PitchMath
Premier League · 2023

Fulham 0–4 Manchester City · Premier League

Fulham

LWLDD
0–4Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Manchester City won 0–4.

Shots
116
Shots on target
19
Expected goals
0.123.25
Possession
36%64%

Full time

What the match recorded

Manchester City beat Fulham 4–0. Recorded in this match (Fulham – Manchester City): shots 1–16, shots on target 1–9, expected goals 0.12–3.25, possession 36%–64%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Manchester City's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Manchester City's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.53 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for4 goals/match2.53 goals/match1.47 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Fulham show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Fulham's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

13.1 shots/match ▲ShotsFulham · Manchester City18.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricFulhamManchester CityBaseline
Shots13.1 shots/match18.3 shots/match13.6 shots/match
Shots against13.7 shots/match7.81 shots/match13.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Manchester City have recorded the higher season possession share.

50.5%PossessionFulham · Manchester City● 65.8%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 15.3 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricFulhamManchester CityBaseline
Possession50.5%65.8%49.9%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots1 shot16 shotsFulham 1 shot, Manchester City 16 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot9 shotsFulham 1 shot, Manchester City 9 shots
  • Expected goals0.12 xG3.25 xGFulham 0.12 xG, Manchester City 3.25 xG
  • Possession36%64%Fulham 36%, Manchester City 64%
  • Corners1 corner7 cornersFulham 1 corner, Manchester City 7 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls6 foulsFulham 9 fouls, Manchester City 6 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Bernardo Silva · Manchester City · 25′ · 0.03 xG · on targetRodri · Manchester City · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPhil Foden · Manchester City · 28′ · 0.05 xG · on targetBernardo Silva · Manchester City · 53′ · 0.05 xG · on targetKevin De Bruyne · Manchester City · 38′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedKevin De Bruyne · Manchester City · 58′ · 0.06 xG · on targetJérémy Doku · Manchester City · 81′ · 0.07 xG · on targetBernardo Silva · Manchester City · 43′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedErling Haaland · Manchester City · 15′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedErling Haaland · Manchester City · 68′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedRodrigo Muniz · Fulham · 57′ · 0.12 xG · on targetPhil Foden · Manchester City · 59′ · 0.14 xG · goalJoško Gvardiol · Manchester City · 71′ · 0.29 xG · goalErling Haaland · Manchester City · 61′ · 0.42 xG · off target or blockedJoško Gvardiol · Manchester City · 13′ · 0.44 xG · goalManuel Akanji · Manchester City · 44′ · 0.52 xG · off target or blockedJulián Alvarez · Manchester City · 90′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Fulham: 1 shots, 1 on target, 0.12 xG. Manchester City: 16 shots, 9 on target, 3.25 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.753.50′HT90′Joško Gvardiol · Manchester City · 13′Phil Foden · Manchester City · 59′Joško Gvardiol · Manchester City · 71′Julián Alvarez · Manchester City · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Fulham 0.12 xG · Manchester City 3.25 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Fulham
0Draws
3Manchester City
Manchester City — Fulham · Premier League5–1
Fulham — Manchester City · Premier League1–2
Manchester City — Fulham · Premier League2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Fulham favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Manchester City in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Fulham37 matchesManchester City36 matches
1.38 goals/matchGoals scored37/36▲ 2.53 goals/match
1.59 goals/matchGoals allowed37/36▲ 0.92 goals/match
1.36 xG/matchExpected goals37/36▲ 2.15 xG/match
13.1 shots/matchShots37/36▲ 18.3 shots/match
4.65 shots/matchShots on target37/35▲ 7.34 shots/match
50.5%Possession37/36● 65.8%
5.62 corners/matchCorners37/36● 7.53 corners/match
9.84 fouls/matchFouls37/367.64 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples37 / 36home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 11 May 2024, 15:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFulhamManchester City
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2023/24
Head-to-headFulham — Manchester City
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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