Premier League · 2023

Sheffield United 1–3 Nottingham Forest · Premier League

1–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Nottingham Forest won 1–3.

Shots
1715
Shots on target
54
Expected goals
2.311.45
Possession
54%46%

Full time

What the match recorded

Nottingham Forest beat Sheffield United 3–1. Recorded in this match (Sheffield United – Nottingham Forest): shots 17–15, shots on target 5–4, expected goals 2.31–1.45, possession 54%–46%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Sheffield United's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Sheffield United's last-five shots average is above their season average.

13.6 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season9.61 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots13.6 shots/match9.61 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Sheffield United show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Sheffield United's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

9.61 shots/match ▲ShotsSheffield United · Nottingham Forest11.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSheffield UnitedNottingham ForestBaseline
Shots9.61 shots/match11.6 shots/match13.7 shots/match
Shots against17.9 shots/match13.3 shots/match14 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Sheffield United.

7 days ▲Rest daysSheffield United · Nottingham Forest5.94 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricSheffield UnitedNottingham ForestBaseline
Rest days7 days5.94 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots15 shotsSheffield United 17 shots, Nottingham Forest 15 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots4 shotsSheffield United 5 shots, Nottingham Forest 4 shots
  • Expected goals2.31 xG1.45 xGSheffield United 2.31 xG, Nottingham Forest 1.45 xG
  • Possession54%46%Sheffield United 54%, Nottingham Forest 46%
  • Corners5 corners3 cornersSheffield United 5 corners, Nottingham Forest 3 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls7 foulsSheffield United 9 fouls, Nottingham Forest 7 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Gustavo Hamer · Sheffield United · 39′ · 0.01 xG · on targetGustavo Hamer · Sheffield United · 34′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMorgan Gibbs-White · Nottingham Forest · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedCallum Hudson Odoi · Nottingham Forest · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJayden Bogle · Sheffield United · 57′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedVinícius Souza · Sheffield United · 82′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJack Robinson · Sheffield United · 9′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDanilo Santos · Nottingham Forest · 25′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJayden Bogle · Sheffield United · 50′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedCallum Hudson Odoi · Nottingham Forest · 27′ · 0.04 xG · goalAndre Brooks · Sheffield United · 32′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJack Robinson · Sheffield United · 89′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedOla Aina · Nottingham Forest · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDanilo Santos · Nottingham Forest · 42′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedBen Brereton Díaz · Sheffield United · 64′ · 0.05 xG · on targetChris Wood · Nottingham Forest · 78′ · 0.07 xG · on targetBen Brereton Díaz · Sheffield United · 86′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedRyan Yates · Nottingham Forest · 25′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedMorgan Gibbs-White · Nottingham Forest · 79′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedRyan Yates · Nottingham Forest · 51′ · 0.10 xG · goalCallum Hudson Odoi · Nottingham Forest · 61′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedGustavo Hamer · Sheffield United · 56′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedJayden Bogle · Sheffield United · 32′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedCameron Archer · Sheffield United · 61′ · 0.14 xG · on targetBen Brereton Díaz · Sheffield United · 34′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedDanilo Santos · Nottingham Forest · 73′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedCallum Hudson Odoi · Nottingham Forest · 65′ · 0.16 xG · goalChris Wood · Nottingham Forest · 2′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedCameron Archer · Sheffield United · 39′ · 0.29 xG · off target or blockedChris Wood · Nottingham Forest · 42′ · 0.31 xG · off target or blockedCameron Archer · Sheffield United · 37′ · 0.34 xG · on targetBen Brereton Díaz · Sheffield United · 17′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Sheffield United: 17 shots, 5 on target, 2.35 xG. Nottingham Forest: 15 shots, 4 on target, 1.46 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Ben Brereton Díaz · Sheffield United · 17′Callum Hudson Odoi · Nottingham Forest · 27′Ryan Yates · Nottingham Forest · 51′Callum Hudson Odoi · Nottingham Forest · 65′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Sheffield United 2.35 xG · Nottingham Forest 1.46 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Sheffield United
2Draws
2Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest — Sheffield United · Premier League2–1
Nottingham Forest — Sheffield United · Championship1–2
Sheffield United — Nottingham Forest · Championship1–2
Sheffield United — Nottingham Forest · Championship1–1
Nottingham Forest — Sheffield United · Championship1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Sheffield United favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Nottingham Forest in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Sheffield United36 matchesNottingham Forest36 matches
0.97 goals/matchGoals scored36/36▲ 1.25 goals/match
2.78 goals/matchGoals allowed36/36▲ 1.75 goals/match
1.04 xG/matchExpected goals36/36▲ 1.31 xG/match
9.61 shots/matchShots36/36▲ 11.6 shots/match
3.57 shots/matchShots on target35/36▲ 3.83 shots/match
35.5%Possession36/36● 40.9%
3.69 corners/matchCorners36/36● 3.89 corners/match
11.1 fouls/matchFouls36/3611.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples36 / 36home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 4 May 2024, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

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