Premier League · 2024Sat, 28 Sept 2024, 14:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Everton

LLLLD

2–1Full-time recap

Crystal Palace

LLDDD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Everton	Crystal Palace
Shots	8 shots/match	17 shots/match▲
Shots on target	2 shots/match	5 shots/match▲
Expected goals	0.89 xG/match	0.95 xG/match▲
Possession	40%	60%●
Corners	5 corners/match	8 corners/match●
Fouls	13 fouls/match	11 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Everton: 8 shots, 2 on target, 0.86 xG. Crystal Palace: 17 shots, 5 on target, 0.94 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Everton 0.86 xG · Crystal Palace 0.94 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Everton's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Crystal Palace have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Everton's recent record differs from the season

weak

Everton's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.17 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.4 goals/match	1.17 goals/match	1.33 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Crystal Palace have recorded the higher season possession share.

37%PossessionEverton · Crystal Palace●51.5%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 14.5 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Everton	Crystal Palace	Baseline
Possession	37%	51.5%	48.9%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

3Everton

2Draws

0Crystal Palace

19 Feb 2024Everton — Crystal Palace · Premier League1–1

11 Nov 2023Crystal Palace — Everton · Premier League2–3

22 Apr 2023Crystal Palace — Everton · Premier League0–0

22 Oct 2022Everton — Crystal Palace · Premier League3–0

19 May 2022Everton — Crystal Palace · Premier League3–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Everton favored in 1 of 13 directional metrics · Crystal Palace in 9 · 3 too close

1.17 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 6/60.83 goals/match

2.5 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 6/6▲1.5 goals/match

1.06 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 6/6▲1.26 xG/match

1.66 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 6/6▲1.53 xG/match

11.3 shots/matchShotsseason · 6/6▲13.8 shots/match

14.3 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 6/6▲12 shots/match

3.17 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 6/6▲4 shots/match

5.67 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 6/6▲4.5 shots/match

37%Possessionseason · 6/6●51.5%

3.67 corners/matchCornersseason · 6/6●5.17 corners/match

6.83 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 6/6▲4.83 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

11 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 6/611 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

0%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 6/6▲17%

67%Scoring frequencyseason · 6/667%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Everton2.5

Crystal Palace62.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Everton26.7

Crystal Palace35

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Everton27.5

Crystal Palace52.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Everton82.5

Crystal Palace57.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Everton25

Crystal Palace25

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Everton12.5

Crystal Palace50

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Everton18.8

Crystal Palace41.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Everton6 matchesCrystal Palace6 matches

1.17 goals/match▲Goals scored6/60.83 goals/match

2.5 goals/matchGoals allowed6/6▲1.5 goals/match

1.06 xG/matchExpected goals6/6▲1.26 xG/match

11.3 shots/matchShots6/6▲13.8 shots/match

3.17 shots/matchShots on target6/6▲4 shots/match

37%Possession6/6●51.5%

3.67 corners/matchCorners6/6●5.17 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11 fouls/matchFouls6/611 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Everton3 matchesCrystal Palace3 matches

1.33 goals/match▲Goals scored3/31 goals/match

2.33 goals/matchGoals allowed3/3▲1.67 goals/match

1.11 xG/match▲Expected goals3/30.89 xG/match

11.7 shots/matchShots3/3▲13.3 shots/match

3.67 shots/matchShots on target3/3▲4.67 shots/match

41.7%Possession3/3●50.3%

4.67 corners/matchCorners3/3●6.33 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

9 fouls/matchFouls3/313 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.9 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples6 / 6home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 28 Sept 2024, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4