Premier League · 2023

Manchester United 3–2 Newcastle United · Premier League

3–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Manchester United won 3–2.

Shots
1721
Shots on target
88
Expected goals
1.482.19
Possession
44%56%

Full time

What the match recorded

Manchester United beat Newcastle United 3–2. Recorded in this match (Manchester United – Newcastle United): shots 17–21, shots on target 8–8, expected goals 1.48–2.19, possession 44%–56%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Manchester United.

3.15 days ▲Rest daysManchester United · Newcastle United4.21 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricManchester UnitedNewcastle UnitedBaseline
Rest days3.15 days4.21 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Manchester United's recent record differs from the season

weak

Manchester United's last-five shots average is above their season average.

18 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season14.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots18 shots/match14.6 shots/match13.6 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Newcastle United have a visible away split

moderate

Newcastle United's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11.6 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season14.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.6 shots/match14.6 shots/match13.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots21 shotsManchester United 17 shots, Newcastle United 21 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots8 shotsManchester United 8 shots, Newcastle United 8 shots
  • Expected goals1.48 xG2.19 xGManchester United 1.48 xG, Newcastle United 2.19 xG
  • Possession44%56%Manchester United 44%, Newcastle United 56%
  • Corners9 corners9 cornersManchester United 9 corners, Newcastle United 9 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls7 foulsManchester United 16 fouls, Newcastle United 7 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Alejandro Garnacho · Manchester United · 16′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLewis Hall · Newcastle United · 21′ · 0.01 xG · on targetBruno Guimarães · Newcastle United · 26′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBruno Fernandes · Manchester United · 52′ · 0.02 xG · on targetDan Burn · Newcastle United · 54′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDiogo Dalot · Manchester United · 61′ · 0.02 xG · on targetFabian Schär · Newcastle United · 84′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAmad Diallo · Manchester United · 27′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedEmil Krafth · Newcastle United · 36′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBruno Fernandes · Manchester United · 66′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAmad Diallo · Manchester United · 15′ · 0.04 xG · on targetBruno Guimarães · Newcastle United · 43′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedElliot Anderson · Newcastle United · 48′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAaron Wan-Bissaka · Manchester United · 88′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJoelinton · Newcastle United · 89′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedBruno Guimarães · Newcastle United · 46′ · 0.05 xG · on targetRasmus Højlund · Manchester United · 84′ · 0.05 xG · goalLewis Hall · Newcastle United · 90′ · 0.05 xG · goalAlexander Isak · Newcastle United · 2′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAmad Diallo · Manchester United · 20′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedDan Burn · Newcastle United · 36′ · 0.06 xG · on targetAmad Diallo · Manchester United · 57′ · 0.07 xG · goalJoelinton · Newcastle United · 87′ · 0.07 xG · on targetScott McTominay · Manchester United · 13′ · 0.08 xG · on targetScott McTominay · Manchester United · 45′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAlexander Isak · Newcastle United · 1′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedJoelinton · Newcastle United · 67′ · 0.09 xG · on targetCasemiro · Manchester United · 75′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedMarcus Rashford · Manchester United · 90′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedCasemiro · Manchester United · 10′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedAnthony Gordon · Newcastle United · 48′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedAlejandro Garnacho · Manchester United · 27′ · 0.17 xG · on targetAlexander Isak · Newcastle United · 52′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedSean Longstaff · Newcastle United · 68′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedAnthony Gordon · Newcastle United · 73′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedSean Longstaff · Newcastle United · 67′ · 0.36 xG · on targetAnthony Gordon · Newcastle United · 49′ · 0.38 xG · goalKobbie Mainoo · Manchester United · 31′ · 0.45 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Manchester United: 17 shots, 8 on target, 1.47 xG. Newcastle United: 21 shots, 8 on target, 2.14 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Kobbie Mainoo · Manchester United · 31′Amad Diallo · Manchester United · 57′Rasmus Højlund · Manchester United · 84′Anthony Gordon · Newcastle United · 49′Lewis Hall · Newcastle United · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Manchester United 1.47 xG · Newcastle United 2.14 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Manchester United
2Draws
2Newcastle United
Newcastle United — Manchester United · Premier League1–0
Newcastle United — Manchester United · Premier League2–0
Manchester United — Newcastle United · Premier League0–0
Newcastle United — Manchester United · Premier League1–1
Manchester United — Newcastle United · Premier League4–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Manchester United favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Newcastle United in 8 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Manchester United37 matchesNewcastle United37 matches
1.49 goals/matchGoals scored37/37▲ 2.19 goals/match
1.57 goals/matchGoals allowed37/371.62 goals/match
1.5 xG/matchExpected goals37/37▲ 1.99 xG/match
14.6 shots/matchShots37/3714.6 shots/match
5.11 shots/matchShots on target37/37▲ 5.57 shots/match
50.6%Possession37/37● 52.4%
5.92 corners/match ●Corners37/375.19 corners/match
10.6 fouls/matchFouls37/3710.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples37 / 37home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 15 May 2024, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

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