PitchMath
Premier League · 2024

Everton 0–2 Manchester City · Premier League

Everton

DDLDW
0–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Manchester City won 0–2.

Shots
812
Shots on target
37
Expected goals
0.912.04
Possession
33%67%

Full time

What the match recorded

Manchester City beat Everton 2–0. Recorded in this match (Everton – Manchester City): shots 8–12, shots on target 3–7, expected goals 0.91–2.04, possession 33%–67%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Everton's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Everton's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.03 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.03 goals/match1.58 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Everton show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Everton's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

10.7 shots/match ▲ShotsEverton · Manchester City15.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricEvertonManchester CityBaseline
Shots10.7 shots/match15.9 shots/match13.2 shots/match
Shots against12.6 shots/match9.67 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Manchester City have recorded the higher season possession share.

40%PossessionEverton · Manchester City● 61.5%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 21.5 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricEvertonManchester CityBaseline
Possession40%61.5%50%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots12 shotsEverton 8 shots, Manchester City 12 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots7 shotsEverton 3 shots, Manchester City 7 shots
  • Expected goals0.91 xG2.04 xGEverton 0.91 xG, Manchester City 2.04 xG
  • Possession33%67%Everton 33%, Manchester City 67%
  • Corners2 corners5 cornersEverton 2 corners, Manchester City 5 corners
  • Fouls7 fouls6 foulsEverton 7 fouls, Manchester City 6 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Matheus Nunes · Manchester City · 15′ · 0.02 xG · on targetİlkay Gündoğan · Manchester City · 70′ · 0.02 xG · on targetBeto · Everton · 71′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedIliman Ndiaye · Everton · 72′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedVitaliy Mykolenko · Everton · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAbdoulaye Doucouré · Everton · 61′ · 0.05 xG · on targetNico González · Manchester City · 44′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedKevin De Bruyne · Manchester City · 65′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedİlkay Gündoğan · Manchester City · 65′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMateo Kovačić · Manchester City · 90′ · 0.08 xG · goalAbdoulaye Doucouré · Everton · 48′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedSavinho · Manchester City · 72′ · 0.09 xG · on targetOmar Marmoush · Manchester City · 88′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedOmar Marmoush · Manchester City · 68′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedIliman Ndiaye · Everton · 48′ · 0.15 xG · on targetKevin De Bruyne · Manchester City · 43′ · 0.16 xG · on targetJames Tarkowski · Everton · 31′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedJarrad Branthwaite · Everton · 47′ · 0.31 xG · on targetOmar Marmoush · Manchester City · 82′ · 0.44 xG · on targetNico O'Reilly · Manchester City · 84′ · 0.90 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Everton: 8 shots, 3 on target, 0.88 xG. Manchester City: 12 shots, 7 on target, 2.11 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Nico O'Reilly · Manchester City · 84′Mateo Kovačić · Manchester City · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Everton 0.88 xG · Manchester City 2.11 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Everton
2Draws
3Manchester City
Manchester City — Everton · Premier League1–1
Manchester City — Everton · Premier League2–0
Everton — Manchester City · Premier League1–3
Everton — Manchester City · Premier League0–3
Manchester City — Everton · Premier League1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Everton favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Manchester City in 8 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Everton33 matchesManchester City33 matches
1.03 goals/matchGoals scored33/33▲ 1.94 goals/match
1.21 goals/matchGoals allowed33/331.27 goals/match
1.1 xG/matchExpected goals33/33▲ 1.84 xG/match
10.7 shots/matchShots33/33▲ 15.9 shots/match
3.64 shots/matchShots on target33/33▲ 5.88 shots/match
40%Possession33/33● 61.5%
4.18 corners/matchCorners33/33● 6.52 corners/match
11.6 fouls/matchFouls33/337.61 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples33 / 33home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 19 Apr 2025, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsEvertonManchester City
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2024/25
Head-to-headEverton — Manchester City
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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