Premier League · 2023Sun, 4 Feb 2024, 14:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Chelsea

LWWWL

2–4Full-time recap

Wolverhampton

WWWDL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Chelsea	Wolverhampton
Shots	15 shots/match▲	14 shots/match
Shots on target	6 shots/match	7 shots/match▲
Expected goals	1.74 xG/match	2 xG/match▲
Possession	64%●	36%
Corners	10 corners/match●	1 corners/match
Fouls	15 fouls/match	11 fouls/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Wolverhampton's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Chelsea, Wolverhampton. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Wolverhampton's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Wolverhampton's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.8 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.61 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	2.8 goals/match	1.61 goals/match	1.52 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Chelsea, Wolverhampton.

3.74 days▲Rest daysChelsea · Wolverhampton2.74 days

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

Metric	Chelsea	Wolverhampton	Baseline
Rest days	3.74 days	2.74 days	—
Matches last 14 days	1 matches	2 matches	—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

moderate

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

12.9 fouls/matchFoulsChelsea · Wolverhampton12.7 fouls/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

Metric	Chelsea	Wolverhampton	Baseline
Fouls	12.9 fouls/match	12.7 fouls/match	11 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Chelsea

2Draws

2Wolverhampton

24 Dec 2023Wolverhampton — Chelsea · Premier League2–1

8 Apr 2023Wolverhampton — Chelsea · Premier League1–0

8 Oct 2022Chelsea — Wolverhampton · Premier League3–0

7 May 2022Chelsea — Wolverhampton · Premier League2–2

19 Dec 2021Wolverhampton — Chelsea · Premier League0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Chelsea favored in 7 of 13 directional metrics · Wolverhampton in 3 · 3 too close

1.65 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 23/231.61 goals/match

1.7 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 23/23▲1.61 goals/match

1.93 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 23/231.42 xG/match

1.53 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 23/231.72 xG/match

13.3 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 23/2311.7 shots/match

13.3 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 23/2314.2 shots/match

4.87 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 23/234.35 shots/match

5.26 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 23/23▲4.87 shots/match

59%●Possessionseason · 23/2346.7%

5.13 corners/match●Cornersseason · 23/234.17 corners/match

5.04 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 23/235.87 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

12.9 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 23/2312.7 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

22%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 23/2317%

78%Scoring frequencyseason · 23/23▲87%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Chelsea72.5

Wolverhampton42.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Chelsea59.2

Wolverhampton39.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Chelsea45

Wolverhampton46.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Chelsea2.5

Wolverhampton27.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Chelsea97.5

Wolverhampton87.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Chelsea52.5

Wolverhampton12.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Chelsea66.2

Wolverhampton40

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Chelsea23 matchesWolverhampton23 matches

1.65 goals/matchGoals scored23/231.61 goals/match

1.7 goals/matchGoals allowed23/23▲1.61 goals/match

1.93 xG/match▲Expected goals23/231.42 xG/match

13.3 shots/match▲Shots23/2311.7 shots/match

4.87 shots/match▲Shots on target23/234.35 shots/match

59%●Possession23/2346.7%

5.13 corners/match●Corners23/234.17 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

12.9 fouls/matchFouls23/2312.7 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Chelsea12 matchesWolverhampton12 matches

1.67 goals/match▲Goals scored12/121.5 goals/match

1.5 goals/match▲Goals allowed12/121.58 goals/match

2.1 xG/match▲Expected goals12/121.43 xG/match

14.1 shots/match▲Shots12/1211.9 shots/match

4.83 shots/match▲Shots on target12/124.33 shots/match

59.3%●Possession12/1247.8%

5.75 corners/match●Corners12/123.17 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.4 fouls/matchFouls12/1212.4 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

3.74 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/12.74 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples23 / 23home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 4 Feb 2024, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4