Premier League · 2023Sun, 12 May 2024, 15:30 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
01Full-time recap

Arsenal

LWWWW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Alejandro Garnacho · Manchester United · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDiogo Dalot · Manchester United · 16′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTakehiro Tomiyasu · Arsenal · 28′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAlejandro Garnacho · Manchester United · 34′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAlejandro Garnacho · Manchester United · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedCasemiro · Manchester United · 68′ · 0.02 xG · on targetSofyan Amrabat · Manchester United · 74′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedCasemiro · Manchester United · 31′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDeclan Rice · Arsenal · 83′ · 0.03 xG · on targetAlejandro Garnacho · Manchester United · 7′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedBen White · Arsenal · 28′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedScott McTominay · Manchester United · 32′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedWilliam Saliba · Arsenal · 57′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAlejandro Garnacho · Manchester United · 61′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAntony · Manchester United · 72′ · 0.04 xG · on targetBukayo Saka · Arsenal · 4′ · 0.05 xG · on targetAlejandro Garnacho · Manchester United · 77′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAlejandro Garnacho · Manchester United · 7′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMartin Ødegaard · Arsenal · 65′ · 0.08 xG · on targetRasmus Højlund · Manchester United · 5′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedDeclan Rice · Arsenal · 55′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedGabriel Magalhães · Arsenal · 9′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedGabriel Martinelli · Arsenal · 79′ · 0.19 xG · on targetBukayo Saka · Arsenal · 56′ · 0.28 xG · off target or blockedLeandro Trossard · Arsenal · 21′ · 0.48 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Manchester United: 14 shots, 2 on target, 0.50 xG. Arsenal: 11 shots, 5 on target, 1.48 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Leandro Trossard · Arsenal · 21′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Manchester United 0.50 xG · Arsenal 1.48 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The available record does not support a clear cross-team pattern. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Paired coverage is below the configured metric threshold.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

2Manchester United
0Draws
3Arsenal
ArsenalManchester United · Premier League31
ArsenalManchester United · Premier League32
Manchester UnitedArsenal · Premier League31
ArsenalManchester United · Premier League31
Manchester UnitedArsenal · Premier League32

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Unavailable analysis

The retained evidence does not clear the minimum gates.

Sections that would imply a supported comparison are intentionally omitted.

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade D · Unavailableunavailable
Season samples36 / 37home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Paired coverage is below the configured metric threshold.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 12 May 2024, 19:30 UTC · analysis-v4