Premier League · 2024

Arsenal 2–0 Manchester United · Premier League

Arsenal

DLDWW
2–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Arsenal won 2–0.

Shots
145
Shots on target
62
Expected goals
2.160.22
Possession
50%50%

Full time

What the match recorded

Arsenal beat Manchester United 2–0. Recorded in this match (Arsenal – Manchester United): shots 14–5, shots on target 6–2, expected goals 2.16–0.22, possession 50%–50%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Manchester United's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Manchester United's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.21 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.21 goals/match1.46 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Arsenal have a visible home split

moderate

Arsenal's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

19.3 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season14.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots19.3 shots/match14.4 shots/match13.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Manchester United.

4.11 days ▲Rest daysArsenal · Manchester United3.28 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricArsenalManchester UnitedBaseline
Rest days4.11 days3.28 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots5 shotsArsenal 14 shots, Manchester United 5 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots2 shotsArsenal 6 shots, Manchester United 2 shots
  • Expected goals2.16 xG0.22 xGArsenal 2.16 xG, Manchester United 0.22 xG
  • Possession50%50%Arsenal 50%, Manchester United 50%
  • Corners13 corners0 cornersArsenal 13 corners, Manchester United 0 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls8 foulsArsenal 12 fouls, Manchester United 8 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Mason Mount · Manchester United · 42′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDeclan Rice · Arsenal · 72′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDiogo Dalot · Manchester United · 58′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedThomas Partey · Arsenal · 22′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDiogo Dalot · Manchester United · 43′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedGabriel Martinelli · Arsenal · 48′ · 0.04 xG · on targetOleksandr Zinchenko · Arsenal · 25′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDeclan Rice · Arsenal · 49′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMatthijs de Ligt · Manchester United · 67′ · 0.06 xG · on targetLeandro Trossard · Arsenal · 89′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMikel Merino · Arsenal · 77′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAntony · Manchester United · 86′ · 0.08 xG · on targetBukayo Saka · Arsenal · 58′ · 0.12 xG · on targetMartin Ødegaard · Arsenal · 83′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedGabriel Martinelli · Arsenal · 25′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedJurriën Timber · Arsenal · 54′ · 0.16 xG · goalKai Havertz · Arsenal · 75′ · 0.25 xG · on targetThomas Partey · Arsenal · 90′ · 0.31 xG · on targetWilliam Saliba · Arsenal · 73′ · 0.72 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Arsenal: 14 shots, 6 on target, 2.16 xG. Manchester United: 5 shots, 2 on target, 0.22 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Jurriën Timber · Arsenal · 54′William Saliba · Arsenal · 73′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Arsenal 2.16 xG · Manchester United 0.22 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

4Arsenal
0Draws
1Manchester United
Manchester United — Arsenal · Premier League0–1
Arsenal — Manchester United · Premier League3–1
Arsenal — Manchester United · Premier League3–2
Manchester United — Arsenal · Premier League3–1
Arsenal — Manchester United · Premier League3–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Arsenal favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · Manchester United in 2

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Arsenal14 matchesManchester United14 matches
2 goals/match ▲Goals scored14/141.21 goals/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed14/141.07 goals/match
1.73 xG/match ▲Expected goals14/141.4 xG/match
14.4 shots/match ▲Shots14/1412.9 shots/match
5.29 shots/match ▲Shots on target14/144.86 shots/match
52.1%Possession14/14● 53%
6.79 corners/match ●Corners14/144.71 corners/match
12.6 fouls/matchFouls14/1411 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples14 / 14home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 5 Dec 2024, 00:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

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