Premier League · 2023Sat, 17 Feb 2024, 15:00 UTCFull timeHistorical match

Nottingham Forest

WLLDL

2–0Historical match

West Ham United

DDDLL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Nottingham Forest	West Ham United
Shots	19 shots/match▲	10 shots/match
Shots on target	8 shots/match▲	3 shots/match
Expected goals	2.82 xG/match▲	0.5 xG/match
Possession	48%	52%●
Corners	5 corners/match●	2 corners/match
Fouls	13 fouls/match	15 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Nottingham Forest: 19 shots, 8 on target, 2.79 xG. West Ham United: 10 shots, 3 on target, 0.50 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Nottingham Forest 2.79 xG · West Ham United 0.50 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: West Ham United's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

West Ham United's recent record differs from the season

moderate

West Ham United's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.44 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	0.6 goals/match	1.44 goals/match	1.45 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Nottingham Forest

0Draws

2West Ham United

12 Nov 2023West Ham United — Nottingham Forest · Premier League3–2

25 Feb 2023West Ham United — Nottingham Forest · Premier League4–0

14 Aug 2022Nottingham Forest — West Ham United · Premier League1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Nottingham Forest favored in 3 of 13 directional metrics · West Ham United in 5 · 5 too close

1.28 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 25/25▲1.44 goals/match

1.76 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 25/251.76 goals/match

1.22 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 25/25▲1.35 xG/match

1.42 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 25/251.87 xG/match

11.2 shots/matchShotsseason · 25/2511.4 shots/match

13.1 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 25/2516.8 shots/match

3.6 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 25/25▲3.88 shots/match

4.68 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 25/255.84 shots/match

40.5%Possessionseason · 25/25●41%

3.8 corners/matchCornersseason · 25/25●4.2 corners/match

6.44 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 25/25▲6 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

11.2 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 25/2510.9 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

16%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 25/25▲20%

76%Scoring frequencyseason · 25/2576%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Nottingham Forest17.5

West Ham United22.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Nottingham Forest15.8

West Ham United29.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Nottingham Forest53.3

West Ham United18.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Nottingham Forest57.5

West Ham United62.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Nottingham Forest57.5

West Ham United42.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Nottingham Forest7.5

West Ham United12.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Nottingham Forest22.5

West Ham United23.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Nottingham Forest25 matchesWest Ham United25 matches

1.28 goals/matchGoals scored25/25▲1.44 goals/match

1.76 goals/matchGoals allowed25/251.76 goals/match

1.22 xG/matchExpected goals25/25▲1.35 xG/match

11.2 shots/matchShots25/2511.4 shots/match

3.6 shots/matchShots on target25/25▲3.88 shots/match

40.5%Possession25/25●41%

3.8 corners/matchCorners25/25●4.2 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.2 fouls/matchFouls25/2510.9 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Nottingham Forest13 matchesWest Ham United13 matches

1.46 goals/match▲Goals scored13/131.38 goals/match

1.54 goals/match▲Goals allowed13/132.08 goals/match

1.26 xG/matchExpected goals13/13▲1.5 xG/match

12.8 shots/matchShots13/1312.2 shots/match

3.77 shots/matchShots on target13/133.85 shots/match

42.6%●Possession13/1340%

4.08 corners/matchCorners13/13●4.38 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

10.4 fouls/matchFouls13/1311.2 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.9 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.04 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples25 / 25home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 17 Feb 2024, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4