.14 xG · on targetScott McTominay · Manchester United · 75′ · 0.16 xG · goalBruno Fernandes · Manchester United · 46′ · 0.27 xG · off target or blockedCasemiro · Manchester United · 26′ · 0.32 xG · off target or blockedRasmus Højlund · Manchester United · 55′ · 0.33 xG · on targetMax Kilman · Wolverhampton · 85′ · 0.62 xG · goalScott McTominay · Manchester United · 90′ · 0.73 xG · on targetRasmus Højlund · Manchester United · 22′ · 0.82 xG · goalPablo Sarabia · Wolverhampton · 71′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Wolverhampton: 16 shots, 6 on target, 2.26 xG. Manchester United: 21 shots, 8 on target, 3.37 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.753.50′HT90′Pablo Sarabia · Wolverhampton · 71′Max Kilman · Wolverhampton · 85′Pedro Neto · Wolverhampton · 90′Marcus Rashford · Manchester United · 5′Rasmus Højlund · Manchester United · 22′Scott McTominay · Manchester United · 75′Kobbie Mainoo · Manchester United · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Wolverhampton 2.26 xG · Manchester United 3.37 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Wolverhampton
0Draws
4Manchester United
Manchester United — Wolverhampton · Premier League1–0
Manchester United — Wolverhampton · Premier League2–0
Wolverhampton — Manchester United · Premier League0–1
Manchester United — Wolverhampton · Premier League0–1
Wolverhampton — Manchester United · Premier League0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Wolverhampton favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Manchester United in 5 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Wolverhampton22 matchesManchester United22 matches
1.5 goals/match ▲Goals scored22/221.27 goals/match
1.59 goals/matchGoals allowed22/22▲ 1.45 goals/match
1.39 xG/matchExpected goals22/22▲ 1.52 xG/match
11.5 shots/matchShots22/22▲ 14.2 shots/match
4.23 shots/matchShots on target22/22▲ 4.55 shots/match
47.1%Possession22/22● 51.7%
4.32 corners/matchCorners22/22● 6.32 corners/match
12.8 fouls/matchFouls22/2210.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples22 / 22home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 2 Feb 2024, 00:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

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