Premier League · 2024Sat, 21 Sept 2024, 14:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Southampton

LLLL

1–1Full-time recap

Ipswich Town

LLDD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Southampton	Ipswich Town
Shots	11 shots/match	13 shots/match▲
Shots on target	3 shots/match	6 shots/match▲
Expected goals	2.49 xG/match▲	1.69 xG/match
Possession	54%●	46%
Corners	2 corners/match	10 corners/match●
Fouls	16 fouls/match	16 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Southampton: 11 shots, 3 on target, 2.42 xG. Ipswich Town: 13 shots, 6 on target, 1.70 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Southampton 2.42 xG · Ipswich Town 1.70 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Southampton's home-only shot average is below their full-season average. A second useful context is: Southampton have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Southampton have a visible home split

weak

Southampton's home-only shot average is below their full-season average.

7.33 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season11.8 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

Metric	Home only	Season	Baseline
Shots	7.33 shots/match	11.8 shots/match	12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Southampton have recorded the higher season possession share.

60.8%●PossessionSouthampton · Ipswich Town37.8%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 23.0 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Southampton	Ipswich Town	Baseline
Possession	60.8%	37.8%	47.7%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Southampton

0Draws

2Ipswich Town

1 Apr 2024Ipswich Town — Southampton · Championship3–2

19 Sept 2023Southampton — Ipswich Town · Championship0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Southampton favored in 5 of 13 directional metrics · Ipswich Town in 6 · 2 too close

0.4 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 5/5▲0.6 goals/match

1.8 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 5/5▲1.6 goals/match

1.42 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 5/50.65 xG/match

1.97 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 5/52.22 xG/match

11.8 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 5/57.6 shots/match

15.8 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 5/5▲14.6 shots/match

3.6 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 5/52.8 shots/match

6.4 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 5/5▲4.6 shots/match

60.8%●Possessionseason · 5/537.8%

5.2 corners/match●Cornersseason · 5/54.6 corners/match

6.4 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 5/57.4 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

12.8 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 5/514.2 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

0%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 5/5▲20%

40%Scoring frequencyseason · 5/5▲60%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Southampton87.5

Ipswich Town7.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Southampton19.2

Ipswich Town4.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Southampton17.5

Ipswich Town38.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Southampton2.5

Ipswich Town7.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Southampton62.5

Ipswich Town87.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Southampton55

Ipswich Town42.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Southampton43.1

Ipswich Town33.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Southampton5 matchesIpswich Town5 matches

0.4 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲0.6 goals/match

1.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1.6 goals/match

1.42 xG/match▲Expected goals5/50.65 xG/match

11.8 shots/match▲Shots5/57.6 shots/match

3.6 shots/match▲Shots on target5/52.8 shots/match

60.8%●Possession5/537.8%

5.2 corners/match●Corners5/54.6 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

12.8 fouls/matchFouls5/514.2 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Southampton3 matchesIpswich Town3 matches

0.33 goals/matchGoals scored3/3▲0.67 goals/match

1.67 goals/matchGoals allowed3/31.67 goals/match

1.25 xG/match▲Expected goals3/30.78 xG/match

7.33 shots/match▲Shots3/36.67 shots/match

2.67 shots/matchShots on target3/32.67 shots/match

54.3%●Possession3/334%

2 corners/matchCorners3/3●4.33 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

13.7 fouls/matchFouls3/315.7 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.1 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples5 / 5home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 21 Sept 2024, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4