Premier League · 2023Wed, 31 Jan 2024, 20:15 UTCFull timeHistorical match

Liverpool

DDWWW

4–1Historical match

Chelsea

WLWWW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Liverpool	Chelsea
Shots	28 shots/match▲	4 shots/match
Shots on target	13 shots/match▲	3 shots/match
Expected goals	2.9 xG/match▲	0.58 xG/match
Possession	51%●	49%
Corners	8 corners/match●	1 corners/match
Fouls	15 fouls/match	16 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Liverpool: 28 shots, 13 on target, 2.93 xG. Chelsea: 4 shots, 3 on target, 0.61 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Liverpool 2.93 xG · Chelsea 0.61 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Liverpool's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Liverpool's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Liverpool's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Liverpool's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

3 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.32 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	3 goals/match	2.32 goals/match	1.45 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Liverpool have a visible home split

strong

Liverpool's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

24 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season19.2 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

Metric	Home only	Season	Baseline
Shots	24 shots/match	19.2 shots/match	13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Liverpool show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Liverpool's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

19.2 shots/match▲ShotsLiverpool · Chelsea13.2 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Liverpool	Chelsea	Baseline
Shots	19.2 shots/match	13.2 shots/match	13.2 shots/match
Shots against	11 shots/match	13.3 shots/match	13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Liverpool

5Draws

0Chelsea

13 Aug 2023Chelsea — Liverpool · Premier League1–1

4 Apr 2023Chelsea — Liverpool · Premier League0–0

21 Jan 2023Liverpool — Chelsea · Premier League0–0

2 Jan 2022Chelsea — Liverpool · Premier League2–2

28 Aug 2021Liverpool — Chelsea · Premier League1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Liverpool favored in 11 of 13 directional metrics · Chelsea in 0 · 2 too close

2.32 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 22/221.64 goals/match

0.86 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 22/221.59 goals/match

2.24 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 22/221.94 xG/match

1.13 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 22/221.5 xG/match

19.2 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 22/2213.2 shots/match

11 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 22/2213.3 shots/match

6.86 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 22/224.82 shots/match

3.27 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 22/225.18 shots/match

60%●Possessionseason · 22/2258.8%

6.64 corners/match●Cornersseason · 22/224.91 corners/match

4.64 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 22/225.23 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

12.1 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 22/2212.8 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

36%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 22/2223%

95%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 22/2277%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Liverpool77.5

Chelsea72.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Liverpool94.2

Chelsea55.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Liverpool89.2

Chelsea50.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Liverpool92.5

Chelsea2.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Liverpool72.5

Chelsea92.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Liverpool87.5

Chelsea42.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Liverpool87.5

Chelsea61.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Liverpool22 matchesChelsea22 matches

2.32 goals/match▲Goals scored22/221.64 goals/match

0.86 goals/match▲Goals allowed22/221.59 goals/match

2.24 xG/match▲Expected goals22/221.94 xG/match

19.2 shots/match▲Shots22/2213.2 shots/match

6.86 shots/match▲Shots on target22/224.82 shots/match

60%●Possession22/2258.8%

6.64 corners/match●Corners22/224.91 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

12.1 fouls/matchFouls22/2212.8 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Liverpool11 matchesChelsea11 matches

2.73 goals/match▲Goals scored11/111.64 goals/match

0.82 goals/match▲Goals allowed11/111.91 goals/match

2.85 xG/match▲Expected goals11/111.74 xG/match

24 shots/match▲Shots11/1112.4 shots/match

8.73 shots/match▲Shots on target11/114.91 shots/match

63.2%●Possession11/1158.8%

7.64 corners/match●Corners11/114.45 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

12 fouls/matchFouls11/1114.5 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

10.2 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/118.3 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples22 / 22home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Thu, 1 Feb 2024, 00:15 UTC · analysis-v4