Premier League · 2024Sat, 21 Sept 2024, 14:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Liverpool

WWWL

3–0Full-time recap

Bournemouth

DDWL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Liverpool	Bournemouth
Shots	19 shots/match	19 shots/match
Shots on target	13 shots/match▲	6 shots/match
Expected goals	2.06 xG/match▲	1.08 xG/match
Possession	59%●	41%
Corners	3 corners/match	9 corners/match●
Fouls	10 fouls/match	12 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Liverpool: 19 shots, 13 on target, 2.04 xG. Bournemouth: 19 shots, 6 on target, 1.11 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Liverpool 2.04 xG · Bournemouth 1.11 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline. A second useful context is: Liverpool's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

6.2 corners/matchCornersLiverpool · Bournemouth●6.6 corners/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

Metric	Liverpool	Bournemouth	Baseline
Corners	6.2 corners/match	6.6 corners/match	4.9 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Liverpool show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Liverpool's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

16.2 shots/match▲ShotsLiverpool · Bournemouth16.8 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Liverpool	Bournemouth	Baseline
Shots	16.2 shots/match	16.8 shots/match	12.8 shots/match
Shots against	9.4 shots/match	15 shots/match	13.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Liverpool have recorded the higher season possession share.

59.8%●PossessionLiverpool · Bournemouth42.6%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 17.2 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Liverpool	Bournemouth	Baseline
Possession	59.8%	42.6%	47.7%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

3Liverpool

0Draws

1Bournemouth

21 Jan 2024Bournemouth — Liverpool · Premier League0–4

19 Aug 2023Liverpool — Bournemouth · Premier League3–1

11 Mar 2023Bournemouth — Liverpool · Premier League1–0

27 Aug 2022Liverpool — Bournemouth · Premier League9–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Liverpool favored in 10 of 13 directional metrics · Bournemouth in 0 · 3 too close

2 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 5/51 goals/match

0.2 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 5/51.6 goals/match

2.02 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 5/51.74 xG/match

0.78 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 5/51.56 xG/match

16.2 shots/matchShotsseason · 5/516.8 shots/match

9.4 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 5/515 shots/match

6.8 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 5/55.6 shots/match

3.2 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 5/57.4 shots/match

59.8%●Possessionseason · 5/542.6%

6.2 corners/matchCornersseason · 5/5●6.6 corners/match

4.4 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 5/55 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

12 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 5/513.4 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

80%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 5/50%

80%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 5/560%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Liverpool77.5

Bournemouth12.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Liverpool85

Bournemouth65

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Liverpool90

Bournemouth21.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Liverpool67.5

Bournemouth97.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Liverpool45

Bournemouth72.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Liverpool72.5

Bournemouth82.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Liverpool71.9

Bournemouth80

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Liverpool5 matchesBournemouth5 matches

2 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51 goals/match

0.2 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.6 goals/match

2.02 xG/match▲Expected goals5/51.74 xG/match

16.2 shots/matchShots5/516.8 shots/match

6.8 shots/match▲Shots on target5/55.6 shots/match

59.8%●Possession5/542.6%

6.2 corners/matchCorners5/5●6.6 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

12 fouls/matchFouls5/513.4 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Liverpool3 matchesBournemouth3 matches

1.67 goals/match▲Goals scored3/31.33 goals/match

0.33 goals/match▲Goals allowed3/32 goals/match

1.88 xG/match▲Expected goals3/31.56 xG/match

17.3 shots/match▲Shots3/316.3 shots/match

8.67 shots/match▲Shots on target3/35.67 shots/match

63.3%●Possession3/347%

6.33 corners/matchCorners3/36.33 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.7 fouls/matchFouls3/310.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.79 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples5 / 5home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 21 Sept 2024, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4