Premier League · 2024Sat, 21 Sept 2024, 16:30 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
00Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricCrystal PalaceManchester United
Shots9 shots/match15 shots/match
Shots on target4 shots/match6 shots/match
Expected goals1.01 xG/match1.7 xG/match
Possession33%67%
Corners4 corners/match11 corners/match
Fouls7 fouls/match12 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Eddie Nketiah · Crystal Palace · 45′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAmad Diallo · Manchester United · 50′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMaxence Lacroix · Crystal Palace · 83′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAmad Diallo · Manchester United · 63′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAlejandro Garnacho · Manchester United · 63′ · 0.03 xG · on targetJefferson Lerma · Crystal Palace · 65′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedWill Hughes · Crystal Palace · 79′ · 0.03 xG · on targetBruno Fernandes · Manchester United · 35′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKobbie Mainoo · Manchester United · 41′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedBruno Fernandes · Manchester United · 51′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMatthijs de Ligt · Manchester United · 68′ · 0.06 xG · on targetMatthijs de Ligt · Manchester United · 3′ · 0.07 xG · on targetIsmaïla Sarr · Crystal Palace · 90′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedJoshua Zirkzee · Manchester United · 33′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedBruno Fernandes · Manchester United · 52′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedAlejandro Garnacho · Manchester United · 10′ · 0.13 xG · on targetEddie Nketiah · Crystal Palace · 65′ · 0.13 xG · on targetEberechi Eze · Crystal Palace · 44′ · 0.15 xG · on targetBruno Fernandes · Manchester United · 27′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedLisandro Martínez · Manchester United · 14′ · 0.20 xG · on targetIsmaïla Sarr · Crystal Palace · 65′ · 0.23 xG · on targetAlejandro Garnacho · Manchester United · 27′ · 0.31 xG · off target or blockedEberechi Eze · Crystal Palace · 72′ · 0.33 xG · off target or blockedMatthijs de Ligt · Manchester United · 13′ · 0.42 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Crystal Palace: 9 shots, 4 on target, 1.01 xG. Manchester United: 15 shots, 6 on target, 1.77 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Crystal Palace 1.01 xG · Manchester United 1.77 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The available record does not support a clear cross-team pattern. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

3Crystal Palace
1Draws
1Manchester United
Crystal PalaceManchester United · Premier League40
Manchester UnitedCrystal Palace · Premier League01
Manchester UnitedCrystal Palace · Premier League21
Crystal PalaceManchester United · Premier League11
Crystal PalaceManchester United · Premier League10

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Crystal Palace favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Manchester United in 9 · 4 too close

0.8 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 5/51 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 5/51 goals/match
1.32 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 5/51.92 xG/match
1.66 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 5/51.29 xG/match
13.2 shots/matchShotsseason · 5/513.6 shots/match
12.8 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 5/510 shots/match
3.8 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 5/55.6 shots/match
5 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 5/53.6 shots/match
49.8%Possessionseason · 5/556.6%
4.6 corners/matchCornersseason · 5/56.8 corners/match
4.8 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 5/53.6 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
11 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 5/511.6 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
20%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 5/560%
60%Scoring frequencyseason · 5/560%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Crystal Palace57.5
Manchester United67.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Crystal Palace31.7
Manchester United54.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Crystal Palace48.3
Manchester United68.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Crystal Palace55
Manchester United32.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Crystal Palace32.5
Manchester United37.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Crystal Palace42.5
Manchester United87.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Crystal Palace39.4
Manchester United64.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Crystal Palace5 matchesManchester United5 matches
0.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/51 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51 goals/match
1.32 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.92 xG/match
13.2 shots/matchShots5/513.6 shots/match
3.8 shots/matchShots on target5/55.6 shots/match
49.8%Possession5/556.6%
4.6 corners/matchCorners5/56.8 corners/match
Cards0/0
11 fouls/matchFouls5/511.6 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Crystal Palace3 matchesManchester United3 matches
0.67 goals/matchGoals scored3/31.33 goals/match
1.33 goals/matchGoals allowed3/30.67 goals/match
1.64 xG/matchExpected goals3/31.93 xG/match
14.3 shots/matchShots3/315.3 shots/match
3.33 shots/matchShots on target3/36.67 shots/match
52.7%Possession3/358.3%
4 corners/matchCorners3/37.33 corners/match
Cards0/0
9 fouls/matchFouls3/313 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.1 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.21 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 21 Sept 2024, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4