Premier League · 2023

Fulham 3–1 Bournemouth · Premier League

Fulham

LWLDD
3–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Fulham won 3–1.

Shots
725
Shots on target
64
Expected goals
1.551.84
Possession
49%51%

Full time

What the match recorded

Fulham beat Bournemouth 3–1. Recorded in this match (Fulham – Bournemouth): shots 7–25, shots on target 6–4, expected goals 1.55–1.84, possession 49%–51%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Bournemouth's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Bournemouth's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.35 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.35 goals/match1.51 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Fulham have a visible home split

moderate

Fulham's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

14.8 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season12.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots14.8 shots/match12.1 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots7 shots25 shotsFulham 7 shots, Bournemouth 25 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots4 shotsFulham 6 shots, Bournemouth 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.55 xG1.84 xGFulham 1.55 xG, Bournemouth 1.84 xG
  • Possession49%51%Fulham 49%, Bournemouth 51%
  • Corners1 corner13 cornersFulham 1 corner, Bournemouth 13 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls11 foulsFulham 11 fouls, Bournemouth 11 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Alex Scott · Bournemouth · 42′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMarcus Tavernier · Bournemouth · 67′ · 0.01 xG · on targetRyan Christie · Bournemouth · 48′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIlya Zabarnyi · Bournemouth · 79′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLuis Sinisterra · Bournemouth · 24′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedWillian · Fulham · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedIlya Zabarnyi · Bournemouth · 54′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDominic Solanke · Bournemouth · 57′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedEnes Ünal · Bournemouth · 76′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedEnes Ünal · Bournemouth · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRyan Christie · Bournemouth · 17′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMarcus Tavernier · Bournemouth · 39′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAlex Scott · Bournemouth · 55′ · 0.04 xG · on targetRyan Christie · Bournemouth · 77′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMarcus Tavernier · Bournemouth · 15′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLuis Sinisterra · Bournemouth · 30′ · 0.05 xG · on targetWillian · Fulham · 47′ · 0.05 xG · on targetRyan Christie · Bournemouth · 50′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDominic Solanke · Bournemouth · 59′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedDominic Solanke · Bournemouth · 32′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAntoine Semenyo · Bournemouth · 90′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedBobby De Cordova-Reid · Fulham · 6′ · 0.09 xG · goalAlex Scott · Bournemouth · 17′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedMarcos Senesi · Bournemouth · 50′ · 0.11 xG · goalDominic Solanke · Bournemouth · 58′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedRomain Faivre · Bournemouth · 90′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedAntonee Robinson · Fulham · 45′ · 0.16 xG · on targetEnes Ünal · Bournemouth · 76′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blockedRodrigo Muniz · Fulham · 36′ · 0.30 xG · goalWillian · Fulham · 10′ · 0.34 xG · on targetDominic Solanke · Bournemouth · 31′ · 0.45 xG · off target or blockedRodrigo Muniz · Fulham · 52′ · 0.62 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Fulham: 7 shots, 6 on target, 1.59 xG. Bournemouth: 25 shots, 4 on target, 1.88 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Bobby De Cordova-Reid · Fulham · 6′Rodrigo Muniz · Fulham · 36′Rodrigo Muniz · Fulham · 52′Marcos Senesi · Bournemouth · 50′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Fulham 1.59 xG · Bournemouth 1.88 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Fulham
3Draws
2Bournemouth
Bournemouth — Fulham · Premier League3–0
Bournemouth — Fulham · Premier League2–1
Fulham — Bournemouth · Premier League2–2
Bournemouth — Fulham · Championship1–1
Fulham — Bournemouth · Championship1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Fulham favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Bournemouth in 4 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Fulham24 matchesBournemouth23 matches
1.38 goals/matchGoals scored24/231.35 goals/match
1.63 goals/match ▲Goals allowed24/231.91 goals/match
1.26 xG/matchExpected goals24/23▲ 1.44 xG/match
12.1 shots/matchShots24/23▲ 13.4 shots/match
4.46 shots/matchShots on target24/234.52 shots/match
51% ●Possession24/2344.2%
5.5 corners/matchCorners24/23● 6.39 corners/match
9.63 fouls/matchFouls24/2312.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples24 / 23home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 10 Feb 2024, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

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