Premier League · 2024Sat, 14 Sept 2024, 19:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Bournemouth

DDW

0–1Full-time recap

Chelsea

LWD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Bournemouth	Chelsea
Shots	19 shots/match▲	10 shots/match
Shots on target	7 shots/match▲	3 shots/match
Expected goals	1.78 xG/match▲	0.78 xG/match
Possession	33%	67%●
Corners	6 corners/match●	3 corners/match
Fouls	16 fouls/match	9 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Bournemouth: 19 shots, 7 on target, 1.82 xG. Chelsea: 10 shots, 3 on target, 0.77 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Bournemouth 1.82 xG · Chelsea 0.77 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Chelsea have recorded the higher season possession share. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Chelsea have recorded the higher season possession share.

43%PossessionBournemouth · Chelsea●59.5%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 16.5 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Bournemouth	Chelsea	Baseline
Possession	43%	59.5%	50.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Bournemouth

1Draws

3Chelsea

19 May 2024Chelsea — Bournemouth · Premier League2–1

17 Sept 2023Bournemouth — Chelsea · Premier League0–0

6 May 2023Bournemouth — Chelsea · Premier League1–3

27 Dec 2022Chelsea — Bournemouth · Premier League2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Bournemouth favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Chelsea in 0 · 13 too close

1.25 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 4/42 goals/match

1.25 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 4/41.25 goals/match

1.91 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 4/41.46 xG/match

1.44 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 4/41.26 xG/match

16.3 shots/matchShotsseason · 4/411.8 shots/match

14 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 4/412.8 shots/match

5.5 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 4/45.25 shots/match

6 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 4/44.75 shots/match

43%Possessionseason · 4/4●59.5%

6 corners/match●Cornersseason · 4/44 corners/match

5.5 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 4/44.5 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

13.8 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 4/410.8 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

0%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 4/425%

75%Scoring frequencyseason · 4/475%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Bournemouth37.5

Chelsea72.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Bournemouth69.2

Chelsea62.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Bournemouth40

Chelsea48.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Bournemouth97.5

Chelsea12.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Bournemouth80

Chelsea22.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Bournemouth67.5

Chelsea32.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Bournemouth77.5

Chelsea38.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Bournemouth4 matchesChelsea4 matches

1.25 goals/matchGoals scored4/4▲2 goals/match

1.25 goals/matchGoals allowed4/41.25 goals/match

1.91 xG/match▲Expected goals4/41.46 xG/match

16.3 shots/match▲Shots4/411.8 shots/match

5.5 shots/matchShots on target4/45.25 shots/match

43%Possession4/4●59.5%

6 corners/match●Corners4/44 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

13.8 fouls/matchFouls4/410.8 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Bournemouth2 matchesChelsea2 matches

—Goals scored2/2—

—Goals allowed2/2—

—Expected goals2/2—

—Shots2/2—

—Shots on target2/2—

—Possession2/2—

—Corners2/2—

—Cards0/0—

—Fouls2/2—

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

14.2 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/113.3 days

0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited

Season samples4 / 4home / away teams

Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 14 Sept 2024, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4