PitchMath
Premier League · 2023

Tottenham Hotspur 2–1 Brighton & Hove Albion · Premier League

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Tottenham Hotspur won 2–1.

Shots
166
Shots on target
63
Expected goals
1.651.24
Possession
53%47%

Full time

What the match recorded

Tottenham Hotspur beat Brighton & Hove Albion 2–1. Recorded in this match (Tottenham Hotspur – Brighton & Hove Albion): shots 16–6, shots on target 6–3, expected goals 1.65–1.24, possession 53%–47%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Brighton & Hove Albion's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Brighton & Hove Albion's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.79 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.79 goals/match1.51 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Brighton & Hove Albion have a visible away split

moderate

Brighton & Hove Albion's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11.5 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season14.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.5 shots/match14.5 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots6 shotsTottenham Hotspur 16 shots, Brighton & Hove Albion 6 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots3 shotsTottenham Hotspur 6 shots, Brighton & Hove Albion 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.65 xG1.24 xGTottenham Hotspur 1.65 xG, Brighton & Hove Albion 1.24 xG
  • Possession53%47%Tottenham Hotspur 53%, Brighton & Hove Albion 47%
  • Corners9 corners6 cornersTottenham Hotspur 9 corners, Brighton & Hove Albion 6 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls13 foulsTottenham Hotspur 14 fouls, Brighton & Hove Albion 13 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Pape Matar Sarr · Tottenham Hotspur · 55′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDanny Welbeck · Brighton & Hove Albion · 29′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedTimo Werner · Tottenham Hotspur · 53′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPierre-Emile Højbjerg · Tottenham Hotspur · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedTimo Werner · Tottenham Hotspur · 22′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRodrigo Bentancur · Tottenham Hotspur · 46′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRicharlison · Tottenham Hotspur · 20′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJames Maddison · Tottenham Hotspur · 48′ · 0.06 xG · on targetBrennan Johnson · Tottenham Hotspur · 66′ · 0.06 xG · on targetDanny Welbeck · Brighton & Hove Albion · 1′ · 0.07 xG · on targetRicharlison · Tottenham Hotspur · 41′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedRicharlison · Tottenham Hotspur · 36′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedAnsu Fati · Brighton & Hove Albion · 76′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedJames Maddison · Tottenham Hotspur · 26′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedPape Matar Sarr · Tottenham Hotspur · 58′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedKaoru Mitoma · Brighton & Hove Albion · 29′ · 0.11 xG · on targetPape Matar Sarr · Tottenham Hotspur · 61′ · 0.14 xG · goalFacundo Buonanotte · Brighton & Hove Albion · 78′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedDejan Kulusevski · Tottenham Hotspur · 38′ · 0.23 xG · on targetRicharlison · Tottenham Hotspur · 22′ · 0.31 xG · on targetBrennan Johnson · Tottenham Hotspur · 90′ · 0.35 xG · goalPascal Groß · Brighton & Hove Albion · 17′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Tottenham Hotspur: 16 shots, 6 on target, 1.72 xG. Brighton & Hove Albion: 6 shots, 3 on target, 1.27 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Pape Matar Sarr · Tottenham Hotspur · 61′Brennan Johnson · Tottenham Hotspur · 90′Pascal Groß · Brighton & Hove Albion · 17′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Tottenham Hotspur 1.72 xG · Brighton & Hove Albion 1.27 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Tottenham Hotspur
0Draws
2Brighton & Hove Albion
Brighton & Hove Albion — Tottenham Hotspur · Premier League4–2
Tottenham Hotspur — Brighton & Hove Albion · Premier League2–1
Brighton & Hove Albion — Tottenham Hotspur · Premier League0–1
Tottenham Hotspur — Brighton & Hove Albion · Premier League0–1
Brighton & Hove Albion — Tottenham Hotspur · Premier League0–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Tottenham Hotspur favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Brighton & Hove Albion in 3 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Tottenham Hotspur24 matchesBrighton & Hove Albion24 matches
2.13 goals/match ▲Goals scored24/241.79 goals/match
1.5 goals/match ▲Goals allowed24/241.67 goals/match
1.76 xG/matchExpected goals24/241.68 xG/match
15.8 shots/match ▲Shots24/2414.5 shots/match
6 shots/matchShots on target24/245.96 shots/match
59.8%Possession24/24● 61.5%
5.79 corners/match ●Corners24/245.13 corners/match
11 fouls/matchFouls24/2411 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples24 / 24home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 10 Feb 2024, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsTottenham HotspurBrighton & Hove Albion
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2023/24
Head-to-headTottenham Hotspur — Brighton & Hove Albion
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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