PitchMath
Premier League · 2024

Fulham 1–1 Arsenal · Premier League

Fulham

WWLDW
1–1Historical match

Arsenal

LDWWW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Fulham and Arsenal drew 1–1.

Shots
212
Shots on target
24
Expected goals
0.162.03
Possession
34%66%

Full time

What the match recorded

Fulham and Arsenal drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Fulham – Arsenal): shots 2–12, shots on target 2–4, expected goals 0.16–2.03, possession 34%–66%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Arsenal have a visible away split

moderate

Arsenal's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.75 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season14.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.75 shots/match14.2 shots/match13.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Fulham, Arsenal.

2.77 days ▲Rest daysFulham · Arsenal3.74 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricFulhamArsenalBaseline
Rest days2.77 days3.74 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Fulham's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Fulham's last-five shots average is below their season average.

9.8 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season13.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots9.8 shots/match13.6 shots/match13.5 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots2 shots12 shotsFulham 2 shots, Arsenal 12 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots4 shotsFulham 2 shots, Arsenal 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.16 xG2.03 xGFulham 0.16 xG, Arsenal 2.03 xG
  • Possession34%66%Fulham 34%, Arsenal 66%
  • Corners0 corners6 cornersFulham 0 corners, Arsenal 6 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls9 foulsFulham 10 fouls, Arsenal 9 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Declan Rice · Arsenal · 13′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedBukayo Saka · Arsenal · 37′ · 0.02 xG · on targetLeandro Trossard · Arsenal · 57′ · 0.02 xG · on targetKai Havertz · Arsenal · 59′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDeclan Rice · Arsenal · 78′ · 0.04 xG · on targetRaúl Jiménez · Fulham · 11′ · 0.05 xG · goalKai Havertz · Arsenal · 62′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedDeclan Rice · Arsenal · 24′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedBukayo Saka · Arsenal · 25′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAndreas Pereira · Fulham · 71′ · 0.11 xG · on targetKai Havertz · Arsenal · 52′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedThomas Partey · Arsenal · 70′ · 0.26 xG · off target or blockedWilliam Saliba · Arsenal · 3′ · 0.35 xG · off target or blockedWilliam Saliba · Arsenal · 52′ · 0.83 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Fulham: 2 shots, 2 on target, 0.16 xG. Arsenal: 12 shots, 4 on target, 1.99 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Raúl Jiménez · Fulham · 11′William Saliba · Arsenal · 52′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Fulham 0.16 xG · Arsenal 1.99 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Fulham
1Draws
2Arsenal
Fulham — Arsenal · Premier League2–1
Arsenal — Fulham · Premier League2–2
Fulham — Arsenal · Premier League0–3
Arsenal — Fulham · Premier League2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Fulham favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Arsenal in 8 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Fulham15 matchesArsenal15 matches
1.47 goals/matchGoals scored15/15▲ 1.93 goals/match
1.33 goals/matchGoals allowed15/15▲ 1 goal/match
1.37 xG/matchExpected goals15/15▲ 1.75 xG/match
13.6 shots/matchShots15/1514.2 shots/match
4.87 shots/matchShots on target15/15▲ 5.2 shots/match
51.6%Possession15/15● 53.1%
5.87 corners/matchCorners15/15● 6.73 corners/match
11.3 fouls/matchFouls15/1512.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples15 / 15home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 8 Dec 2024, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFulhamArsenal
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2024/25
Head-to-headFulham — Arsenal
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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