Premier League · 2023Sat, 11 May 2024, 11:30 UTCFull timeHistorical match

Fulham

LWLDD

0–4Historical match

Manchester City

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A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Fulham	Manchester City
Shots	1 shots/match	16 shots/match▲
Shots on target	1 shots/match	9 shots/match▲
Expected goals	0.12 xG/match	3.25 xG/match▲
Possession	36%	64%●
Corners	1 corners/match	7 corners/match●
Fouls	9 fouls/match	6 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Fulham: 1 shots, 1 on target, 0.12 xG. Manchester City: 16 shots, 9 on target, 3.25 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Fulham 0.12 xG · Manchester City 3.25 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Manchester City's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Fulham's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Manchester City's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Manchester City's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

4 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.53 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	4 goals/match	2.53 goals/match	1.47 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Fulham show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Fulham's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

13.1 shots/match▲ShotsFulham · Manchester City18.3 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Fulham	Manchester City	Baseline
Shots	13.1 shots/match	18.3 shots/match	13.6 shots/match
Shots against	13.7 shots/match	7.81 shots/match	13.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Manchester City have recorded the higher season possession share.

50.5%PossessionFulham · Manchester City●65.8%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 15.3 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Fulham	Manchester City	Baseline
Possession	50.5%	65.8%	49.9%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Fulham

0Draws

3Manchester City

2 Sept 2023Manchester City — Fulham · Premier League5–1

30 Apr 2023Fulham — Manchester City · Premier League1–2

5 Nov 2022Manchester City — Fulham · Premier League2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Fulham favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Manchester City in 11 · 2 too close

1.38 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 37/36▲2.53 goals/match

1.59 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 37/36▲0.92 goals/match

1.36 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 37/36▲2.15 xG/match

1.68 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 37/36▲0.94 xG/match

13.1 shots/matchShotsseason · 37/36▲18.3 shots/match

13.7 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 37/36▲7.81 shots/match

4.65 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 37/35▲7.34 shots/match

5.14 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 37/35▲2.91 shots/match

50.5%Possessionseason · 37/36●65.8%

5.62 corners/matchCornersseason · 37/36●7.53 corners/match

4.97 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 37/36▲3.33 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

9.84 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 37/367.64 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

27%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 37/36▲33%

65%Scoring frequencyseason · 37/36▲92%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Fulham52.5

Manchester City97.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Fulham40.8

Manchester City95.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 99%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Fulham52.5

Manchester City94.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 99%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Fulham32.5

Manchester City52.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Fulham7.5

Manchester City2.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Fulham62.5

Manchester City92.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Fulham40

Manchester City71.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 99%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Fulham37 matchesManchester City36 matches

1.38 goals/matchGoals scored37/36▲2.53 goals/match

1.59 goals/matchGoals allowed37/36▲0.92 goals/match

1.36 xG/matchExpected goals37/36▲2.15 xG/match

13.1 shots/matchShots37/36▲18.3 shots/match

4.65 shots/matchShots on target37/35▲7.34 shots/match

50.5%Possession37/36●65.8%

5.62 corners/matchCorners37/36●7.53 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

9.84 fouls/matchFouls37/367.64 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Fulham19 matchesManchester City18 matches

1.63 goals/matchGoals scored19/18▲2.39 goals/match

1.26 goals/matchGoals allowed19/18▲1 goals/match

1.49 xG/matchExpected goals19/18▲2.12 xG/match

13.5 shots/matchShots19/18▲17.7 shots/match

4.47 shots/matchShots on target19/18▲8 shots/match

54.1%Possession19/18●64.6%

5.89 corners/matchCorners19/18●7.06 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

9.47 fouls/matchFouls19/187.17 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.9 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.79 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples37 / 36home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 11 May 2024, 15:30 UTC · analysis-v4