Premier League · 2024Sat, 14 Sept 2024, 11:30 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Southampton

LLL

0–3Full-time recap

Manchester United

WLL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Southampton	Manchester United
Shots	6 shots/match	20 shots/match▲
Shots on target	4 shots/match	10 shots/match▲
Expected goals	1.12 xG/match	2.67 xG/match▲
Possession	44%	56%●
Corners	0 corners/match	7 corners/match●
Fouls	11 fouls/match	14 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Southampton: 6 shots, 4 on target, 1.21 xG. Manchester United: 20 shots, 10 on target, 2.67 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Southampton 1.21 xG · Manchester United 2.67 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Manchester United's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Manchester United show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Manchester United's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12 shots/match▲ShotsSouthampton · Manchester United13.3 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Southampton	Manchester United	Baseline
Shots	12 shots/match	13.3 shots/match	13 shots/match
Shots against	16.5 shots/match	10.3 shots/match	12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

6 corners/match●CornersSouthampton · Manchester United5.75 corners/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

Metric	Southampton	Manchester United	Baseline
Corners	6 corners/match	5.75 corners/match	5 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Southampton have recorded the higher season possession share.

62.5%●PossessionSouthampton · Manchester United54%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.5 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Southampton	Manchester United	Baseline
Possession	62.5%	54%	48.2%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Southampton

3Draws

1Manchester United

12 Mar 2023Manchester United — Southampton · Premier League0–0

27 Aug 2022Southampton — Manchester United · Premier League0–1

12 Feb 2022Manchester United — Southampton · Premier League1–1

22 Aug 2021Southampton — Manchester United · Premier League1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Southampton favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Manchester United in 0 · 13 too close

0.25 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 4/41.25 goals/match

2 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 4/41.25 goals/match

1.15 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 4/41.97 xG/match

2.04 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 4/41.36 xG/match

12 shots/matchShotsseason · 4/413.3 shots/match

16.5 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 4/410.3 shots/match

3.75 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 4/45.5 shots/match

6.5 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 4/43.5 shots/match

62.5%●Possessionseason · 4/454%

6 corners/match●Cornersseason · 4/45.75 corners/match

5.5 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 4/43.5 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

12 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 4/411.5 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

0%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 4/450%

25%Scoring frequencyseason · 4/475%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Southampton92.5

Manchester United65

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Southampton24.2

Manchester United56.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Southampton14.2

Manchester United65.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Southampton7.5

Manchester United37.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Southampton37.5

Manchester United27.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Southampton67.5

Manchester United57.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Southampton43.8

Manchester United53.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Southampton4 matchesManchester United4 matches

0.25 goals/matchGoals scored4/4▲1.25 goals/match

2 goals/matchGoals allowed4/4▲1.25 goals/match

1.15 xG/matchExpected goals4/4▲1.97 xG/match

12 shots/matchShots4/4▲13.3 shots/match

3.75 shots/matchShots on target4/4▲5.5 shots/match

62.5%●Possession4/454%

6 corners/match●Corners4/45.75 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

12 fouls/matchFouls4/411.5 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Southampton2 matchesManchester United2 matches

—Goals scored2/2—

—Goals allowed2/2—

—Expected goals2/2—

—Shots2/2—

—Shots on target2/2—

—Possession2/2—

—Corners2/2—

—Cards0/0—

—Fouls2/2—

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

13.9 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/112.9 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited

Season samples4 / 4home / away teams

Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 14 Sept 2024, 15:30 UTC · analysis-v4