Premier League · 2023Sat, 11 May 2024, 14:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Everton

LWWWD

1–0Full-time recap

Sheffield United

LLLLL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Everton	Sheffield United
Shots	15 shots/match▲	13 shots/match
Shots on target	6 shots/match▲	1 shots/match
Expected goals	2.35 xG/match▲	0.6 xG/match
Possession	58%●	42%
Corners	3 corners/match	6 corners/match●
Fouls	6 fouls/match	11 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Everton: 15 shots, 6 on target, 2.40 xG. Sheffield United: 13 shots, 1 on target, 0.61 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Everton 2.40 xG · Sheffield United 0.61 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Sheffield United's last-five shots average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Sheffield United's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Sheffield United's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Sheffield United's last-five shots average is above their season average.

14.6 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season9.7 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Shots	14.6 shots/match	9.7 shots/match	13.6 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Sheffield United show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Sheffield United's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

13.6 shots/match▲ShotsEverton · Sheffield United9.7 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Everton	Sheffield United	Baseline
Shots	13.6 shots/match	9.7 shots/match	13.6 shots/match
Shots against	13.8 shots/match	17.8 shots/match	13.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Everton

1Draws

0Sheffield United

2 Sept 2023Sheffield United — Everton · Premier League2–2

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Everton favored in 11 of 13 directional metrics · Sheffield United in 0 · 2 too close

1.05 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 37/370.95 goals/match

1.32 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 37/372.73 goals/match

1.47 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 37/371.03 xG/match

1.43 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 37/372.01 xG/match

13.6 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 37/379.7 shots/match

13.8 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 37/3717.8 shots/match

4.32 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 37/363.5 shots/match

4.49 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 37/367.11 shots/match

40.8%●Possessionseason · 37/3735.7%

4.86 corners/match●Cornersseason · 37/373.76 corners/match

6.3 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 37/377.11 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

12.1 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 37/3711.1 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

35%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 37/373%

68%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 37/3762%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Everton17.5

Sheffield United2.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Everton31.7

Sheffield United2.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 99%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Everton69.2

Sheffield United2.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 99%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Everton92.5

Sheffield United37.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Everton77.5

Sheffield United47.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Everton32.5

Sheffield United2.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Everton49.4

Sheffield United13.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 99%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Everton37 matchesSheffield United37 matches

1.05 goals/match▲Goals scored37/370.95 goals/match

1.32 goals/match▲Goals allowed37/372.73 goals/match

1.47 xG/match▲Expected goals37/371.03 xG/match

13.6 shots/match▲Shots37/379.7 shots/match

4.32 shots/match▲Shots on target37/363.5 shots/match

40.8%●Possession37/3735.7%

4.86 corners/match●Corners37/373.76 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

12.1 fouls/matchFouls37/3711.1 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Everton19 matchesSheffield United19 matches

1.16 goals/match▲Goals scored19/190.84 goals/match

0.95 goals/match▲Goals allowed19/192.47 goals/match

1.71 xG/match▲Expected goals19/190.75 xG/match

15.5 shots/match▲Shots19/198.37 shots/match

5 shots/match▲Shots on target19/183.06 shots/match

41.8%●Possession19/1934.2%

4.89 corners/match●Corners19/193.32 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.1 fouls/matchFouls19/1911.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.79 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples37 / 37home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 11 May 2024, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4