Premier League · 2023Sat, 3 Feb 2024, 12:30 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Everton

LLLDD

2–2Full-time recap

Tottenham Hotspur

WLWDW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Everton	Tottenham Hotspur
Shots	14 shots/match▲	9 shots/match
Shots on target	5 shots/match	6 shots/match▲
Expected goals	2.62 xG/match▲	0.98 xG/match
Possession	43%	57%●
Corners	9 corners/match●	5 corners/match
Fouls	8 fouls/match	14 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Everton: 14 shots, 4 on target, 3.11 xG. Tottenham Hotspur: 9 shots, 6 on target, 1.01 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Everton 3.11 xG · Tottenham Hotspur 1.01 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Everton's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Everton, Tottenham Hotspur. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Everton's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Everton's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.13 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	0.6 goals/match	1.13 goals/match	1.49 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Everton, Tottenham Hotspur.

3.7 days▲Rest daysEverton · Tottenham Hotspur2.71 days

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

Metric	Everton	Tottenham Hotspur	Baseline
Rest days	3.7 days	2.71 days	—
Matches last 14 days	1 matches	1 matches	—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Tottenham Hotspur have recorded the higher season possession share.

38.7%PossessionEverton · Tottenham Hotspur●60.1%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 21.4 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Everton	Tottenham Hotspur	Baseline
Possession	38.7%	60.1%	49.5%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Everton

2Draws

3Tottenham Hotspur

23 Dec 2023Tottenham Hotspur — Everton · Premier League2–1

3 Apr 2023Everton — Tottenham Hotspur · Premier League1–1

15 Oct 2022Tottenham Hotspur — Everton · Premier League2–0

7 Mar 2022Tottenham Hotspur — Everton · Premier League5–0

7 Nov 2021Everton — Tottenham Hotspur · Premier League0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Everton favored in 5 of 13 directional metrics · Tottenham Hotspur in 5 · 3 too close

1.13 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 23/23▲2.13 goals/match

1.3 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 23/231.52 goals/match

1.59 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 23/23▲1.77 xG/match

1.4 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 23/231.76 xG/match

14 shots/matchShotsseason · 23/23▲15.8 shots/match

13.6 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 23/2313.8 shots/match

4.52 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 23/23▲6 shots/match

4.26 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 23/234.57 shots/match

38.7%Possessionseason · 23/23●60.1%

4.96 corners/matchCornersseason · 23/23●5.65 corners/match

5.91 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 23/236.74 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

12.5 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 23/2310.9 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

35%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 23/2322%

61%Scoring frequencyseason · 23/23▲100%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Everton12.5

Tottenham Hotspur82.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Everton40

Tottenham Hotspur84.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Everton70

Tottenham Hotspur54.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Everton97.5

Tottenham Hotspur42.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Everton82.5

Tottenham Hotspur35

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Everton40

Tottenham Hotspur62.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Everton56.9

Tottenham Hotspur65.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Everton23 matchesTottenham Hotspur23 matches

1.13 goals/matchGoals scored23/23▲2.13 goals/match

1.3 goals/match▲Goals allowed23/231.52 goals/match

1.59 xG/matchExpected goals23/23▲1.77 xG/match

14 shots/matchShots23/23▲15.8 shots/match

4.52 shots/matchShots on target23/23▲6 shots/match

38.7%Possession23/23●60.1%

4.96 corners/matchCorners23/23●5.65 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

12.5 fouls/matchFouls23/2310.9 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Everton12 matchesTottenham Hotspur12 matches

1.08 goals/matchGoals scored12/12▲2.17 goals/match

1.17 goals/match▲Goals allowed12/121.67 goals/match

1.86 xG/match▲Expected goals12/121.45 xG/match

15.4 shots/match▲Shots12/1213.7 shots/match

5 shots/matchShots on target12/125 shots/match

39.1%Possession12/12●60.3%

5.33 corners/match●Corners12/125.25 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

12.1 fouls/matchFouls12/1211.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

3.7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/12.71 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples23 / 23home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 3 Feb 2024, 16:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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Match statistics

Shot map

Expected-goals timeline

What the record shows

Everton's recent record differs from the season

Recent scheduling adds useful context

The teams have contrasting possession records

Head-to-head

Team comparison

How the teams compare

Possession control

Attacking volume

Defensive resistance

Directness proxy

Physicality

Set-piece relevance

Tempo and pressure proxy

Season, last 10 and last 5

Season

Home and away samples

Home team at home / away team away

Rest and recent workload

How much supports this analysis

Known unknowns

Related matches

Make a graphic from this match