Premier League · 2023

Liverpool 4–1 Chelsea · Premier League

4–1Historical match

Chelsea

WLWWW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Liverpool won 4–1.

Shots
284
Shots on target
133
Expected goals
2.90.58
Possession
51%49%

Full time

What the match recorded

Liverpool beat Chelsea 4–1. Recorded in this match (Liverpool – Chelsea): shots 28–4, shots on target 13–3, expected goals 2.9–0.58, possession 51%–49%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Liverpool's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Liverpool's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

3 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.32 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for3 goals/match2.32 goals/match1.45 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Liverpool have a visible home split

strong

Liverpool's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

24 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season19.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots24 shots/match19.2 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Liverpool show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Liverpool's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

19.2 shots/match ▲ShotsLiverpool · Chelsea13.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLiverpoolChelseaBaseline
Shots19.2 shots/match13.2 shots/match13.2 shots/match
Shots against11 shots/match13.3 shots/match13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots28 shots4 shotsLiverpool 28 shots, Chelsea 4 shots
  • Shots on target13 shots3 shotsLiverpool 13 shots, Chelsea 3 shots
  • Expected goals2.9 xG0.58 xGLiverpool 2.9 xG, Chelsea 0.58 xG
  • Possession51%49%Liverpool 51%, Chelsea 49%
  • Corners8 corners1 cornerLiverpool 8 corners, Chelsea 1 corner
  • Fouls15 fouls16 foulsLiverpool 15 fouls, Chelsea 16 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Darwin Núñez · Liverpool · 48′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedVirgil van Dijk · Liverpool · 19′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedEnzo Fernández · Chelsea · 45′ · 0.02 xG · on targetLuis Díaz · Liverpool · 53′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAlexis Mac Allister · Liverpool · 76′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAlexis Mac Allister · Liverpool · 9′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDarwin Núñez · Liverpool · 15′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedCurtis Jones · Liverpool · 31′ · 0.03 xG · on targetMalo Gusto · Chelsea · 73′ · 0.03 xG · on targetCody Gakpo · Liverpool · 77′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDarwin Núñez · Liverpool · 84′ · 0.03 xG · on targetCody Gakpo · Liverpool · 90′ · 0.03 xG · on targetDarwin Núñez · Liverpool · 8′ · 0.04 xG · on targetDarwin Núñez · Liverpool · 14′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLuis Díaz · Liverpool · 21′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedHarvey Elliott · Liverpool · 76′ · 0.04 xG · on targetDiogo Jota · Liverpool · 56′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDominik Szoboszlai · Liverpool · 59′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDominik Szoboszlai · Liverpool · 34′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAlexis Mac Allister · Liverpool · 20′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedDarwin Núñez · Liverpool · 61′ · 0.08 xG · on targetDarwin Núñez · Liverpool · 18′ · 0.09 xG · on targetConor Bradley · Liverpool · 39′ · 0.09 xG · goalDarwin Núñez · Liverpool · 6′ · 0.10 xG · on targetDarwin Núñez · Liverpool · 31′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedDarwin Núñez · Liverpool · 76′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedDominik Szoboszlai · Liverpool · 65′ · 0.14 xG · goalChristopher Nkunku · Chelsea · 71′ · 0.16 xG · goalDiogo Jota · Liverpool · 23′ · 0.32 xG · goalMykhailo Mudryk · Chelsea · 51′ · 0.40 xG · off target or blockedLuis Díaz · Liverpool · 79′ · 0.40 xG · goalDarwin Núñez · Liverpool · 45′ · 0.82 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Liverpool: 28 shots, 13 on target, 2.93 xG. Chelsea: 4 shots, 3 on target, 0.61 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Diogo Jota · Liverpool · 23′Conor Bradley · Liverpool · 39′Dominik Szoboszlai · Liverpool · 65′Luis Díaz · Liverpool · 79′Christopher Nkunku · Chelsea · 71′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Liverpool 2.93 xG · Chelsea 0.61 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Liverpool
5Draws
0Chelsea
Chelsea — Liverpool · Premier League1–1
Chelsea — Liverpool · Premier League0–0
Liverpool — Chelsea · Premier League0–0
Chelsea — Liverpool · Premier League2–2
Liverpool — Chelsea · Premier League1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Liverpool favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Chelsea in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Liverpool22 matchesChelsea22 matches
2.32 goals/match ▲Goals scored22/221.64 goals/match
0.86 goals/match ▲Goals allowed22/221.59 goals/match
2.24 xG/match ▲Expected goals22/221.94 xG/match
19.2 shots/match ▲Shots22/2213.2 shots/match
6.86 shots/match ▲Shots on target22/224.82 shots/match
60% ●Possession22/2258.8%
6.64 corners/match ●Corners22/224.91 corners/match
12.1 fouls/matchFouls22/2212.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples22 / 22home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 1 Feb 2024, 00:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

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