Premier League · 2023Sun, 4 Feb 2024, 14:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
30Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricManchester UnitedWest Ham United
Shots12 shots/match22 shots/match
Shots on target5 shots/match3 shots/match
Expected goals0.75 xG/match1.4 xG/match
Possession51%49%
Corners5 corners/match8 corners/match
Fouls10 fouls/match5 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Bruno Fernandes · Manchester United · 15′ · 0.01 xG · on targetDiogo Dalot · Manchester United · 15′ · 0.01 xG · on targetBen Johnson · West Ham United · 17′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDiogo Dalot · Manchester United · 46′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedBen Johnson · West Ham United · 27′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJarrod Bowen · West Ham United · 42′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRasmus Højlund · Manchester United · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDiogo Dalot · Manchester United · 54′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTomáš Souček · West Ham United · 11′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBen Johnson · West Ham United · 26′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedEmerson Palmieri · West Ham United · 72′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMaxwel Cornet · West Ham United · 77′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKalvin Phillips · West Ham United · 80′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedEdson Álvarez · West Ham United · 87′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMohammed Kudus · West Ham United · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMohammed Kudus · West Ham United · 18′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMarcus Rashford · Manchester United · 51′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJames Ward-Prowse · West Ham United · 44′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAlejandro Garnacho · Manchester United · 49′ · 0.05 xG · goalMohammed Kudus · West Ham United · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedScott McTominay · Manchester United · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedBruno Fernandes · Manchester United · 58′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedEmerson Palmieri · West Ham United · 48′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedTomáš Souček · West Ham United · 17′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedMohammed Kudus · West Ham United · 31′ · 0.09 xG · on targetEdson Álvarez · West Ham United · 41′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedKurt Zouma · West Ham United · 77′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedRasmus Højlund · Manchester United · 23′ · 0.11 xG · goalJames Ward-Prowse · West Ham United · 20′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedJarrod Bowen · West Ham United · 69′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedEmerson Palmieri · West Ham United · 55′ · 0.13 xG · on targetMarcus Rashford · Manchester United · 58′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedAlejandro Garnacho · Manchester United · 84′ · 0.18 xG · goalNayef Aguerd · West Ham United · 11′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Manchester United: 12 shots, 5 on target, 0.72 xG. West Ham United: 22 shots, 3 on target, 1.42 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Rasmus Højlund · Manchester United · 23′Alejandro Garnacho · Manchester United · 49′Alejandro Garnacho · Manchester United · 84′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Manchester United 0.72 xG · West Ham United 1.42 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Manchester United's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Manchester United, West Ham United. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Manchester United's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Manchester United's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.6 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season1.35 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.6 goals/match1.35 goals/match1.52 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Manchester United, West Ham United.

2.74 daysRest daysManchester United · West Ham United2.77 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricManchester UnitedWest Ham UnitedBaseline
Rest days2.74 days2.77 days
Matches last 14 days1 matches2 matches

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Manchester United show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Manchester United's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.1 shots/matchShotsManchester United · West Ham United11.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricManchester UnitedWest Ham UnitedBaseline
Shots14.1 shots/match11.7 shots/match13.2 shots/match
Shots against15.4 shots/match16.3 shots/match13.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

3Manchester United
0Draws
2West Ham United
West Ham UnitedManchester United · Premier League20
West Ham UnitedManchester United · Premier League10
Manchester UnitedWest Ham United · Premier League10
Manchester UnitedWest Ham United · Premier League10
West Ham UnitedManchester United · Premier League12

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Manchester United favored in 7 of 13 directional metrics · West Ham United in 3 · 3 too close

1.35 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 23/231.57 goals/match
1.39 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 23/231.57 goals/match
1.49 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 23/231.44 xG/match
1.65 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 23/231.75 xG/match
14.1 shots/matchShotsseason · 23/2311.7 shots/match
15.4 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 23/2316.3 shots/match
4.57 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 23/234.04 shots/match
4.91 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 23/235.48 shots/match
51.7%Possessionseason · 23/2341%
6.26 corners/matchCornersseason · 23/234.39 corners/match
6.39 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 23/236.04 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
10.4 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 23/2310.5 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
30%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 23/2322%
70%Scoring frequencyseason · 23/2383%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Manchester United57.5
West Ham United22.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Manchester United50.8
West Ham United35.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Manchester United44.2
West Ham United31.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Manchester United62.5
West Ham United77.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Manchester United17.5
West Ham United22.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Manchester United82.5
West Ham United17.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Manchester United55
West Ham United23.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Manchester United23 matchesWest Ham United23 matches
1.35 goals/matchGoals scored23/231.57 goals/match
1.39 goals/matchGoals allowed23/231.57 goals/match
1.49 xG/matchExpected goals23/231.44 xG/match
14.1 shots/matchShots23/2311.7 shots/match
4.57 shots/matchShots on target23/234.04 shots/match
51.7%Possession23/2341%
6.26 corners/matchCorners23/234.39 corners/match
Cards0/0
10.4 fouls/matchFouls23/2310.5 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Manchester United12 matchesWest Ham United12 matches
1.5 goals/matchGoals scored12/121.5 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed12/122.08 goals/match
1.65 xG/matchExpected goals12/121.58 xG/match
15.9 shots/matchShots12/1212.4 shots/match
5.08 shots/matchShots on target12/123.92 shots/match
54.5%Possession12/1239%
8.33 corners/matchCorners12/124.58 corners/match
Cards0/0
10.1 fouls/matchFouls12/1210.8 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

2.74 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/12.77 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited
Season samples23 / 23home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 4 Feb 2024, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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