PitchMath
Premier League · 2023

Newcastle United 2–2 Bournemouth · Premier League

2–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Newcastle United and Bournemouth drew 2–2.

Shots
1712
Shots on target
57
Expected goals
2.232.22
Possession
63%37%

Full time

What the match recorded

Newcastle United and Bournemouth drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (Newcastle United – Bournemouth): shots 17–12, shots on target 5–7, expected goals 2.23–2.22, possession 63%–37%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Newcastle United's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Newcastle United's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.12 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.8 goals/match2.12 goals/match1.45 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Newcastle United have a visible home split

moderate

Newcastle United's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16.8 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season14 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots16.8 shots/match14 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Newcastle United have recorded the higher season possession share.

53.5% ●PossessionNewcastle United · Bournemouth43.9%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.6 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricNewcastle UnitedBournemouthBaseline
Possession53.5%43.9%49%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots12 shotsNewcastle United 17 shots, Bournemouth 12 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots7 shotsNewcastle United 5 shots, Bournemouth 7 shots
  • Expected goals2.23 xG2.22 xGNewcastle United 2.23 xG, Bournemouth 2.22 xG
  • Possession63%37%Newcastle United 63%, Bournemouth 37%
  • Corners4 corners2 cornersNewcastle United 4 corners, Bournemouth 2 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls23 foulsNewcastle United 9 fouls, Bournemouth 23 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Marcos Senesi · Bournemouth · 2′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedBruno Guimarães · Newcastle United · 77′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMarcus Tavernier · Bournemouth · 16′ · 0.02 xG · on targetFabian Schär · Newcastle United · 40′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJustin Kluivert · Bournemouth · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAlex Scott · Bournemouth · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedHarvey Barnes · Newcastle United · 40′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJustin Kluivert · Bournemouth · 60′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMiguel Almirón · Newcastle United · 61′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLewis Cook · Bournemouth · 81′ · 0.03 xG · on targetBruno Guimarães · Newcastle United · 90′ · 0.03 xG · on targetDango Ouattara · Bournemouth · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedHarvey Barnes · Newcastle United · 17′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAnthony Gordon · Newcastle United · 21′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedFabian Schär · Newcastle United · 83′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAnthony Gordon · Newcastle United · 28′ · 0.05 xG · on targetMiguel Almirón · Newcastle United · 38′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAntoine Semenyo · Bournemouth · 69′ · 0.05 xG · goalMiguel Almirón · Newcastle United · 21′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMarcus Tavernier · Bournemouth · 65′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedDan Burn · Newcastle United · 67′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJacob Murphy · Newcastle United · 90′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMiguel Almirón · Newcastle United · 49′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedAnthony Gordon · Newcastle United · 5′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedDominic Solanke · Bournemouth · 16′ · 0.42 xG · on targetMatt Ritchie · Newcastle United · 90′ · 0.59 xG · goalDominic Solanke · Bournemouth · 24′ · 0.68 xG · on targetDominic Solanke · Bournemouth · 51′ · 0.79 xG · goalAnthony Gordon · Newcastle United · 58′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Newcastle United: 17 shots, 5 on target, 2.24 xG. Bournemouth: 12 shots, 6 on target, 2.17 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Anthony Gordon · Newcastle United · 58′Matt Ritchie · Newcastle United · 90′Dominic Solanke · Bournemouth · 51′Antoine Semenyo · Bournemouth · 69′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Newcastle United 2.24 xG · Bournemouth 2.17 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Newcastle United
2Draws
1Bournemouth
Bournemouth — Newcastle United · Premier League2–0
Bournemouth — Newcastle United · Premier League1–1
Newcastle United — Bournemouth · Premier League1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Newcastle United favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Bournemouth in 1 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Newcastle United25 matchesBournemouth24 matches
2.12 goals/match ▲Goals scored25/241.38 goals/match
1.64 goals/match ▲Goals allowed25/241.92 goals/match
1.95 xG/match ▲Expected goals25/241.47 xG/match
14 shots/matchShots25/2413.4 shots/match
5.36 shots/match ▲Shots on target25/244.63 shots/match
53.5% ●Possession25/2443.9%
4.88 corners/matchCorners25/24● 6.21 corners/match
10.4 fouls/matchFouls25/2413.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples25 / 24home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 17 Feb 2024, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsNewcastle UnitedBournemouth
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2023/24
Head-to-headNewcastle United — Bournemouth
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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