PitchMath
UEFA Champions League · 2023

FC København 1–3 Manchester City · UEFA Champions League

1–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Manchester City won 1–3.

Shots
427
Shots on target
113
Expected goals
0.263.44
Possession
21%79%

Full time

What the match recorded

Manchester City beat FC København 3–1. Recorded in this match (FC København – Manchester City): shots 4–27, shots on target 1–13, expected goals 0.26–3.44, possession 21%–79%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

FC København show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

FC København's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

10.7 shots/match ▲ShotsFC København · Manchester City22.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricFC KøbenhavnManchester CityBaseline
Shots10.7 shots/match22.7 shots/match13.5 shots/match
Shots against13.4 shots/match5.14 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Manchester City have recorded the higher season possession share.

44.1%PossessionFC København · Manchester City● 71.6%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 27.5 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricFC KøbenhavnManchester CityBaseline
Possession44.1%71.6%49%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

FC København's recent record differs from the season

weak

FC København's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.54 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1.54 goals/match1.42 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots4 shots27 shotsFC København 4 shots, Manchester City 27 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot13 shotsFC København 1 shot, Manchester City 13 shots
  • Expected goals0.26 xG3.44 xGFC København 0.26 xG, Manchester City 3.44 xG
  • Possession21%79%FC København 21%, Manchester City 79%
  • Corners2 corners6 cornersFC København 2 corners, Manchester City 6 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls3 foulsFC København 13 fouls, Manchester City 3 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Kevin De Bruyne · Manchester City · 44′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedRodri · Manchester City · 68′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJérémy Doku · Manchester City · 69′ · 0.02 xG · on targetPhil Foden · Manchester City · 78′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPhil Foden · Manchester City · 23′ · 0.03 xG · on targetDenis Vavro · FC København · 50′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPhil Foden · Manchester City · 56′ · 0.03 xG · on targetKevin De Bruyne · Manchester City · 75′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKevin De Bruyne · Manchester City · 9′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMagnus Mattsson · FC København · 39′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJérémy Doku · Manchester City · 60′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedErling Haaland · Manchester City · 63′ · 0.06 xG · on targetErling Haaland · Manchester City · 90′ · 0.06 xG · on targetBernardo Silva · Manchester City · 30′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMagnus Mattsson · FC København · 34′ · 0.08 xG · goalKevin De Bruyne · Manchester City · 54′ · 0.08 xG · on targetKevin De Bruyne · Manchester City · 87′ · 0.08 xG · on targetBernardo Silva · Manchester City · 30′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedJérémy Doku · Manchester City · 30′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Elyounoussi · FC København · 34′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedPhil Foden · Manchester City · 66′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedKevin De Bruyne · Manchester City · 10′ · 0.11 xG · goalErling Haaland · Manchester City · 90′ · 0.11 xG · on targetRúben Dias · Manchester City · 6′ · 0.17 xG · on targetKevin De Bruyne · Manchester City · 3′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedErling Haaland · Manchester City · 29′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedMatheus Nunes · Manchester City · 90′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blockedErling Haaland · Manchester City · 77′ · 0.26 xG · off target or blockedPhil Foden · Manchester City · 90′ · 0.26 xG · goalBernardo Silva · Manchester City · 45′ · 0.36 xG · goalNathan Aké · Manchester City · 6′ · 0.81 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

FC København: 4 shots, 1 on target, 0.26 xG. Manchester City: 27 shots, 12 on target, 3.59 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0240′HT90′Magnus Mattsson · FC København · 34′Kevin De Bruyne · Manchester City · 10′Bernardo Silva · Manchester City · 45′Phil Foden · Manchester City · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: FC København 0.26 xG · Manchester City 3.59 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0FC København
1Draws
1Manchester City
FC København — Manchester City · UEFA Champions League0–0
Manchester City — FC København · UEFA Champions League5–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FC København favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Manchester City in 10

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FC København13 matchesManchester City7 matches
1.54 goals/matchGoals scored13/7▲ 3 goals/match
1.23 goals/matchGoals allowed13/7▲ 1.14 goals/match
1.18 xG/matchExpected goals7/7▲ 2.97 xG/match
10.7 shots/matchShots13/7▲ 22.7 shots/match
3.69 shots/matchShots on target13/7▲ 9.57 shots/match
44.1%Possession12/7● 71.6%
3.54 corners/matchCorners13/7● 5.71 corners/match
9.42 fouls/matchFouls12/76.43 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples13 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 14 Feb 2024, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in UEFA Champions League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFC KøbenhavnManchester City
CompetitionUEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions League 2023/24
Head-to-headFC København — Manchester City
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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