PitchMath
Premier League · 2023

Luton Town 1–3 Sheffield United · Premier League

1–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Sheffield United won 1–3.

Shots
207
Shots on target
53
Expected goals
1.881.81
Possession
75%25%

Full time

What the match recorded

Sheffield United beat Luton Town 3–1. Recorded in this match (Luton Town – Sheffield United): shots 20–7, shots on target 5–3, expected goals 1.88–1.81, possession 75%–25%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Luton Town's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Luton Town's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.43 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.4 goals/match1.43 goals/match1.51 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Sheffield United have a visible away split

moderate

Sheffield United's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

6.92 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season9.13 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots6.92 shots/match9.13 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots20 shots7 shotsLuton Town 20 shots, Sheffield United 7 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots3 shotsLuton Town 5 shots, Sheffield United 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.88 xG1.81 xGLuton Town 1.88 xG, Sheffield United 1.81 xG
  • Possession75%25%Luton Town 75%, Sheffield United 25%
  • Corners13 corners1 cornerLuton Town 13 corners, Sheffield United 1 corner
  • Fouls7 fouls12 foulsLuton Town 7 fouls, Sheffield United 12 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Gabriel Osho · Luton Town · 58′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedRoss Barkley · Luton Town · 77′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedRhian Brewster · Sheffield United · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedReece Burke · Luton Town · 21′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedReece Burke · Luton Town · 55′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedCarlton Morris · Luton Town · 64′ · 0.02 xG · on targetTahith Chong · Luton Town · 83′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAlfie Doughty · Luton Town · 71′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAndros Townsend · Luton Town · 90′ · 0.03 xG · on targetRoss Barkley · Luton Town · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJames McAtee · Sheffield United · 1′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedChiedozie Ogbene · Luton Town · 78′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedElijah Adebayo · Luton Town · 32′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedElijah Adebayo · Luton Town · 44′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedReece Burke · Luton Town · 45′ · 0.05 xG · on targetAlfie Doughty · Luton Town · 45′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedElijah Adebayo · Luton Town · 49′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedCameron Archer · Sheffield United · 29′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedRoss Barkley · Luton Town · 75′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedVinícius Souza · Sheffield United · 73′ · 0.10 xG · goalVinícius Souza · Sheffield United · 33′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedGabriel Osho · Luton Town · 8′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedElijah Adebayo · Luton Town · 77′ · 0.17 xG · on targetLuke Berry · Luton Town · 90′ · 0.24 xG · off target or blockedCameron Archer · Sheffield United · 30′ · 0.73 xG · goalJames McAtee · Sheffield United · 36′ · 0.82 xG · goalCarlton Morris · Luton Town · 52′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Luton Town: 20 shots, 5 on target, 1.93 xG. Sheffield United: 7 shots, 3 on target, 1.88 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Carlton Morris · Luton Town · 52′Cameron Archer · Sheffield United · 30′James McAtee · Sheffield United · 36′Vinícius Souza · Sheffield United · 73′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Luton Town 1.93 xG · Sheffield United 1.88 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Luton Town favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · Sheffield United in 0 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Luton Town23 matchesSheffield United24 matches
1.43 goals/match ▲Goals scored23/240.92 goals/match
1.96 goals/match ▲Goals allowed23/242.5 goals/match
1.22 xG/match ▲Expected goals23/240.96 xG/match
11.8 shots/match ▲Shots23/249.13 shots/match
3.61 shots/match ▲Shots on target23/233.09 shots/match
40.1% ●Possession23/2436.7%
5.57 corners/match ●Corners23/243.25 corners/match
12 fouls/matchFouls23/2412.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples23 / 24home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 10 Feb 2024, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsLuton TownSheffield United
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2023/24
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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