Premier League · 2024Sat, 14 Sept 2024, 16:30 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Aston Villa

WLW

3–2Full-time recap

Everton

LLL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Aston Villa	Everton
Shots	17 shots/match▲	6 shots/match
Shots on target	8 shots/match▲	2 shots/match
Expected goals	2.12 xG/match▲	0.9 xG/match
Possession	73%●	27%
Corners	6 corners/match●	2 corners/match
Fouls	10 fouls/match	12 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Aston Villa: 17 shots, 8 on target, 2.14 xG. Everton: 6 shots, 2 on target, 0.90 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Aston Villa 2.14 xG · Everton 0.90 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Everton's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Aston Villa have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Everton show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Everton's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

13.3 shots/match▲ShotsAston Villa · Everton10.8 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Aston Villa	Everton	Baseline
Shots	13.3 shots/match	10.8 shots/match	13.3 shots/match
Shots against	9.5 shots/match	14.3 shots/match	13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Aston Villa have recorded the higher season possession share.

50.5%●PossessionAston Villa · Everton35.3%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 15.2 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Aston Villa	Everton	Baseline
Possession	50.5%	35.3%	50.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

4Aston Villa

1Draws

0Everton

14 Jan 2024Everton — Aston Villa · Premier League0–0

20 Aug 2023Aston Villa — Everton · Premier League4–0

25 Feb 2023Everton — Aston Villa · Premier League0–2

13 Aug 2022Aston Villa — Everton · Premier League2–1

22 Jan 2022Everton — Aston Villa · Premier League0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Aston Villa favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Everton in 0 · 13 too close

1.75 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 4/41 goals/match

1.5 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 4/43.25 goals/match

1.75 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 4/41.09 xG/match

1.17 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 4/42.09 xG/match

13.3 shots/matchShotsseason · 4/410.8 shots/match

9.5 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 4/414.3 shots/match

4.75 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 4/43 shots/match

3 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 4/46.75 shots/match

50.5%●Possessionseason · 4/435.3%

4.25 corners/match●Cornersseason · 4/44 corners/match

2.25 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 4/46.75 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

12.5 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 4/410.3 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

0%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 4/40%

75%Scoring frequencyseason · 4/450%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Aston Villa52.5

Everton2.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Aston Villa60.8

Everton20

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Aston Villa65.8

Everton15

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Aston Villa52.5

Everton82.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Aston Villa50

Everton17.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Aston Villa42.5

Everton32.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Aston Villa48.8

Everton21.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Aston Villa4 matchesEverton4 matches

1.75 goals/match▲Goals scored4/41 goals/match

1.5 goals/match▲Goals allowed4/43.25 goals/match

1.75 xG/match▲Expected goals4/41.09 xG/match

13.3 shots/match▲Shots4/410.8 shots/match

4.75 shots/match▲Shots on target4/43 shots/match

50.5%●Possession4/435.3%

4.25 corners/match●Corners4/44 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

12.5 fouls/matchFouls4/410.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Aston Villa2 matchesEverton2 matches

—Goals scored2/2—

—Goals allowed2/2—

—Expected goals2/2—

—Shots2/2—

—Shots on target2/2—

—Possession2/2—

—Corners2/2—

—Cards0/0—

—Fouls2/2—

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

14.1 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/114.1 days

0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited

Season samples4 / 4home / away teams

Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 14 Sept 2024, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4