Premier League · 2023Sat, 11 May 2024, 14:00 UTCFull timeHistorical match

Tottenham Hotspur

WLLLL

2–1Historical match

Burnley

LDWDL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Tottenham Hotspur: 21 shots, 9 on target, 2.70 xG. Burnley: 7 shots, 3 on target, 0.67 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Tottenham Hotspur 2.70 xG · Burnley 0.67 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Burnley's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Tottenham Hotspur. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Burnley's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Burnley's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.08 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.6 goals/match	1.08 goals/match	1.47 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Tottenham Hotspur.

5.94 days▲Rest daysTottenham Hotspur · Burnley7 days

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

Metric	Tottenham Hotspur	Burnley	Baseline
Rest days	5.94 days	7 days	—
Matches last 14 days	3 matches	2 matches	—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Burnley have a visible away split

moderate

Burnley's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.56 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season11.3 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

Metric	Away only	Season	Baseline
Shots	9.56 shots/match	11.3 shots/match	13.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

2Tottenham Hotspur

0Draws

1Burnley

2 Sept 2023Burnley — Tottenham Hotspur · Premier League2–5

15 May 2022Tottenham Hotspur — Burnley · Premier League1–0

23 Feb 2022Burnley — Tottenham Hotspur · Premier League1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Tottenham Hotspur favored in 10 of 13 directional metrics · Burnley in 0 · 3 too close

1.97 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 36/371.08 goals/match

1.64 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 36/372.05 goals/match

1.75 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 35/361.08 xG/match

1.73 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 35/361.87 xG/match

15.3 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 35/3611.3 shots/match

13.3 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 35/3616.2 shots/match

5.49 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 35/363.78 shots/match

4.66 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 35/366.44 shots/match

61.9%●Possessionseason · 35/3647%

6.06 corners/match●Cornersseason · 35/364.81 corners/match

6.49 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 35/366.39 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

11.2 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 35/3611.2 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

17%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 36/375%

92%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 36/3768%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Tottenham Hotspur92.5

Burnley42.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 97%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Tottenham Hotspur72.5

Burnley10.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 98%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Tottenham Hotspur55.8

Burnley15.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 98%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Tottenham Hotspur22.5

Burnley7.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 97%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Tottenham Hotspur52.5

Burnley57.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 49%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Tottenham Hotspur72.5

Burnley27.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 97%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Tottenham Hotspur68.8

Burnley26.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 97%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Tottenham Hotspur36 matchesBurnley37 matches

1.97 goals/match▲Goals scored36/371.08 goals/match

1.64 goals/match▲Goals allowed36/372.05 goals/match

1.75 xG/match▲Expected goals35/361.08 xG/match

15.3 shots/match▲Shots35/3611.3 shots/match

5.49 shots/match▲Shots on target35/363.78 shots/match

61.9%●Possession35/3647%

6.06 corners/match●Corners35/364.81 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.2 fouls/matchFouls35/3611.2 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Tottenham Hotspur18 matchesBurnley19 matches

2.11 goals/match▲Goals scored18/191.16 goals/match

1.39 goals/match▲Goals allowed18/191.84 goals/match

2.08 xG/match▲Expected goals17/180.97 xG/match

17.3 shots/match▲Shots17/189.56 shots/match

6.29 shots/match▲Shots on target17/183.67 shots/match

62.2%●Possession17/1843.5%

7.06 corners/match●Corners17/183.94 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

10.8 fouls/matchFouls17/1812 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

5.94 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days

3 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples36 / 37home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 11 May 2024, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4