Premier League · 2023

Luton Town 1–1 Everton · Premier League

1–1Historical match

Everton

WLWWW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Luton Town and Everton drew 1–1.

Shots
1810
Shots on target
53
Expected goals
0.811.42
Possession
50%50%

Full time

What the match recorded

Luton Town and Everton drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Luton Town – Everton): shots 18–10, shots on target 5–3, expected goals 0.81–1.42, possession 50%–50%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Luton Town have a visible home split

moderate

Luton Town's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.9 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13.9 shots/match11.5 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Everton.

6.21 days ▲Rest daysLuton Town · Everton6.1 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricLuton TownEvertonBaseline
Rest days6.21 days6.1 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots10 shotsLuton Town 18 shots, Everton 10 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots3 shotsLuton Town 5 shots, Everton 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.81 xG1.42 xGLuton Town 0.81 xG, Everton 1.42 xG
  • Possession50%50%Luton Town 50%, Everton 50%
  • Corners7 corners7 cornersLuton Town 7 corners, Everton 7 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls12 foulsLuton Town 14 fouls, Everton 12 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Alfie Doughty · Luton Town · 45′ · 0.01 xG · on targetJack Harrison · Everton · 40′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedCarlton Morris · Luton Town · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGabriel Osho · Luton Town · 51′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJack Harrison · Everton · 69′ · 0.02 xG · on targetRoss Barkley · Luton Town · 83′ · 0.02 xG · on targetCauley Woodrow · Luton Town · 85′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedCauley Woodrow · Luton Town · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTeden Mengi · Luton Town · 90′ · 0.02 xG · on targetReece Burke · Luton Town · 2′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedTahith Chong · Luton Town · 5′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJack Harrison · Everton · 78′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAbdoulaye Doucouré · Everton · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLuke Berry · Luton Town · 90′ · 0.04 xG · on targetAndros Townsend · Luton Town · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJames Garner · Everton · 19′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJames Garner · Everton · 45′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRoss Barkley · Luton Town · 66′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAmadou Onana · Everton · 70′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedTeden Mengi · Luton Town · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedCarlton Morris · Luton Town · 68′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedRoss Barkley · Luton Town · 76′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedLuke Berry · Luton Town · 90′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedElijah Adebayo · Luton Town · 31′ · 0.10 xG · goalTeden Mengi · Luton Town · 54′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedJames Tarkowski · Everton · 44′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedDominic Calvert-Lewin · Everton · 77′ · 0.23 xG · on targetDominic Calvert-Lewin · Everton · 24′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Luton Town: 18 shots, 5 on target, 0.81 xG. Everton: 10 shots, 3 on target, 1.43 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Elijah Adebayo · Luton Town · 31′Dominic Calvert-Lewin · Everton · 24′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Luton Town 0.81 xG · Everton 1.43 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Luton Town favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Everton in 8

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Luton Town36 matchesEverton36 matches
1.36 goals/match ▲Goals scored36/361.06 goals/match
2.17 goals/matchGoals allowed36/36▲ 1.36 goals/match
1.14 xG/matchExpected goals36/36▲ 1.44 xG/match
11.5 shots/matchShots36/36▲ 13.5 shots/match
3.72 shots/matchShots on target36/36▲ 4.28 shots/match
42.1% ●Possession36/3640.3%
5.36 corners/match ●Corners36/364.92 corners/match
11.5 fouls/matchFouls36/3612.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples36 / 36home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 3 May 2024, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

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