PitchMath
Premier League · 2023

Manchester City 2–0 Everton · Premier League

2–0Historical match

Everton

LLDDD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Manchester City won 2–0.

Shots
195
Shots on target
31
Expected goals
1.630.32
Possession
73%27%

Full time

What the match recorded

Manchester City beat Everton 2–0. Recorded in this match (Manchester City – Everton): shots 19–5, shots on target 3–1, expected goals 1.63–0.32, possession 73%–27%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Everton's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Everton's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.08 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match1.08 goals/match1.51 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Manchester City have recorded the higher season possession share.

65.4% ●PossessionManchester City · Everton38.2%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 27.2 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricManchester CityEvertonBaseline
Possession65.4%38.2%49.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Everton show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Everton's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

17.2 shots/match ▲ShotsManchester City · Everton13.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricManchester CityEvertonBaseline
Shots17.2 shots/match13.6 shots/match13.3 shots/match
Shots against7.91 shots/match13.8 shots/match13.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots19 shots5 shotsManchester City 19 shots, Everton 5 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots1 shotManchester City 3 shots, Everton 1 shot
  • Expected goals1.63 xG0.32 xGManchester City 1.63 xG, Everton 0.32 xG
  • Possession73%27%Manchester City 73%, Everton 27%
  • Corners9 corners0 cornersManchester City 9 corners, Everton 0 corners
  • Fouls6 fouls11 foulsManchester City 6 fouls, Everton 11 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Julián Alvarez · Manchester City · 49′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedPhil Foden · Manchester City · 23′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDominic Calvert-Lewin · Everton · 46′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRúben Dias · Manchester City · 70′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRúben Dias · Manchester City · 70′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedErling Haaland · Manchester City · 71′ · 0.02 xG · goalJack Harrison · Everton · 37′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRúben Dias · Manchester City · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPhil Foden · Manchester City · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDwight McNeil · Everton · 79′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDominic Calvert-Lewin · Everton · 15′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJulián Alvarez · Manchester City · 19′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPhil Foden · Manchester City · 33′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedNathan Aké · Manchester City · 42′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRodri · Manchester City · 68′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJérémy Doku · Manchester City · 19′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedErling Haaland · Manchester City · 76′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedNathan Aké · Manchester City · 45′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedPhil Foden · Manchester City · 90′ · 0.11 xG · on targetErling Haaland · Manchester City · 27′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedBen Godfrey · Everton · 8′ · 0.19 xG · on targetKevin De Bruyne · Manchester City · 90′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blockedManuel Akanji · Manchester City · 45′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedErling Haaland · Manchester City · 85′ · 0.45 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Manchester City: 19 shots, 3 on target, 1.61 xG. Everton: 5 shots, 1 on target, 0.31 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Erling Haaland · Manchester City · 71′Erling Haaland · Manchester City · 85′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Manchester City 1.61 xG · Everton 0.31 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

4Manchester City
1Draws
0Everton
Everton — Manchester City · Premier League1–3
Everton — Manchester City · Premier League0–3
Manchester City — Everton · Premier League1–1
Everton — Manchester City · Premier League0–1
Manchester City — Everton · Premier League3–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Manchester City favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · Everton in 1

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Manchester City23 matchesEverton24 matches
2.43 goals/match ▲Goals scored23/241.08 goals/match
1.09 goals/match ▲Goals allowed23/241.33 goals/match
2 xG/match ▲Expected goals23/241.53 xG/match
17.2 shots/match ▲Shots23/2413.6 shots/match
7.09 shots/match ▲Shots on target22/244.38 shots/match
65.4% ●Possession23/2438.2%
7.39 corners/match ●Corners23/244.75 corners/match
8.3 fouls/matchFouls23/2412.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples23 / 24home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 10 Feb 2024, 16:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsManchester CityEverton
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2023/24
Head-to-headManchester City — Everton
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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