Premier League · 2023

Tottenham Hotspur 3–2 Brentford · Premier League

3–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Tottenham Hotspur won 3–2.

Shots
199
Shots on target
55
Expected goals
3.011.59
Possession
68%32%

Full time

What the match recorded

Tottenham Hotspur beat Brentford 3–2. Recorded in this match (Tottenham Hotspur – Brentford): shots 19–9, shots on target 5–5, expected goals 3.01–1.59, possession 68%–32%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Brentford's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Brentford's last-five shots average is below their season average.

9.4 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season13.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots9.4 shots/match13.1 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Tottenham Hotspur have recorded the higher season possession share.

60.2% ●PossessionTottenham Hotspur · Brentford47.9%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 12.4 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricTottenham HotspurBrentfordBaseline
Possession60.2%47.9%49.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots19 shots9 shotsTottenham Hotspur 19 shots, Brentford 9 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots5 shotsTottenham Hotspur 5 shots, Brentford 5 shots
  • Expected goals3.01 xG1.59 xGTottenham Hotspur 3.01 xG, Brentford 1.59 xG
  • Possession68%32%Tottenham Hotspur 68%, Brentford 32%
  • Corners5 corners3 cornersTottenham Hotspur 5 corners, Brentford 3 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls15 foulsTottenham Hotspur 13 fouls, Brentford 15 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Timo Werner · Tottenham Hotspur · 21′ · 0.02 xG · on targetPedro Porro · Tottenham Hotspur · 76′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJames Maddison · Tottenham Hotspur · 23′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRicharlison · Tottenham Hotspur · 90′ · 0.03 xG · on targetRicharlison · Tottenham Hotspur · 25′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedIvan Toney · Brentford · 45′ · 0.04 xG · on targetIvan Toney · Brentford · 63′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPedro Porro · Tottenham Hotspur · 59′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDejan Kulusevski · Tottenham Hotspur · 69′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedTimo Werner · Tottenham Hotspur · 75′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedBen Mee · Brentford · 71′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJames Maddison · Tottenham Hotspur · 69′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedDestiny Udogie · Tottenham Hotspur · 48′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedRicharlison · Tottenham Hotspur · 54′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedJames Maddison · Tottenham Hotspur · 56′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedEthan Pinnock · Brentford · 37′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedDejan Kulusevski · Tottenham Hotspur · 59′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedJames Maddison · Tottenham Hotspur · 11′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedIvan Toney · Brentford · 15′ · 0.14 xG · on targetTimo Werner · Tottenham Hotspur · 21′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedOliver Skipp · Tottenham Hotspur · 4′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedNeal Maupay · Brentford · 15′ · 0.20 xG · goalShandon Baptiste · Brentford · 90′ · 0.20 xG · on targetIvan Toney · Brentford · 64′ · 0.37 xG · off target or blockedRicharlison · Tottenham Hotspur · 56′ · 0.38 xG · goalDestiny Udogie · Tottenham Hotspur · 48′ · 0.49 xG · goalIvan Toney · Brentford · 67′ · 0.53 xG · goalBrennan Johnson · Tottenham Hotspur · 49′ · 0.98 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Tottenham Hotspur: 19 shots, 5 on target, 3.00 xG. Brentford: 9 shots, 5 on target, 1.67 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Destiny Udogie · Tottenham Hotspur · 48′Brennan Johnson · Tottenham Hotspur · 49′Richarlison · Tottenham Hotspur · 56′Neal Maupay · Brentford · 15′Ivan Toney · Brentford · 67′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Tottenham Hotspur 3.00 xG · Brentford 1.67 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Tottenham Hotspur
3Draws
1Brentford
Brentford — Tottenham Hotspur · Premier League2–2
Tottenham Hotspur — Brentford · Premier League1–3
Brentford — Tottenham Hotspur · Premier League2–2
Brentford — Tottenham Hotspur · Premier League0–0
Tottenham Hotspur — Brentford · Premier League2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Tottenham Hotspur favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Brentford in 3 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Tottenham Hotspur22 matchesBrentford21 matches
2.14 goals/match ▲Goals scored22/211.48 goals/match
1.5 goals/match ▲Goals allowed22/211.71 goals/match
1.81 xG/matchExpected goals22/211.74 xG/match
16.1 shots/match ▲Shots22/2113.1 shots/match
6 shots/match ▲Shots on target22/214.38 shots/match
60.2% ●Possession22/2147.9%
5.68 corners/match ●Corners22/214.81 corners/match
10.7 fouls/matchFouls22/2111 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples22 / 21home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 31 Jan 2024, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

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