PitchMath
Premier League · 2023

Wolverhampton 0–2 Brentford · Premier League

0–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Brentford won 0–2.

Shots
179
Shots on target
56
Expected goals
1.051.94
Possession
71%29%

Full time

What the match recorded

Brentford beat Wolverhampton 2–0. Recorded in this match (Wolverhampton – Brentford): shots 17–9, shots on target 5–6, expected goals 1.05–1.94, possession 71%–29%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Wolverhampton's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Wolverhampton's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.54 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.54 goals/match1.51 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots9 shotsWolverhampton 17 shots, Brentford 9 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots6 shotsWolverhampton 5 shots, Brentford 6 shots
  • Expected goals1.05 xG1.94 xGWolverhampton 1.05 xG, Brentford 1.94 xG
  • Possession71%29%Wolverhampton 71%, Brentford 29%
  • Corners7 corners4 cornersWolverhampton 7 corners, Brentford 4 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls9 foulsWolverhampton 11 fouls, Brentford 9 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Ivan Toney · Brentford · 73′ · 0.01 xG · on targetMathias Jensen · Brentford · 26′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMario Lemina · Wolverhampton · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTommy Doyle · Wolverhampton · 82′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMatt Doherty · Wolverhampton · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPedro Neto · Wolverhampton · 61′ · 0.03 xG · on targetMario Lemina · Wolverhampton · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedEthan Pinnock · Brentford · 4′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMatheus Cunha · Wolverhampton · 14′ · 0.04 xG · on targetPablo Sarabia · Wolverhampton · 61′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPablo Sarabia · Wolverhampton · 66′ · 0.04 xG · on targetRayan Aït-Nouri · Wolverhampton · 9′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJean-Ricner Bellegarde · Wolverhampton · 70′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMario Lemina · Wolverhampton · 67′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMatheus Cunha · Wolverhampton · 14′ · 0.08 xG · on targetMario Lemina · Wolverhampton · 54′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedPedro Neto · Wolverhampton · 50′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedNeal Maupay · Brentford · 12′ · 0.10 xG · on targetMads Roerslev · Brentford · 20′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedPedro Neto · Wolverhampton · 44′ · 0.12 xG · on targetMax Kilman · Wolverhampton · 61′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedRayan Aït-Nouri · Wolverhampton · 66′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedNeal Maupay · Brentford · 31′ · 0.19 xG · on targetNeal Maupay · Brentford · 11′ · 0.38 xG · on targetIvan Toney · Brentford · 77′ · 0.42 xG · goalChristian Nørgaard · Brentford · 35′ · 0.73 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Wolverhampton: 17 shots, 5 on target, 1.06 xG. Brentford: 9 shots, 6 on target, 2.01 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Christian Nørgaard · Brentford · 35′Ivan Toney · Brentford · 77′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Wolverhampton 1.06 xG · Brentford 2.01 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Wolverhampton
1Draws
1Brentford
Brentford — Wolverhampton · Premier League1–4
Wolverhampton — Brentford · Premier League2–0
Brentford — Wolverhampton · Premier League1–1
Brentford — Wolverhampton · Premier League1–2
Wolverhampton — Brentford · Premier League0–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Wolverhampton favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Brentford in 3 · 8 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Wolverhampton24 matchesBrentford23 matches
1.54 goals/matchGoals scored24/231.48 goals/match
1.63 goals/matchGoals allowed24/231.7 goals/match
1.4 xG/matchExpected goals24/23▲ 1.72 xG/match
11.9 shots/matchShots24/23▲ 12.8 shots/match
4.38 shots/matchShots on target24/234.39 shots/match
47.7% ●Possession24/2346.2%
4.29 corners/matchCorners24/23● 4.91 corners/match
12.6 fouls/matchFouls24/2310.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples24 / 23home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 10 Feb 2024, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsWolverhamptonBrentford
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2023/24
Head-to-headWolverhampton — Brentford
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required