Premier League · 2024Sat, 21 Sept 2024, 14:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
11Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricLeicester CityEverton
Shots12 shots/match17 shots/match
Shots on target2 shots/match5 shots/match
Expected goals0.66 xG/match1.1 xG/match
Possession59%41%
Corners6 corners/match1 corners/match
Fouls11 fouls/match12 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Dominic Calvert-Lewin · Everton · 16′ · 0.01 xG · on targetDwight McNeil · Everton · 41′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJames Garner · Everton · 69′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDwight McNeil · Everton · 3′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAbdoulaye Doucouré · Everton · 6′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedWilfred Ndidi · Leicester City · 9′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedWilfred Ndidi · Leicester City · 20′ · 0.02 xG · on targetHarry Winks · Leicester City · 56′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDwight McNeil · Everton · 69′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDominic Calvert-Lewin · Everton · 76′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJesper Lindstrøm · Everton · 12′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJordan Ayew · Leicester City · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedWilfred Ndidi · Leicester City · 79′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedStephy Mavididi · Leicester City · 86′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedStephy Mavididi · Leicester City · 15′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedFacundo Buonanotte · Leicester City · 88′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJesper Lindstrøm · Everton · 41′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDominic Calvert-Lewin · Everton · 21′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJordan Ayew · Leicester City · 52′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedWout Faes · Leicester City · 68′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedDwight McNeil · Everton · 44′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedIliman Ndiaye · Everton · 12′ · 0.08 xG · goalDominic Calvert-Lewin · Everton · 65′ · 0.08 xG · on targetCaleb Okoli · Leicester City · 68′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedDominic Calvert-Lewin · Everton · 90′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedJesper Lindstrøm · Everton · 21′ · 0.10 xG · on targetIliman Ndiaye · Everton · 50′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedStephy Mavididi · Leicester City · 73′ · 0.22 xG · goalJesper Lindstrøm · Everton · 4′ · 0.31 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Leicester City: 12 shots, 2 on target, 0.65 xG. Everton: 17 shots, 5 on target, 1.10 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Stephy Mavididi · Leicester City · 73′Iliman Ndiaye · Everton · 12′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Leicester City 0.65 xG · Everton 1.10 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Leicester City's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Leicester City have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Leicester City show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Leicester City's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

9.4 shots/matchShotsLeicester City · Everton12 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLeicester CityEvertonBaseline
Shots9.4 shots/match12 shots/match12.8 shots/match
Shots against16 shots/match13.8 shots/match13.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Leicester City have recorded the higher season possession share.

45.2%PossessionLeicester City · Everton36.4%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.8 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricLeicester CityEvertonBaseline
Possession45.2%36.4%47.7%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Leicester City
2Draws
1Everton
Leicester CityEverton · Premier League22
EvertonLeicester City · Premier League02
Leicester CityEverton · Premier League12
EvertonLeicester City · Premier League11

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Leicester City favored in 6 of 13 directional metrics · Everton in 4 · 3 too close

1.2 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 5/51 goals/match
1.6 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 5/52.8 goals/match
0.8 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 5/51.09 xG/match
1.63 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 5/51.8 xG/match
9.4 shots/matchShotsseason · 5/512 shots/match
16 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 5/513.8 shots/match
3.2 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 5/53.4 shots/match
5.4 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 5/55.8 shots/match
45.2%Possessionseason · 5/536.4%
3.2 corners/matchCornersseason · 5/53.4 corners/match
6 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 5/56.6 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
12.6 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 5/510.6 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
0%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 5/50%
100%Scoring frequencyseason · 5/560%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Leicester City32.5
Everton2.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Leicester City20.8
Everton28.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Leicester City27.5
Everton25.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Leicester City17.5
Everton87.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Leicester City57.5
Everton25
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Leicester City2.5
Everton10
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Leicester City18.8
Everton22.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Leicester City5 matchesEverton5 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/51 goals/match
1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed5/52.8 goals/match
0.8 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.09 xG/match
9.4 shots/matchShots5/512 shots/match
3.2 shots/matchShots on target5/53.4 shots/match
45.2%Possession5/536.4%
3.2 corners/matchCorners5/53.4 corners/match
Cards0/0
12.6 fouls/matchFouls5/510.6 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Leicester City3 matchesEverton3 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored3/31 goals/match
1.33 goals/matchGoals allowed3/32.67 goals/match
0.72 xG/matchExpected goals3/31 xG/match
9.33 shots/matchShots3/311 shots/match
2.67 shots/matchShots on target3/32.67 shots/match
49%Possession3/332.3%
3 corners/matchCorners3/32.67 corners/match
Cards0/0
11.7 fouls/matchFouls3/313 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.9 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 21 Sept 2024, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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Leicester City vs Everton — stats, xG & match recap | PitchMath