Premier League · 2024

Aston Villa 3–2 Everton · Premier League

3–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Aston Villa won 3–2.

Shots
176
Shots on target
82
Expected goals
2.120.9
Possession
73%27%

Full time

What the match recorded

Aston Villa beat Everton 3–2. Recorded in this match (Aston Villa – Everton): shots 17–6, shots on target 8–2, expected goals 2.12–0.9, possession 73%–27%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Everton show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Everton's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

13.3 shots/match ▲ShotsAston Villa · Everton10.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAston VillaEvertonBaseline
Shots13.3 shots/match10.8 shots/match13.3 shots/match
Shots against9.5 shots/match14.3 shots/match13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Aston Villa have recorded the higher season possession share.

50.5% ●PossessionAston Villa · Everton35.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 15.2 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricAston VillaEvertonBaseline
Possession50.5%35.3%50.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots6 shotsAston Villa 17 shots, Everton 6 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots2 shotsAston Villa 8 shots, Everton 2 shots
  • Expected goals2.12 xG0.9 xGAston Villa 2.12 xG, Everton 0.9 xG
  • Possession73%27%Aston Villa 73%, Everton 27%
  • Corners6 corners2 cornersAston Villa 6 corners, Everton 2 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls12 foulsAston Villa 10 fouls, Everton 12 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Morgan Rogers · Aston Villa · 10′ · 0.02 xG · on targetDwight McNeil · Everton · 16′ · 0.02 xG · goalMichael Keane · Everton · 71′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJhon Durán · Aston Villa · 76′ · 0.02 xG · goalMorgan Rogers · Aston Villa · 65′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJacob Ramsey · Aston Villa · 69′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRoss Barkley · Aston Villa · 81′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMorgan Rogers · Aston Villa · 50′ · 0.07 xG · on targetJhon Durán · Aston Villa · 86′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedOrel Mangala · Everton · 90′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedOllie Watkins · Aston Villa · 30′ · 0.09 xG · on targetJohn McGinn · Aston Villa · 8′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedMorgan Rogers · Aston Villa · 31′ · 0.11 xG · on targetOllie Watkins · Aston Villa · 9′ · 0.12 xG · on targetDominic Calvert-Lewin · Everton · 79′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedOllie Watkins · Aston Villa · 58′ · 0.13 xG · goalOllie Watkins · Aston Villa · 12′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedJacob Ramsey · Aston Villa · 50′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blockedDominic Calvert-Lewin · Everton · 40′ · 0.23 xG · off target or blockedJhon Durán · Aston Villa · 90′ · 0.24 xG · off target or blockedOllie Watkins · Aston Villa · 72′ · 0.30 xG · off target or blockedDominic Calvert-Lewin · Everton · 27′ · 0.43 xG · goalOllie Watkins · Aston Villa · 36′ · 0.43 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Aston Villa: 17 shots, 8 on target, 2.14 xG. Everton: 6 shots, 2 on target, 0.90 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Ollie Watkins · Aston Villa · 36′Ollie Watkins · Aston Villa · 58′Jhon Durán · Aston Villa · 76′Dwight McNeil · Everton · 16′Dominic Calvert-Lewin · Everton · 27′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Aston Villa 2.14 xG · Everton 0.90 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

4Aston Villa
1Draws
0Everton
Everton — Aston Villa · Premier League0–0
Aston Villa — Everton · Premier League4–0
Everton — Aston Villa · Premier League0–2
Aston Villa — Everton · Premier League2–1
Everton — Aston Villa · Premier League0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Aston Villa favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Everton in 0 · 11 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Aston Villa4 matchesEverton4 matches
1.75 goals/match ▲Goals scored4/41 goal/match
1.5 goals/match ▲Goals allowed4/43.25 goals/match
1.75 xG/match ▲Expected goals4/41.09 xG/match
13.3 shots/match ▲Shots4/410.8 shots/match
4.75 shots/match ▲Shots on target4/43 shots/match
50.5% ●Possession4/435.3%
4.25 corners/match ●Corners4/44 corners/match
12.5 fouls/matchFouls4/410.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples4 / 4home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 14 Sept 2024, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

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