Premier League · 2023

Everton 1–0 Brentford · Premier League

Everton

DWLWW
1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Everton won 1–0.

Shots
1810
Shots on target
14
Expected goals
0.860.88
Possession
48%52%

Full time

What the match recorded

Everton beat Brentford 1–0. Recorded in this match (Everton – Brentford): shots 18–10, shots on target 1–4, expected goals 0.86–0.88, possession 48%–52%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Brentford's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Brentford's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.49 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.49 goals/match1.51 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Everton.

2.9 days ▲Rest daysEverton · Brentford7.1 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricEvertonBrentfordBaseline
Rest days2.9 days7.1 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches1 match—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots10 shotsEverton 18 shots, Brentford 10 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot4 shotsEverton 1 shot, Brentford 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.86 xG0.88 xGEverton 0.86 xG, Brentford 0.88 xG
  • Possession48%52%Everton 48%, Brentford 52%
  • Corners6 corners6 cornersEverton 6 corners, Brentford 6 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls12 foulsEverton 10 fouls, Brentford 12 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Jack Harrison · Everton · 57′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedIdrissa Gana Gueye · Everton · 60′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDwight McNeil · Everton · 34′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJack Harrison · Everton · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDwight McNeil · Everton · 53′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJack Harrison · Everton · 28′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedIvan Toney · Brentford · 36′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBen Godfrey · Everton · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBryan Mbeumo · Brentford · 79′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMikkel Damsgaard · Brentford · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKevin Schade · Brentford · 90′ · 0.03 xG · on targetEthan Pinnock · Brentford · 5′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSergio Reguilón · Brentford · 5′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJames Garner · Everton · 34′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedBen Godfrey · Everton · 35′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDwight McNeil · Everton · 66′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJames Garner · Everton · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJames Tarkowski · Everton · 43′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDwight McNeil · Everton · 43′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedIdrissa Gana Gueye · Everton · 60′ · 0.05 xG · goalYoussef Chermiti · Everton · 37′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedDwight McNeil · Everton · 6′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedKeane Lewis-Potter · Brentford · 76′ · 0.07 xG · on targetIvan Toney · Brentford · 74′ · 0.09 xG · on targetJack Harrison · Everton · 42′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedMathias Jensen · Brentford · 20′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedAbdoulaye Doucouré · Everton · 45′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedIvan Toney · Brentford · 50′ · 0.36 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Everton: 18 shots, 1 on target, 0.86 xG. Brentford: 10 shots, 4 on target, 0.86 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Idrissa Gana Gueye · Everton · 60′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Everton 0.86 xG · Brentford 0.86 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Everton
1Draws
2Brentford
Brentford — Everton · Premier League1–3
Everton — Brentford · Premier League1–0
Brentford — Everton · Premier League1–1
Everton — Brentford · Premier League2–3
Brentford — Everton · Premier League1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Everton favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Brentford in 5 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Everton35 matchesBrentford35 matches
1.06 goals/matchGoals scored35/35▲ 1.49 goals/match
1.37 goals/match ▲Goals allowed35/351.71 goals/match
1.44 xG/matchExpected goals35/35▲ 1.63 xG/match
13.6 shots/match ▲Shots35/3512.7 shots/match
4.31 shots/matchShots on target35/35▲ 4.54 shots/match
40.1%Possession35/35● 44.3%
4.86 corners/match ●Corners35/354.74 corners/match
12.2 fouls/matchFouls35/3510.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples35 / 35home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 27 Apr 2024, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

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