Premier League · 2024

Aston Villa 1–0 Southampton · Premier League

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Aston Villa won 1–0.

Shots
184
Shots on target
50
Expected goals
2.290.33
Possession
47%53%

Full time

What the match recorded

Aston Villa beat Southampton 1–0. Recorded in this match (Aston Villa – Southampton): shots 18–4, shots on target 5–0, expected goals 2.29–0.33, possession 47%–53%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Aston Villa, Southampton.

2.78 days ▲Rest daysAston Villa · Southampton2.81 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricAston VillaSouthamptonBaseline
Rest days2.78 days2.81 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Aston Villa show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Aston Villa's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.4 shots/match ▲ShotsAston Villa · Southampton9.33 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAston VillaSouthamptonBaseline
Shots13.4 shots/match9.33 shots/match13.8 shots/match
Shots against11.1 shots/match18.6 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Southampton's recent record differs from the season

weak

Southampton's last-five shots average is below their season average.

7.2 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season9.33 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots7.2 shots/match9.33 shots/match13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots4 shotsAston Villa 18 shots, Southampton 4 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots0 shotsAston Villa 5 shots, Southampton 0 shots
  • Expected goals2.29 xG0.33 xGAston Villa 2.29 xG, Southampton 0.33 xG
  • Possession47%53%Aston Villa 47%, Southampton 53%
  • Corners14 corners1 cornerAston Villa 14 corners, Southampton 1 corner
  • Fouls18 fouls15 foulsAston Villa 18 fouls, Southampton 15 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Ian Maatsen · Aston Villa · 43′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedPau Torres · Aston Villa · 61′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJaden Philogene-Bidace · Aston Villa · 62′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMorgan Rogers · Aston Villa · 71′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMorgan Rogers · Aston Villa · 13′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRyan Manning · Southampton · 9′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMateus Fernandes · Southampton · 9′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJohn McGinn · Aston Villa · 23′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMorgan Rogers · Aston Villa · 42′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedOllie Watkins · Aston Villa · 60′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJhon Durán · Aston Villa · 23′ · 0.08 xG · on targetJhon Durán · Aston Villa · 35′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedCameron Archer · Southampton · 67′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedOllie Watkins · Aston Villa · 82′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedJohn McGinn · Aston Villa · 83′ · 0.09 xG · on targetCameron Archer · Southampton · 16′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedOllie Watkins · Aston Villa · 90′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedOllie Watkins · Aston Villa · 83′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedDiego Carlos · Aston Villa · 2′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedJohn McGinn · Aston Villa · 90′ · 0.25 xG · on targetRoss Barkley · Aston Villa · 87′ · 0.48 xG · on targetJhon Durán · Aston Villa · 24′ · 0.51 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Aston Villa: 18 shots, 5 on target, 2.32 xG. Southampton: 4 shots, 0 on target, 0.32 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Jhon Durán · Aston Villa · 24′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Aston Villa 2.32 xG · Southampton 0.32 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Aston Villa
0Draws
1Southampton
Southampton — Aston Villa · Premier League0–1
Aston Villa — Southampton · Premier League1–0
Aston Villa — Southampton · Premier League4–0
Southampton — Aston Villa · Premier League1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Aston Villa favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Southampton in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Aston Villa15 matchesSouthampton15 matches
1.53 goals/match ▲Goals scored15/150.73 goals/match
1.53 goals/match ▲Goals allowed15/152.07 goals/match
1.72 xG/match ▲Expected goals15/151.09 xG/match
13.4 shots/match ▲Shots15/159.33 shots/match
4.47 shots/match ▲Shots on target15/153 shots/match
50.6%Possession15/15● 54%
6.67 corners/match ●Corners15/154.6 corners/match
12.3 fouls/matchFouls15/1511.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples15 / 15home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 7 Dec 2024, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

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