Premier League · 2023Sat, 17 Feb 2024, 15:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Tottenham Hotspur

WDWDW

1–2Full-time recap

Wolverhampton

WDLWL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Tottenham Hotspur	Wolverhampton
Shots	15 shots/match▲	12 shots/match
Shots on target	4 shots/match	7 shots/match▲
Expected goals	1.62 xG/match	1.75 xG/match▲
Possession	71%●	29%
Corners	10 corners/match●	4 corners/match
Fouls	8 fouls/match	13 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Tottenham Hotspur: 15 shots, 4 on target, 1.62 xG. Wolverhampton: 12 shots, 7 on target, 1.70 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Tottenham Hotspur 1.62 xG · Wolverhampton 1.70 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Wolverhampton's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Tottenham Hotspur have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Wolverhampton's recent record differs from the season

weak

Wolverhampton's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.56 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.8 goals/match	1.56 goals/match	1.45 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Tottenham Hotspur have recorded the higher season possession share.

60.2%●PossessionTottenham Hotspur · Wolverhampton46.9%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 13.3 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Tottenham Hotspur	Wolverhampton	Baseline
Possession	60.2%	46.9%	49%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

2Tottenham Hotspur

0Draws

3Wolverhampton

11 Nov 2023Wolverhampton — Tottenham Hotspur · Premier League2–1

4 Mar 2023Wolverhampton — Tottenham Hotspur · Premier League1–0

20 Aug 2022Tottenham Hotspur — Wolverhampton · Premier League1–0

13 Feb 2022Tottenham Hotspur — Wolverhampton · Premier League0–2

22 Aug 2021Wolverhampton — Tottenham Hotspur · Premier League0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Tottenham Hotspur favored in 8 of 13 directional metrics · Wolverhampton in 1 · 4 too close

2.08 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 25/251.56 goals/match

1.52 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 25/251.6 goals/match

1.76 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 25/251.41 xG/match

1.74 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 25/251.73 xG/match

15.8 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 25/2511.9 shots/match

13.4 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 25/2514 shots/match

5.92 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 25/254.48 shots/match

4.6 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 25/254.88 shots/match

60.2%●Possessionseason · 25/2546.9%

5.96 corners/match●Cornersseason · 25/254.28 corners/match

6.6 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 25/25▲5.96 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

10.9 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 25/2512.6 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

20%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 25/2516%

100%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 25/2584%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Tottenham Hotspur77.5

Wolverhampton47.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Tottenham Hotspur80

Wolverhampton45.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Tottenham Hotspur64.2

Wolverhampton53.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Tottenham Hotspur37.5

Wolverhampton27.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Tottenham Hotspur37.5

Wolverhampton92.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Tottenham Hotspur67.5

Wolverhampton17.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Tottenham Hotspur67.5

Wolverhampton47.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Tottenham Hotspur25 matchesWolverhampton25 matches

2.08 goals/match▲Goals scored25/251.56 goals/match

1.52 goals/match▲Goals allowed25/251.6 goals/match

1.76 xG/match▲Expected goals25/251.41 xG/match

15.8 shots/match▲Shots25/2511.9 shots/match

5.92 shots/match▲Shots on target25/254.48 shots/match

60.2%●Possession25/2546.9%

5.96 corners/match●Corners25/254.28 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

10.9 fouls/matchFouls25/2512.6 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Tottenham Hotspur13 matchesWolverhampton13 matches

2 goals/match▲Goals scored13/131.54 goals/match

1.38 goals/match▲Goals allowed13/131.54 goals/match

2.04 xG/match▲Expected goals13/131.45 xG/match

17.8 shots/match▲Shots13/1311.9 shots/match

6.77 shots/match▲Shots on target13/134.54 shots/match

60.2%●Possession13/1346.3%

6.62 corners/match●Corners13/133.23 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

10.5 fouls/matchFouls13/1312.5 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples25 / 25home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 17 Feb 2024, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4