PitchMath
Premier League · 2024

Fulham 3–1 Brighton & Hove Albion · Premier League

Fulham

DWWLD
3–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Fulham won 3–1.

Shots
613
Shots on target
23
Expected goals
0.651.47
Possession
43%57%

Full time

What the match recorded

Fulham beat Brighton & Hove Albion 3–1. Recorded in this match (Fulham – Brighton & Hove Albion): shots 6–13, shots on target 2–3, expected goals 0.65–1.47, possession 43%–57%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Fulham's recent record differs from the season

weak

Fulham's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.5 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.5 goals/match1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots6 shots13 shotsFulham 6 shots, Brighton & Hove Albion 13 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots3 shotsFulham 2 shots, Brighton & Hove Albion 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.65 xG1.47 xGFulham 0.65 xG, Brighton & Hove Albion 1.47 xG
  • Possession43%57%Fulham 43%, Brighton & Hove Albion 57%
  • Corners5 corners6 cornersFulham 5 corners, Brighton & Hove Albion 6 corners
  • Fouls7 fouls8 foulsFulham 7 fouls, Brighton & Hove Albion 8 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Fulham
1Draws
0Brighton & Hove Albion
Fulham — Brighton & Hove Albion · Premier League3–0
Brighton & Hove Albion — Fulham · Premier League1–1
Brighton & Hove Albion — Fulham · Premier League0–1
Fulham — Brighton & Hove Albion · Premier League2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Fulham favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Brighton & Hove Albion in 2 · 5 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Fulham14 matchesBrighton & Hove Albion14 matches
1.5 goals/matchGoals scored14/14▲ 1.64 goals/match
1.36 goals/match ▲Goals allowed14/141.43 goals/match
1.46 xG/matchExpected goals14/141.47 xG/match
14.4 shots/matchShots14/1414.3 shots/match
5.07 shots/match ▲Shots on target14/144.57 shots/match
52.9%Possession14/14● 53.5%
6.29 corners/match ●Corners14/145.21 corners/match
11.4 fouls/matchFouls14/1411.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples14 / 14home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 5 Dec 2024, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFulhamBrighton & Hove Albion
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2024/25
Head-to-headFulham — Brighton & Hove Albion
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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