PitchMath
Premier League · 2023

Newcastle United 1–1 Brighton & Hove Albion · Premier League

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Newcastle United and Brighton & Hove Albion drew 1–1.

Shots
1815
Shots on target
74
Expected goals
2.221.37
Possession
56%44%

Full time

What the match recorded

Newcastle United and Brighton & Hove Albion drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Newcastle United – Brighton & Hove Albion): shots 18–15, shots on target 7–4, expected goals 2.22–1.37, possession 56%–44%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Brighton & Hove Albion's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Brighton & Hove Albion's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.5 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.5 goals/match1.47 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Newcastle United have a visible home split

moderate

Newcastle United's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

17.4 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season14.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots17.4 shots/match14.4 shots/match13.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Brighton & Hove Albion have recorded the higher season possession share.

52.3%PossessionNewcastle United · Brighton & Hove Albion● 60.5%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.2 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricNewcastle UnitedBrighton & Hove AlbionBaseline
Possession52.3%60.5%49.9%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots15 shotsNewcastle United 18 shots, Brighton & Hove Albion 15 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots4 shotsNewcastle United 7 shots, Brighton & Hove Albion 4 shots
  • Expected goals2.22 xG1.37 xGNewcastle United 2.22 xG, Brighton & Hove Albion 1.37 xG
  • Possession56%44%Newcastle United 56%, Brighton & Hove Albion 44%
  • Corners8 corners4 cornersNewcastle United 8 corners, Brighton & Hove Albion 4 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls16 foulsNewcastle United 9 fouls, Brighton & Hove Albion 16 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Jacob Murphy · Newcastle United · 24′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJulio Enciso · Brighton & Hove Albion · 42′ · 0.02 xG · on targetBenicio Boaitey · Brighton & Hove Albion · 75′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLewis Hall · Newcastle United · 79′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLewis Dunk · Brighton & Hove Albion · 14′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLewis Hall · Newcastle United · 38′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPascal Groß · Brighton & Hove Albion · 47′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBruno Guimarães · Newcastle United · 7′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSean Longstaff · Newcastle United · 20′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSimon Adingra · Brighton & Hove Albion · 27′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedElliot Anderson · Newcastle United · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJacob Murphy · Newcastle United · 61′ · 0.04 xG · on targetLewis Hall · Newcastle United · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJulio Enciso · Brighton & Hove Albion · 43′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJulio Enciso · Brighton & Hove Albion · 59′ · 0.05 xG · on targetMiguel Almirón · Newcastle United · 78′ · 0.05 xG · on targetDanny Welbeck · Brighton & Hove Albion · 18′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedBilly Gilmour · Brighton & Hove Albion · 75′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedSimon Adingra · Brighton & Hove Albion · 77′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedHarvey Barnes · Newcastle United · 84′ · 0.06 xG · on targetElliot Anderson · Newcastle United · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJulio Enciso · Brighton & Hove Albion · 42′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedJulio Enciso · Brighton & Hove Albion · 43′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAnthony Gordon · Newcastle United · 45′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedFacundo Buonanotte · Brighton & Hove Albion · 45′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedHarvey Barnes · Newcastle United · 81′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedAnthony Gordon · Newcastle United · 62′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedJoël Veltman · Brighton & Hove Albion · 18′ · 0.17 xG · goalAlexander Isak · Newcastle United · 44′ · 0.19 xG · on targetDan Burn · Newcastle United · 20′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedSean Longstaff · Newcastle United · 34′ · 0.40 xG · on targetDanny Welbeck · Brighton & Hove Albion · 37′ · 0.49 xG · on targetSean Longstaff · Newcastle United · 45′ · 0.74 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Newcastle United: 18 shots, 7 on target, 2.26 xG. Brighton & Hove Albion: 15 shots, 4 on target, 1.32 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Sean Longstaff · Newcastle United · 45′Joël Veltman · Brighton & Hove Albion · 18′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Newcastle United 2.26 xG · Brighton & Hove Albion 1.32 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Newcastle United
2Draws
1Brighton & Hove Albion
Brighton & Hove Albion — Newcastle United · Premier League3–1
Newcastle United — Brighton & Hove Albion · Premier League4–1
Brighton & Hove Albion — Newcastle United · Premier League0–0
Newcastle United — Brighton & Hove Albion · Premier League2–1
Brighton & Hove Albion — Newcastle United · Premier League1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Newcastle United favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Brighton & Hove Albion in 4 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Newcastle United36 matchesBrighton & Hove Albion36 matches
2.19 goals/match ▲Goals scored36/361.5 goals/match
1.58 goals/matchGoals allowed36/361.61 goals/match
1.99 xG/match ▲Expected goals36/361.52 xG/match
14.4 shots/matchShots36/3614.8 shots/match
5.5 shots/matchShots on target36/365.64 shots/match
52.3%Possession36/36● 60.5%
5.08 corners/matchCorners36/36● 5.42 corners/match
10.2 fouls/matchFouls36/3610.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples36 / 36home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 11 May 2024, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsNewcastle UnitedBrighton & Hove Albion
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2023/24
Head-to-headNewcastle United — Brighton & Hove Albion
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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