PitchMath
Premier League · 2023

Tottenham Hotspur 0–2 Manchester City · Premier League

0–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Manchester City won 0–2.

Shots
108
Shots on target
55
Expected goals
1.662.4
Possession
53%47%

Full time

What the match recorded

Manchester City beat Tottenham Hotspur 2–0. Recorded in this match (Tottenham Hotspur – Manchester City): shots 10–8, shots on target 5–5, expected goals 1.66–2.4, possession 53%–47%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Tottenham Hotspur's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Tottenham Hotspur's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.92 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1.92 goals/match1.45 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Tottenham Hotspur, Manchester City.

3.21 days ▲Rest daysTottenham Hotspur · Manchester City3.31 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricTottenham HotspurManchester CityBaseline
Rest days3.21 days3.31 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Tottenham Hotspur show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Tottenham Hotspur's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

15.1 shots/match ▲ShotsTottenham Hotspur · Manchester City18 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricTottenham HotspurManchester CityBaseline
Shots15.1 shots/match18 shots/match13.6 shots/match
Shots against13.1 shots/match7.86 shots/match13.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots8 shotsTottenham Hotspur 10 shots, Manchester City 8 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots5 shotsTottenham Hotspur 5 shots, Manchester City 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.66 xG2.4 xGTottenham Hotspur 1.66 xG, Manchester City 2.4 xG
  • Possession53%47%Tottenham Hotspur 53%, Manchester City 47%
  • Corners7 corners4 cornersTottenham Hotspur 7 corners, Manchester City 4 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls11 foulsTottenham Hotspur 14 fouls, Manchester City 11 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Mateo Kovačić · Manchester City · 15′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDejan Kulusevski · Tottenham Hotspur · 78′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMateo Kovačić · Manchester City · 88′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSon Heung-min · Tottenham Hotspur · 51′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSon Heung-min · Tottenham Hotspur · 34′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedPape Matar Sarr · Tottenham Hotspur · 81′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedCristian Romero · Tottenham Hotspur · 18′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJérémy Doku · Manchester City · 90′ · 0.06 xG · on targetJoško Gvardiol · Manchester City · 38′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedDejan Kulusevski · Tottenham Hotspur · 80′ · 0.10 xG · on targetRodrigo Bentancur · Tottenham Hotspur · 6′ · 0.12 xG · on targetPhil Foden · Manchester City · 16′ · 0.23 xG · on targetKevin De Bruyne · Manchester City · 47′ · 0.24 xG · on targetDejan Kulusevski · Tottenham Hotspur · 71′ · 0.29 xG · on targetSon Heung-min · Tottenham Hotspur · 49′ · 0.42 xG · on targetSon Heung-min · Tottenham Hotspur · 86′ · 0.47 xG · on targetErling Haaland · Manchester City · 90′ · 0.82 xG · goalErling Haaland · Manchester City · 51′ · 0.89 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Tottenham Hotspur: 10 shots, 5 on target, 1.62 xG. Manchester City: 8 shots, 5 on target, 2.36 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Erling Haaland · Manchester City · 51′Erling Haaland · Manchester City · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Tottenham Hotspur 1.62 xG · Manchester City 2.36 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Tottenham Hotspur
1Draws
1Manchester City
Manchester City — Tottenham Hotspur · Premier League3–3
Tottenham Hotspur — Manchester City · Premier League1–0
Manchester City — Tottenham Hotspur · Premier League4–2
Manchester City — Tottenham Hotspur · Premier League2–3
Tottenham Hotspur — Manchester City · Premier League1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Tottenham Hotspur favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Manchester City in 10 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Tottenham Hotspur37 matchesManchester City37 matches
1.92 goals/matchGoals scored37/37▲ 2.51 goals/match
1.65 goals/matchGoals allowed37/37▲ 0.89 goals/match
1.75 xG/matchExpected goals36/37▲ 2.16 xG/match
15.1 shots/matchShots36/37▲ 18 shots/match
5.47 shots/matchShots on target36/36▲ 7.28 shots/match
61.6%Possession36/37● 65.3%
6.08 corners/matchCorners36/37● 7.43 corners/match
11.3 fouls/matchFouls36/377.73 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples37 / 37home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 14 May 2024, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsTottenham HotspurManchester City
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2023/24
Head-to-headTottenham Hotspur — Manchester City
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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