Premier League · 2023

Brighton & Hove Albion 1–2 Chelsea · Premier League

1–2Historical match

Chelsea

LDWWW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Chelsea won 1–2.

Shots
1214
Shots on target
26
Expected goals
1.271.54
Possession
55%45%

Full time

What the match recorded

Chelsea beat Brighton & Hove Albion 2–1. Recorded in this match (Brighton & Hove Albion – Chelsea): shots 12–14, shots on target 2–6, expected goals 1.27–1.54, possession 55%–45%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Brighton & Hove Albion's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Brighton & Hove Albion's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.49 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.49 goals/match1.47 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Chelsea.

4.2 days ▲Rest daysBrighton & Hove Albion · Chelsea4.09 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricBrighton & Hove AlbionChelseaBaseline
Rest days4.2 days4.09 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots14 shotsBrighton & Hove Albion 12 shots, Chelsea 14 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots6 shotsBrighton & Hove Albion 2 shots, Chelsea 6 shots
  • Expected goals1.27 xG1.54 xGBrighton & Hove Albion 1.27 xG, Chelsea 1.54 xG
  • Possession55%45%Brighton & Hove Albion 55%, Chelsea 45%
  • Corners4 corners6 cornersBrighton & Hove Albion 4 corners, Chelsea 6 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls14 foulsBrighton & Hove Albion 13 fouls, Chelsea 14 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Cole Palmer · Chelsea · 35′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMalo Gusto · Chelsea · 26′ · 0.02 xG · on targetCole Palmer · Chelsea · 30′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedValentín Barco · Brighton & Hove Albion · 80′ · 0.02 xG · on targetCarlos Baleba · Brighton & Hove Albion · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJulio Enciso · Brighton & Hove Albion · 25′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSimon Adingra · Brighton & Hove Albion · 31′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSimon Adingra · Brighton & Hove Albion · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNoni Madueke · Chelsea · 3′ · 0.04 xG · on targetCole Palmer · Chelsea · 30′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRaheem Sterling · Chelsea · 83′ · 0.04 xG · on targetCole Palmer · Chelsea · 13′ · 0.05 xG · on targetJoão Pedro · Brighton & Hove Albion · 45′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMalo Gusto · Chelsea · 52′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedChristopher Nkunku · Chelsea · 49′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJulio Enciso · Brighton & Hove Albion · 53′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedCole Palmer · Chelsea · 34′ · 0.08 xG · goalSimon Adingra · Brighton & Hove Albion · 76′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedCole Palmer · Chelsea · 53′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedSimon Adingra · Brighton & Hove Albion · 10′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedDanny Welbeck · Brighton & Hove Albion · 90′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedCole Palmer · Chelsea · 44′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedChristopher Nkunku · Chelsea · 64′ · 0.26 xG · goalDanny Welbeck · Brighton & Hove Albion · 90′ · 0.28 xG · goalPascal Groß · Brighton & Hove Albion · 57′ · 0.35 xG · off target or blockedNicolas Jackson · Chelsea · 45′ · 0.60 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Brighton & Hove Albion: 12 shots, 2 on target, 1.24 xG. Chelsea: 14 shots, 6 on target, 1.56 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Danny Welbeck · Brighton & Hove Albion · 90′Cole Palmer · Chelsea · 34′Christopher Nkunku · Chelsea · 64′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Brighton & Hove Albion 1.24 xG · Chelsea 1.56 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Brighton & Hove Albion
2Draws
1Chelsea
Chelsea — Brighton & Hove Albion · Premier League3–2
Chelsea — Brighton & Hove Albion · Premier League1–2
Brighton & Hove Albion — Chelsea · Premier League4–1
Brighton & Hove Albion — Chelsea · Premier League1–1
Chelsea — Brighton & Hove Albion · Premier League1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Brighton & Hove Albion favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Chelsea in 4 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Brighton & Hove Albion37 matchesChelsea37 matches
1.49 goals/matchGoals scored37/37▲ 2.03 goals/match
1.62 goals/matchGoals allowed37/371.68 goals/match
1.52 xG/matchExpected goals37/37▲ 2 xG/match
14.7 shots/matchShots37/3714.4 shots/match
5.54 shots/matchShots on target37/375.65 shots/match
60.4% ●Possession37/3758.8%
5.38 corners/match ●Corners37/375.3 corners/match
10.9 fouls/matchFouls37/3711.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples37 / 37home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 15 May 2024, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

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