PitchMath
Premier League · 2024

Manchester City 2–1 Brentford · Premier League

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Manchester City won 2–1.

Shots
188
Shots on target
75
Expected goals
2.170.96
Possession
54%46%

Full time

What the match recorded

Manchester City beat Brentford 2–1. Recorded in this match (Manchester City – Brentford): shots 18–8, shots on target 7–5, expected goals 2.17–0.96, possession 54%–46%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Brentford show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Brentford's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

16.5 shots/match ▲ShotsManchester City · Brentford11.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricManchester CityBrentfordBaseline
Shots16.5 shots/match11.3 shots/match13.3 shots/match
Shots against7.25 shots/match17.3 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Manchester City have recorded the higher season possession share.

62.3% ●PossessionManchester City · Brentford41.8%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 20.5 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricManchester CityBrentfordBaseline
Possession62.3%41.8%50.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots8 shotsManchester City 18 shots, Brentford 8 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots5 shotsManchester City 7 shots, Brentford 5 shots
  • Expected goals2.17 xG0.96 xGManchester City 2.17 xG, Brentford 0.96 xG
  • Possession54%46%Manchester City 54%, Brentford 46%
  • Corners12 corners3 cornersManchester City 12 corners, Brentford 3 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls3 foulsManchester City 9 fouls, Brentford 3 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Kevin De Bruyne · Manchester City · 26′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedEthan Pinnock · Brentford · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKeane Lewis-Potter · Brentford · 45′ · 0.02 xG · on targetEthan Pinnock · Brentford · 29′ · 0.03 xG · on targetSavinho · Manchester City · 37′ · 0.03 xG · on targetİlkay Gündoğan · Manchester City · 70′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSavinho · Manchester City · 34′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKyle Walker · Manchester City · 72′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedYehor Yarmoliuk · Brentford · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedİlkay Gündoğan · Manchester City · 13′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedKevin De Bruyne · Manchester City · 74′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedErling Haaland · Manchester City · 20′ · 0.07 xG · goalJack Grealish · Manchester City · 67′ · 0.07 xG · on targetJack Grealish · Manchester City · 41′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedSavinho · Manchester City · 65′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedSavinho · Manchester City · 78′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedErling Haaland · Manchester City · 81′ · 0.12 xG · on targetNathan Collins · Brentford · 9′ · 0.15 xG · on targetErling Haaland · Manchester City · 81′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedEthan Pinnock · Brentford · 28′ · 0.17 xG · on targetBryan Mbeumo · Brentford · 4′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedErling Haaland · Manchester City · 69′ · 0.18 xG · on targetErling Haaland · Manchester City · 81′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedYoane Wissa · Brentford · 1′ · 0.36 xG · goalErling Haaland · Manchester City · 32′ · 0.36 xG · goalSavinho · Manchester City · 76′ · 0.48 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Manchester City: 18 shots, 7 on target, 2.16 xG. Brentford: 8 shots, 5 on target, 0.97 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Erling Haaland · Manchester City · 20′Erling Haaland · Manchester City · 32′Yoane Wissa · Brentford · 1′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Manchester City 2.16 xG · Brentford 0.97 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Manchester City
0Draws
2Brentford
Manchester City — Brentford · Premier League1–0
Brentford — Manchester City · Premier League1–3
Brentford — Manchester City · Premier League1–0
Manchester City — Brentford · Premier League1–2
Manchester City — Brentford · Premier League2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Manchester City favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Brentford in 0 · 11 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Manchester City4 matchesBrentford4 matches
2.75 goals/match ▲Goals scored4/41.5 goals/match
0.75 goals/match ▲Goals allowed4/41.5 goals/match
2.32 xG/match ▲Expected goals4/41.47 xG/match
16.5 shots/match ▲Shots4/411.3 shots/match
6.25 shots/match ▲Shots on target4/44.75 shots/match
62.3% ●Possession4/441.8%
9 corners/match ●Corners4/43.25 corners/match
6.25 fouls/matchFouls4/46.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples4 / 4home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 14 Sept 2024, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsManchester CityBrentford
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2024/25
Head-to-headManchester City — Brentford
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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