Premier League · 2024Sat, 21 Sept 2024, 11:30 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

West Ham United

LWLD

0–3Full-time recap

Chelsea

LWDW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	West Ham United	Chelsea
Shots	15 shots/match▲	12 shots/match
Shots on target	7 shots/match▲	5 shots/match
Expected goals	0.85 xG/match	2.19 xG/match▲
Possession	53%●	47%
Corners	6 corners/match●	5 corners/match
Fouls	17 fouls/match	9 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

West Ham United: 15 shots, 7 on target, 0.84 xG. Chelsea: 12 shots, 5 on target, 2.23 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: West Ham United 0.84 xG · Chelsea 2.23 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Chelsea have recorded the higher season possession share. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Chelsea have recorded the higher season possession share.

44.8%PossessionWest Ham United · Chelsea●57%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 12.2 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	West Ham United	Chelsea	Baseline
Possession	44.8%	57%	47.7%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1West Ham United

1Draws

3Chelsea

5 May 2024Chelsea — West Ham United · Premier League5–0

20 Aug 2023West Ham United — Chelsea · Premier League3–1

11 Feb 2023West Ham United — Chelsea · Premier League1–1

3 Sept 2022Chelsea — West Ham United · Premier League2–1

24 Apr 2022Chelsea — West Ham United · Premier League1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

West Ham United favored in 2 of 13 directional metrics · Chelsea in 7 · 4 too close

1 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 5/5▲2.2 goals/match

1.8 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 5/5▲1 goals/match

1.24 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 5/5▲1.61 xG/match

2.02 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 5/5▲1.18 xG/match

13.6 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 5/511.8 shots/match

17 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 5/5▲13.2 shots/match

3.6 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 5/5▲5.2 shots/match

4.6 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 5/55.2 shots/match

44.8%Possessionseason · 5/5●57%

3.8 corners/matchCornersseason · 5/5●4.2 corners/match

5 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 5/54.8 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

16 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 5/510.4 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

20%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 5/5▲40%

80%Scoring frequencyseason · 5/580%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

West Ham United27.5

Chelsea72.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

West Ham United34.2

Chelsea61.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

West Ham United26.7

Chelsea52.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

West Ham United77.5

Chelsea12.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

West Ham United97.5

Chelsea17.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

West Ham United20

Chelsea27.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

West Ham United48.8

Chelsea34.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

West Ham United5 matchesChelsea5 matches

1 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲2.2 goals/match

1.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1 goals/match

1.24 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲1.61 xG/match

13.6 shots/match▲Shots5/511.8 shots/match

3.6 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲5.2 shots/match

44.8%Possession5/5●57%

3.8 corners/matchCorners5/5●4.2 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

16 fouls/matchFouls5/510.4 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

West Ham United3 matchesChelsea3 matches

0.67 goals/matchGoals scored3/3▲3.33 goals/match

2.67 goals/matchGoals allowed3/3▲0.67 goals/match

1.35 xG/matchExpected goals3/3▲1.55 xG/match

13 shots/match▲Shots3/312 shots/match

4 shots/matchShots on target3/3▲5.33 shots/match

45.7%Possession3/3●58%

4.67 corners/match●Corners3/34.33 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

15 fouls/matchFouls3/310.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.9 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.69 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples5 / 5home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 21 Sept 2024, 15:30 UTC · analysis-v4