Premier League · 2024Sat, 21 Sept 2024, 14:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Tottenham Hotspur

DWLL

3–1Full-time recap

Brentford

WLWL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Tottenham Hotspur	Brentford
Shots	23 shots/match▲	6 shots/match
Shots on target	10 shots/match▲	6 shots/match
Expected goals	3.52 xG/match▲	0.8 xG/match
Possession	48%	52%●
Corners	9 corners/match●	4 corners/match
Fouls	11 fouls/match	9 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Tottenham Hotspur: 23 shots, 10 on target, 3.84 xG. Brentford: 6 shots, 6 on target, 0.80 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Tottenham Hotspur 3.84 xG · Brentford 0.80 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Tottenham Hotspur's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Brentford's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Tottenham Hotspur show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Tottenham Hotspur's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

17.2 shots/match▲ShotsTottenham Hotspur · Brentford10.2 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Tottenham Hotspur	Brentford	Baseline
Shots	17.2 shots/match	10.2 shots/match	12.8 shots/match
Shots against	7.8 shots/match	18.4 shots/match	13.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Brentford have a visible away split

weak

Brentford's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

7.33 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season10.2 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

Metric	Away only	Season	Baseline
Shots	7.33 shots/match	10.2 shots/match	12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Tottenham Hotspur have recorded the higher season possession share.

63.8%●PossessionTottenham Hotspur · Brentford43.8%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 20.0 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Tottenham Hotspur	Brentford	Baseline
Possession	63.8%	43.8%	47.7%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Tottenham Hotspur

3Draws

1Brentford

31 Jan 2024Tottenham Hotspur — Brentford · Premier League3–2

13 Aug 2023Brentford — Tottenham Hotspur · Premier League2–2

20 May 2023Tottenham Hotspur — Brentford · Premier League1–3

26 Dec 2022Brentford — Tottenham Hotspur · Premier League2–2

23 Apr 2022Brentford — Tottenham Hotspur · Premier League0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Tottenham Hotspur favored in 10 of 13 directional metrics · Brentford in 0 · 3 too close

1.8 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 5/51.4 goals/match

1 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 5/51.8 goals/match

1.82 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 5/51.34 xG/match

1.08 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 5/52.22 xG/match

17.2 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 5/510.2 shots/match

7.8 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 5/518.4 shots/match

7 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 5/55 shots/match

3.4 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 5/57.4 shots/match

63.8%●Possessionseason · 5/543.8%

10.6 corners/match●Cornersseason · 5/53.4 corners/match

4.8 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 5/59 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

12 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 5/57 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

20%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 5/50%

80%Scoring frequencyseason · 5/580%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Tottenham Hotspur97.5

Brentford22.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Tottenham Hotspur90.8

Brentford40

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Tottenham Hotspur76.7

Brentford8.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Tottenham Hotspur62.5

Brentford22.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Tottenham Hotspur45

Brentford7.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Tottenham Hotspur97.5

Brentford10

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Tottenham Hotspur84.4

Brentford20

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Tottenham Hotspur5 matchesBrentford5 matches

1.8 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51.4 goals/match

1 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.8 goals/match

1.82 xG/match▲Expected goals5/51.34 xG/match

17.2 shots/match▲Shots5/510.2 shots/match

7 shots/match▲Shots on target5/55 shots/match

63.8%●Possession5/543.8%

10.6 corners/match●Corners5/53.4 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

12 fouls/matchFouls5/57 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Tottenham Hotspur3 matchesBrentford3 matches

2.33 goals/match▲Goals scored3/30.67 goals/match

0.67 goals/match▲Goals allowed3/32.33 goals/match

2.22 xG/match▲Expected goals3/30.77 xG/match

17 shots/match▲Shots3/37.33 shots/match

7.33 shots/match▲Shots on target3/34.33 shots/match

61%●Possession3/345.3%

9.33 corners/match●Corners3/33.67 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.7 fouls/matchFouls3/36.33 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.04 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples5 / 5home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 21 Sept 2024, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4