Premier League · 2024

Southampton 1–5 Chelsea · Premier League

1–5Historical match

Chelsea

WDDWW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Chelsea won 1–5.

Shots
626
Shots on target
413
Expected goals
1.565.43
Possession
45%55%

Full time

What the match recorded

Chelsea beat Southampton 5–1. Recorded in this match (Southampton – Chelsea): shots 6–26, shots on target 4–13, expected goals 1.56–5.43, possession 45%–55%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Chelsea.

4.98 days ▲Rest daysSouthampton · Chelsea3.25 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricSouthamptonChelseaBaseline
Rest days4.98 days3.25 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Chelsea show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Chelsea's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

9.71 shots/match ▲ShotsSouthampton · Chelsea15.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSouthamptonChelseaBaseline
Shots9.71 shots/match15.2 shots/match13.9 shots/match
Shots against18.6 shots/match11.5 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Southampton's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Southampton's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.79 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match0.79 goals/match1.46 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots6 shots26 shotsSouthampton 6 shots, Chelsea 26 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots13 shotsSouthampton 4 shots, Chelsea 13 shots
  • Expected goals1.56 xG5.43 xGSouthampton 1.56 xG, Chelsea 5.43 xG
  • Possession45%55%Southampton 45%, Chelsea 55%
  • Corners5 corners7 cornersSouthampton 5 corners, Chelsea 7 corners
  • Fouls7 fouls14 foulsSouthampton 7 fouls, Chelsea 14 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Noni Madueke · Chelsea · 21′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedCole Palmer · Chelsea · 21′ · 0.03 xG · on targetCameron Archer · Southampton · 37′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedCole Palmer · Chelsea · 53′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNoni Madueke · Chelsea · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMoisés Caicedo · Chelsea · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedTosin Adarabioyo · Chelsea · 53′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedEnzo Fernández · Chelsea · 30′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJoão Félix · Chelsea · 22′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedCameron Archer · Southampton · 32′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedCole Palmer · Chelsea · 59′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedNoni Madueke · Chelsea · 34′ · 0.10 xG · goalJoão Félix · Chelsea · 46′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedChristopher Nkunku · Chelsea · 36′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedJadon Sancho · Chelsea · 87′ · 0.13 xG · goalNoni Madueke · Chelsea · 65′ · 0.14 xG · on targetTosin Adarabioyo · Chelsea · 25′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedChristopher Nkunku · Chelsea · 76′ · 0.17 xG · on targetChristopher Nkunku · Chelsea · 85′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedMateus Fernandes · Southampton · 40′ · 0.20 xG · on targetAxel Disasi · Chelsea · 7′ · 0.23 xG · goalJoe Aribo · Southampton · 2′ · 0.24 xG · on targetCole Palmer · Chelsea · 54′ · 0.25 xG · on targetNoni Madueke · Chelsea · 69′ · 0.26 xG · on targetNoni Madueke · Chelsea · 54′ · 0.27 xG · on targetMateus Fernandes · Southampton · 58′ · 0.34 xG · on targetNoni Madueke · Chelsea · 21′ · 0.35 xG · on targetCole Palmer · Chelsea · 24′ · 0.44 xG · on targetJoão Félix · Chelsea · 45′ · 0.52 xG · off target or blockedChristopher Nkunku · Chelsea · 17′ · 0.67 xG · goalJoe Aribo · Southampton · 11′ · 0.73 xG · goalCole Palmer · Chelsea · 77′ · 0.92 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Southampton: 6 shots, 4 on target, 1.62 xG. Chelsea: 26 shots, 13 on target, 5.47 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

02.755.50′HT90′Joe Aribo · Southampton · 11′Axel Disasi · Chelsea · 7′Christopher Nkunku · Chelsea · 17′Noni Madueke · Chelsea · 34′Cole Palmer · Chelsea · 77′Jadon Sancho · Chelsea · 87′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Southampton 1.62 xG · Chelsea 5.47 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Southampton
0Draws
2Chelsea
Chelsea — Southampton · Premier League0–1
Southampton — Chelsea · Premier League2–1
Southampton — Chelsea · Premier League0–6
Chelsea — Southampton · Premier League3–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Southampton favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Chelsea in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Southampton14 matchesChelsea14 matches
0.79 goals/matchGoals scored14/14▲ 2.21 goals/match
2.14 goals/matchGoals allowed14/14▲ 1.07 goals/match
1.14 xG/matchExpected goals14/14▲ 2.13 xG/match
9.71 shots/matchShots14/14▲ 15.2 shots/match
3.21 shots/matchShots on target14/14▲ 6 shots/match
54.1%Possession14/14● 56%
4.86 corners/matchCorners14/14● 5.93 corners/match
11.7 fouls/matchFouls14/1412.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples14 / 14home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 4 Dec 2024, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

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